I wouldn't be too downbeat just yet, granted, on the face of it it's not looking great, but a 50% chance is better than none and I had noticed there was small exchange movement for him today in a positive way.
Current market now suspended on Betfair.
Edit: Just seen that entries will be announced today for it, hence the suspended market.
Ha Ha not too downbeat but really fancy this in this race and consequently have it in numerous doubles, trebles etc, after the news on Jenkins and others it just felt like a kick in the pants at the time!