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2016 Cheltenham Festival Day 1 Yankee (by Faugheen_Machine)

loveracing

loveracing

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This years Champion Day Yankee selections will be selected by F_M.

Let see if F_M can kick start the Fest with his selections!

All suggestions from FJ members are welcome. :encouragement:
 
The power is in my hands......:triumphant:
 
Yeehaa said:
Min Douvan Faugheen Annie

simples :p
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I think the rules were horses with e/w value. ;)

So F_M may have to go with the 3x handicap races +1 "betting without" or so on...

I only gave F_M day 1 because of his fav horse runs this day. :)
 
Coming from a value perspective which i think we have to on day one as it is just filled with odds on shots i would push the boat out with a super yankee and my selections would be;
Supreme novices - Yorkhill 8/1
The Arkle - Vaniteux 8/1
Champion hurdle - Arctic Fire 8/1
Mares hurdle - Polly Peachum 10/1
National hunt chase - Pont Alexandre 8/1

5 excellent each way prices in my opinion and would be 5 2/1 winners!!
 
GJT - Do you think Pont Alex will run in the 4 miler? I thought it would be RSA if they went to Cheltenham.
 
I think that he will, i know patrick has said he already wants to ride black hercules in the race but i'm still not sure on his stamina for the trip, whilst the same could be said for pont alexandre i think he could potentially be a class above the horses that run in this race, i think the RSA is one race willie has already conceded with no more heroes looking the likely winner and if not more of that will be bang there, much will depend on pont alexanders run this weekend to determine the outcome of his target but I'm swaying towards the 4 miler, i think ricci would like a runner in hear to cap the first day off
 
gjt7756 said:
Coming from a value perspective which i think we have to on day one as it is just filled with odds on shots i would push the boat out with a super yankee and my selections would be;
Supreme novices - Yorkhill 8/1
The Arkle - Vaniteux 8/1
Champion hurdle - Arctic Fire 8/1
Mares hurdle - Polly Peachum 10/1
National hunt chase - Pont Alexandre 8/1

5 excellent each way prices in my opinion and would be 5 2/1 winners!!
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Maybe bet without the fav in the first 4 races you selected gtj?
 
I have got an ante post yankee on for the festival which includes Arctic Fire and Sprinter Sacre both at 5/2 with Thistlecrack at 11/4 and Djakadam at 4/1, so i think at the value of the first 4 selections here i'd keep them at the prices in an e/w super yankee, because if they placed 3rd instead of 2nd then the value is gone at the shorter without favourite prices
 
Sorry just to clarify, sprinter sacre and Arctic fire were 5/2 in the without favourite market and Thistlecrack and Djakadam were in the normal win market
 
It's odds against the 4 Mullins short priced favourites winning. Faugheen & Annie looked 'nailed on' baring accidents simply coz they've already beaten the best of the opposition. So I reckon it's Min & Douvan we look at taking on as they are yet to prove they are better than the best of the opposition despite looking good so far. Although Henderson won't upset owners I'm convinced at the start of the season he thought Vaniteux was his main Arkle hope and should be in the L15 - still an e/w price. Second up should be Buveur Dair, again I believe his number 1 Supreme hope from the outset. Altior has surprised them but Henderson have really started him out so early in the season if he thought from the outset he was his number 1 hope ? So again an e/ w price to include. For me the other 2 should come from the handicaps once we know what's in them - no point putting 2 odds-ons in there - it's Cheltenham, go for GOLD !
 
Like many i have the Mullins/Ricci 4 folds....£99 Yankee at 4/1, 7/4, 5/4 and 5/4, £35 4 fold, £50 treble (exc Min) and a £50 single on Min at 6/1.... The Annie talk has me on a Knife edge at the minute like i guess it has with most. I did think ahead by backing the same 4 fold with VVM just before/after her win in the Mares at Ascot a month or so back so which returns about 70% of the above bets... I'm not convinced by her as much as Annie though.

The other 3 should all hose up really. Ok Min has the least exposure and may be an unknown, but you have to believe the talk from the Mullins camp when they say this fella is better than Vatour/Douvan were at the same stage of their careers.

I'm not sure i'd want to be backing at current prices, but at the same time why back a loser for the sake of not wanting a short price. The biggest dangers to them not winning are themselves not staying up
 
Welcome to the board DeeBee :)
 
stephensmith84 said:
Anyone else think that Sizing John could run a good race in the Arkle?
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Definitely can't turn the tables on Douvan but one of a few in with a shout of nicking a place.
The hardest thing about this race is trying to find anything other than Douvan who will take his chance in the race, could easily end up with 6 runners...
 
F_M - whats your view on The Young Master for the Ultima? His whole prep leading up to the fest is very similar to TDN last year.
 
I hadnt really thought about him LR until my mate, who is a decent judge, pointed out that this race or national looks like being the plan.

Handicap entries are out next week, with the weights published the week after. It's getting close.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
I hadnt really thought about him LR until my mate, who is a decent judge, pointed out that this race or national looks like being the plan.

Handicap entries are out next week, with the weights published the week after. It's getting close.
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It could be a big run at the fest, followed up with another big run in the National. Worked quite well for NM last year. For TYM to have a chance he needs to buck off SMC and get Baz back on board.
 
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