From Europa in Belfast
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Good morning all .Tonight is the night for our Cheltenham preview evening at the Europa hotel.Check it out.<a href="https://twitter.com/puntersg">@puntersg</a> <a href="http://t.co/ElaptWjpd3">pic.twitter.com/ElaptWjpd3</a></p>— Sean Graham (@SPGBETTING) <a href="https://twitter.com/SPGBETTING/status/572347472552583169">March 2, 2015</a></blockquote>
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Tonight's panel: David Casey (DC), Gordon Elliott (GE), Richard Hoiles (RH), Mark Winstanley (MW), Gary O'Brien (GOB) Brian Graham (BG)
Crowd is building very nicely! #SGPreview
And we are underway!
Supreme Novices, naturally, to kick off the evening...
MW: I think Douvan's an aeroplane to be honest. Sizing John's won a group one, the form's worked out brilliantly.
MW: Biggest certainty since Jihadi John turned up at a pass the parcel competition - And the couch has started!
BG: More against than for Douvan. Doesn't have form in the book like Vautour did. We're 2/1
BG: Why didn't Douvan go Deloittie Hurdle like Vautour and Champagne?
BG: Jollyallan for me at 10/1. Better value than the fav.
DC: Worked brilliantly at home, huge engine. Monster of a horse, but WIllie runs 4. They are all the best novices at the yard.
DC: I like Shaneshill though, riding work a lot and he's turning the corner, work improving. 12/1 for me is super each way value.
DC: Thought Alysio Ville couldn't get beat the last day. No explanations for his defeat to Nichols Canyon. Working well at home though
DC: Don't ride a lot of work on Douvan. He does everything so easy though and has huge potential.
RH: L'Ami Serge impressive but smallish fields. Didn't win much in France. Jollyallan travels well but has a dodgy head carriage.
GE: David is shrewd judge, think Willie will win it. Alysio Ville is a massive each way chance.
That rounds up the Supreme. Very interesting comments from David Casey regarding Shaneshill.
Arkle next!
BG: If things goes his way he'll go off in front and they won't see. Still as a bookmaker he's too short
BG: Something at a price - Vibrato Valtat. Should be 4 from 4. Whether he's good enough to get near UDS who knows. God's Own at a price
DC: He's very free and does all his work at home by himself. Hard to know how good he is. Looks like just has to stand up to win
DC: I'd love to be riding in the race and drop something in for second.
GE: To be honest it was a massive performance from UDS against my Clarcam. Clarcam gonna be dropped in and ridden for second.
GE: UDS could fall and get back up and still win
RH: Point about Cheltenham the tempo unrelenting. Given he's such a short price. With those question marks, wouldn't be keen on taking price
RH: SGT Reckless fast ground performer. Hold up horse. Creep around try for second. Without favourite betting each way
MW: All have the same plan. Backed the ambulance to come second.
MW: Empty your bank account. Horse has learned from its mistake. Got one wrong last time and corrected himself. Shows he's learning. NAP
Champion Hurdle next. The big one!
DC: Ruby will ride Faugheen. On the form book. Fly has better form obviously. Faugheen exceptional at home. TNO unlucky last year.
DC: If Faugheen jumps right he'll end up losing a tonne of ground. Think he'll make the running in a small field. Dictate from the front.
DC: Faugheen will be hard to beat. I'd ride Faugheen. Arctic Fire is working well. Hold up horse and will be dropped in. Worst horses placed
DC: Jezki improved last year, but this year he hasn't improved with his runs. Soft ground Fly comes into it
RH: Faugheen has to win. Really promising talent. Hasn't beat much but dynamics of the race really suit
RH: Jezki still the main danger. Spring ground would suit. But Faugheen deep impression and has what it takes whatever way the race is run
GE: Faugheen improving horse. Wasn't impressed with TNO the last day. Faugheen and Arctic Fire at an each way price
MW: Faugheen is special. Knock what it's beat. But it's a monster. These don't come along too often. He'll win by 5-6 lengths
MW: Crashed through them all at Cheltenham last year, but improved at Punch. Again he's learning
BG: Faugheen hasn't taken obvious Champion Hurdle route, that most winners have in last 20. Beat handicapper at Kempton.
BG: Jezki primed for one day. Ground comes up any way good, it will really suit. At 5/4 about a horse taking it on trust
Hands up poll in audience: Who fancies Hurricane Fly - Few hands go up to cries of "Eejits"!
So great banter there on the Champion Hurdle. Brian adamant you can't take the price on Faugheen with the reigning champ Jezki at 11/2
Neptune coming up
DC: Would prefer to see Shaneshill in this race. Nichols done nothing wrong. He does stay very well. Outlander impressive last day
DC: Outstayed the last day. This trip suits well. Killutagh Vic at a big price. He'd be for me. Windsor Park has a chance but Weld poor rec
MW: Mission impossible this race. Parlour games won Challow. Poor record for winners. Kilcrea Vale nice horse for Hendo but injured
MW: Honestly find this impossible. Will listen to David.
GE: Nichols Canyon is the highest rated flat horse over hurdles. Obviously classy. Would love to see Shaneshill going for this.
RH: Worst action i've ever seen Nichols. If ground dries, underlations would be hard and will be opposing him.
RH: Would like to see Qewy run, but likely won't. Basically i'm a big negative for the fav Nichols Canyon
BG: Probably have big field. Nichols Canyon not much value. Parlour Games course winner. Ran in Galway Hurdle, experience stand in good sted
So a tough race to get a hold of for the panel. Most interesting to hear Killutagh Vic tipped at a price by David Casey.
Onto the RSA
MW: Don Poli should run here. Backed him after he won at Gowran. Loved his attitude. Apache Stronghold franked the form
MW: He does everything. Jumps perfectly. Rock solid. Coneygree trained by a nutcase. Probably turn up in the GC. Kings Palace will run bad
GE: Kings Palace good last year then bombed at Cheltenham. Don't think he's quite good enough to win. Place maybe.
GE: Coneygree if he was mine he'd be going RSA. That's madness. Don Poli best staying chaser around by a mile. 25/1 to win RSA then Gold Cup
RH: Kings Palace bosses small fields, not good experiene last year at Cheltenham. Southfield Theatre honest horse has chance of making frame
RH: But I'm a big Don Poli fan!
DC: I like Coneygree. Strong form in the book. Stays and jumps. Destroyed a strong field at Newbury. Would be bit concerned on the ground...
BG: Don't think its as cut and dry as everyone thinks. Kings Palace 3/3 from fences, same as Coneygree with his form outside novice
BG: Young Master for Mulholland is 4/4 improving all the time, won nicely at Ascot. Don Poli is priced right but race has strength in depth
Champion Chase - one of the races of the Festival coming up
RH: Is Sprinter as good as he was, highly unlikely. More likely to be retired than win. I like SDG, very honest, but drying ground a questio
RH: Dodging Bullets never thought he'd get up the hill at the Festival. Interested in Champagne Fever. What's the deal David?
RH: Festival record makes him interesting. Race with question marks however
GE: SDG beat nothing the other day. Dodging is a flat bred. Hidden Cyclone goes Ryanair. Thought he had a chance Champ Chase.
MW: Confusing race. Doubts over everything. Can't believe Champagne got beat last year. Sprinter Sacre burst a blood vessel that's awful
MW: Couldn't back it to get up the hill after its problem. Dodging Bullets wins round right handed tracks
MW: One race that confuses me, not clever enough to sort it out. If Mr Mole wins it I'll be doing a Basil Fawlty. Can't have it
DC: Wouldn't ride Sprinter. No chance. Bleeding too much. Barry talking shite. If he was riding that chair he'd say it'd have a chance
DC: Dodging Bullets looks reformed, can't see him coming up hill. Champagne bit of an afterthought. Has got course form though.
DC: Hidden Cyclone has a chance if he turns up. One at a big price for a place, Simply Ned. Bits of form that'd give him a chance
BG: I went down the list and found one at the bottom. Special Tiara bit of a reformed character. Jumped rivals into submission at Kempton
That's it then folks. Interval time.
We're back underway with the bumper
DC: Pileonthepressure impressive the first day. Beat a good one first time out from the Roche yard. Visually most impressive. Up in the air
DC: Vigil beat a horse of Willie's and won a schooling bumper few weeks ago. Maybe Willie doesn't know his best horse
GE: Disappointed by Space Cadet when beat by POTP. The winner was impressive though. Bordini for me will be shorter on day.
GE: General Principle - bought him out of Crawfords. Thought he wasn't fit enough first day. But won nicely.
RH: Supasundae now with third trainer in as many runs. Now with De Bromhead. Wait For Me won nicely on debut. Would they be good enough?
MW: Patrick probs ride Bordini. Will shorten. Willie won it 8 times. Gordon runs two, will be the value with his record this year.
RG: Quiet betting heat. So many question marks. Win once then put away. One horse interested is See The World. Ran all over the place
GE: See The World absolutely no chance
RG: Moon Racer strongest of the English. Up For Review beat by one of Gordon's and then at the weekend. But would be interesting
So a wide open heat the Bumper as usual. Onto the Ryanair Chase.
GE: Don Cossack in great form. Great prep. Finishing his races stronger. Couldn't be happier at home
GE: 4/1 is short. I got excited when I first had him. Hopefully if he wins it'll be dream come true.
Gordon loves this horse it seems and is keen....
GE: Really looking forward to it. If he could win it'd be brilliant. Ride him forward, but would like to have a lead on him. Gallop to line
GE: Taquin Du Seuil has good form round Cheltenham. Horse I'd be most afraid of. After that I can't really tell ya
RG: Horse deserves to be at head of market. One thing when he fell last year he was travelling sweetly. Can't have Cue Card bang outa form
RG: John's Spirit a bit of value likes it at Cheltenham. Don Cossack could go off short if Irish are cleaning up early in the week
RH: Johns Spirit of interest. Traveled well enough for long enough in King George. Good record at Chelt. Drying ground a plus
MW: Ma Filleule second last year to Holywell. Comes to herself in spring. Gets allowance. 2 runner race. Cue Card is gone. Back is done
MW: Ma Filleule lightly raced horse. Jumps brilliantly. Blatant two runner race
DC: I like the mare. She comes well in herself in Spring. She won at Aintree ran well the last day. Has to go some to beat Don Cossack tho..
World Hurdle up next
MW: Saphir Du Rheu has come on bundles. He rally battled at Cheltenham past Reve De Sivola. At the prices it's a big each way bet
MW: Can't have Zarkandar. Well beat last year. Why did Fehily get off Rock On? Henderson making word about Whisper.
RH: Saphir Du Rheu is short enough. RDS pushed him close. Take a chance on Whisper. Drying ground in his favour. Hendo plots him out
GE: Dedigout it the ground turns up soft at a big price each way
RG: Jetson and Lieutenant Colonel best Irish hopes. realistically they have no chance. Whisper has won round the track.
RG: One of the races we'll take a view on in the morning. I don't know how strong the Irish form is at the minute. Saphir Du Rheu gun to hed
DC: Rock On Ruby, I think he'll stay. Heard Harry Fry has monkey each way on him at 9/1.
Triumph Hurdle up next.
RG: A lot of impressive performances. Peace and Co probs his right price now. This will be the lay of the meeting for us cos of strength
RG: Hargam impressed me. Beltor don't know what to make of him. Quickened up the last day but what did he beat?
RG: Petite Parisienne was good the last day but the third horse isn't too clever for the form
RG: Value wise i'd go Top Notch. But this will be our lay of the meeting Peace And Co
DC: Wonder whether Willie's are good enough. Hargam beat Starcitecht as easy as Peace and Co did. Beltor would be fav if with Hendo/Nicholls
MW: Robert Stephens doesn't know where Cheltenham is. Top Notch, though worried he doesn't go.
MW: Kalkir could be a bet at the prices, wasn't right at Xmas missed work. So Kalkir and Top Notch after he jumped well the last day
RH: Can't have a strong view at all. Gwencilly Berbad, might be a horse that is underestimated. Beltor should be kept for Aintree.
Up next according to the Couch is the Potato Race! Albert Bartlett to you and me
GE: Tell Us More going well. Scoped bad the last day. Rode work at Lep and he's in good form. If he won the last day he'd be 4/1 fav.
GE: Step up in trip right up his alley. Ground isn't a worry either. 8/1 is a right kinda price. Top each way bet. Everything's well.
DC: Black Hercules in good enough order. Huge engine, bit of course form after the Bumper. Deffos has his chance. Open and strong race
DC: Value At Risk a decent horse. Good bumper horse with Fenton. Stayed on the last time at Chelt. No standout candidates. Maybe VAR ew
MW: Fenton had more drugs than Amy Winehouse. Interesting Willie never won this. I do like Vyta Du Roc, but may run in the Neptune
MW: Martello Tower is another one for me in the race, but have backed Vyta Du Roc NRNB.
RH: Not convinced Value At Risk is a Cheltenham horse. Like Martello Tower. Hendo seems convinced Vyta has a lot of speed. But should gohere
RG: Didn't like Black Hercules when he won. Hasn't beat much. Value At Risk was beat fair and square last time. McKinley if he was to go
RG: Flat track form shocking. Underlating track is fantastic. David thinks he goes Hcap route. Under the radar at a big price if he goes
DC: Ground too sticky last time on McKinley. Bit quirky at home. Doesn't always put his best foot forward. Willie thinks he's well hcapped
DC: Probs too far down the hcap though so will have to run in a novice race.
Gold Cup then up next!
DC: No balls the stewards. I shoulda got it last year. Shit happens we move on. You have to stretch the truth a little in the stewards...
DC: At the moment I ride Home Farm. Big outsider in the race. Could improve and you never know. Wide open contest. Silviniaco best form
DC: Not sure I'd be confident backing him. Many Clouds improving, Road To Riches. Carlingford Lough my choice, better prep this year
DC: Don't belive the ulcer problem story from Nicholls. Thought LW had no chance last year. Hard to work the race out. LW trained for this
GE: Think it's a load of bollix saying he's been trained for one day. Love to see Carlingford win it and AP. Open race
RH: Culloty hardly had a winner since LW. Conti been good this year. But best form on flat tracks. Will he get up hill?
RH: Smad Place doesn't have ability to win but may be ridden for a place. Generally against front of the market
MW: Not a great prep for Holywell. Is it good enough? Carlingford makes a lot of mistakes. But does battle. 4 or 5 in a line jumping at end
MW: One thing about last year, class from Wylie saying he didn't wanna win it in the Stewards room. Djakadam different class of form
MW: Travelling like a dream last year till it fell in JLT. Won Thyestes under top weight. Better form than the rest of them.
MW: Sam Winner overpriced. Conti flat track bully. Could lead at the last and won't get up the hill. KG form is bad.
DC: Djakadam worked well at Lep on Sat.
RG: Carlingford maybe the value is gone. How AP got him up the last day unreal. Irish Hen a funny race this year. What way will form hold?
RG: Form from last year's race is not good enough this year. Road To Riches done nothing wrong. Was the Thyestes that strong? 5 finished
RG: I come back to Smad Place gonna be big price and get a run for money. Likewise Sam Winner. Not much to make up from his Lexus run.
Run through the Hcaps now!
DC: Annie Power in the mares in any sort of good form she'll win.
RH: Buddy Bolero holds lots of entries, now with Tony Martin. Good Festival form. On a good mark. Maybe 3 mile chase on day one
RH: Thomas Crapper under a good mark in the novice hcap
GE: Cause of Causes I think he'll run well in the 4 miler. He stays so the trip is not a worry
GE: Chicago Grey had wind operation and in the X Country. Hostile Fire, more the ground dries the better for him in Fred Winter.
GE: Tagliatelle in the Coral Cup will go for us. Won a charity race the last day
RH: Alderwood has a few entries, but he's a chance off a reasonable mark and is a JP horse.
DC: Un Atout might be one for Willie.
DC: Vautour should win the JLT. Very good horse.Blip at Xmas, but came back and has been impressive. Nap of the week
MW: Brother Brian nap of the meeting in the Pertemps. Previously won at Cheltenham in April. Beat Call The Cops who has won well since
RH: Ataglance in the Festival plate
MW: Ned Buntline hopefully give AP a good ending for Grand Annual. Should go off shorter
RH: Eastlake another for JP in the Grand Annual. Workable mark
RG: Le Mercurey well backed in the Martin Pipe. Strong vibes from stable. Look out for the value over the next days
RG: Big offers for tomorrow - Douvan 5/2 for the Supreme and Un De Sceaux at EVS! Singles only for £50
Naps time!!!
RH: Buddy Bolero and Ataglance.
GE: Monetaire in Grand Annual or Plate
MW: Brother Brian in the Pertemps
DC: Vautour JLT
RG: The Druids Nephew - first day handicap chase 3 mile
That concludes the evening. Fantastic night we'll round it all up shortly!
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