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2014 Cheltenham Festival Preview Night Reports

Dont know why OV posted his on Champion Hurdle thread

@paddockpreview and Cafe En Seine this evening.
 
From Cafe En Seine

https://twitter.com/rossmoyno7

At the Cafe en Seine preview night with
Barry G,
Gordon Elliot,
Donn McClean,
Kevin O' Ryan,
Dave Keena and
Leon Blanche


Supreme

Barry says he has a nice problem picking here. Vaniteux working great but both have massive chances. Doesnt fancy Vautour or Irving
Gordon likes Wicklow Brave. Vautour had soft lead the last day. Gilgamboa perhaps a big price too EW.
Personally gutted they aren't grilling Barry re who he rides. Slimy feeling it'll be Vaniteux.
Don reckons nothing between Wicklow and Vautour. Wicklow to improve jumping with racing and the faster of the two.
Leon reckons it's a big move going here with Gilgamboa. Eligible for a 100k bonus and sidestepped the handicaps for this. EW selection.
General feel that Irving has no chance/is a lay. Won't stay they say!

Arkle

Barry says Grandouet not been working well. Champagne hard to beat, Trifolium a bit of value.
Gordon goes for Champagne, Cheltenham record speaks for itself.


Champion Hurdle

Barry says Cee Bee makes it more straightforward. Best horse will win. Open race.
Gordon goes for Fly, he's a Champion.
Our Conor 'the next Hurricane Fly' for Donn. Big words.
KOR struts in late and says Hurricane hard to beat, doesn't get the credit he deserves.


Mares

Best word tonight is that Cailin Annamh heads to the Mares with @BarryJGeraghty on board, serious mare

Neptune:

Barry says Faugheen vulnerable. Rathvinden the bet, reverses form with Sherlock on better ground.
KOR likes Red Sherlock, won with a bit in hand last time out. Lieutenant Colonel EW bet to nada.

RSA
Different story round Cheltenham for Don Coasack says the Tub, faster they go the better it'll suit his fella
Barry says Balleycasey very impressive, one to beat. Will learn from fall schooling fall the last day.

Champion Chase

Barry says Captain Conan in unreal form, thinks the QMCC will be his day.

Special Tiara EW for KOR, big price on good ground. All out to get SDG #SurpriseSurprise


Ross went to the bar ;) but we picked up these from @boylesports


Brilliant atmosphere here, everyone's in full mode! Tips galore on the way!

Supreme Novice's Hurdle preview up now
Gilgamboa could be a decent bet according to Barry Geraghty and Gordon Elliott
Barry and Donn say Irving doesn't hold much of a chance, Wicklow Brave impressive in last few runs
Not much between Vautour and Wicklow Brave according to Donn
Leon fancies Gilgamboa also. Great each-way bet at 16/1
Dave Keena says Irving is the LAY of the meeting!
Dave reckons Vautour should win the Supreme well
Dave says back Gilgamboa each-way now at 16's before the price shortens

Barry says Trifolium is the best bet for the Arkle at 5/1
Leon says Champoagne Fever comes alive at and is a worthy fav. Against Rock On Ruby. Recommends each-way bet on Valdez 9/1
Donn says Rock On Ruby has no chance for the Arkle.
Champagne Fever gets Dave's vote, Felix Yonger might run in the JLT. Trifolium travels well esp on dry ground. Irish 1st & 2nd

Barry says Jezki is the value in the Champion Hdl at 8/1 - solid each-way bet. The Fly is the one to beat
Gordon can't see past a win for Hurricane Fly in the Champion Hdl
Our Conor could be the next Hurricane Fly. Jezki is the overpriced horse of the race - Donn
Too many contenders in the race to make a case for. The New One's form is very sketchy - Dave
Dave going for Hurricane Fly 1st and Jezki 2nd in the Champion Hdl
Leon also going for The Fly 1st and Jezki 2nd
Kevin O'Ryan has now joined us after making his way from Clonmel
Kevin says Vautour is the one to beat in the Supreme. Western Boy is a decent outside bet at 14/1. Also a fan of Gilgamboa

Barry reckons Faugheen is vulnerable for the Neptune. Rathvinden and Royal Boy hold the best value in the race
Leon also going for Rathvinden each-way
Faugheen hasn't run since Christmas, too short for what he has achieved - Dave
Kevin likes Red Sherlock. Each-way bet Lieutenant Colonel at 16/1
Neptune is a tricky race according to Gordon. Recommends a small each-way bet on Lieutenant Colonel
Donn also a fan of Lieutenant Colonel


Irish will definitely win RSA - Ballycasey impressive - Gordon
Morning Assembly most unexposed horse in RSA good bet at 8/1. Questions Ballycasey. - Dave
Barry impressed with Ballycasey, one to beat at 4/1
O Faolains Boy is a cracking each way bet at 14/1 - Leon
Kevin is a big fan of Carlingford Lough and Morning Assembly for the RSA. Both against the field

Champion Chase could be Captain Conan's - Barry
Kid Cassidy at 10/1 for Donn. Baily Green impressive also for Champion Chase
Sizing Europe has no chance. Each way bets on Baily Green and Special Tiara for Kevin
Ground has to dry out for Special Tiara
Everyone pining for Sprinter Sacre here

Baily Green each way and a bet on Captain Conan for Leon
Black Hercules for the Champion Bumper for Gordon if the ground isn't too fast. 6/1 fav
Golantilla has course form and is a decent price at 12/1. Donn
Shaneshill at 7/1 for the Bumper for Leon especially with Ruby Walsh booked for the ride
A lot of love here for Shaneshill for the Bumper!
@BarryJGeraghty rides Joshua Lane in Champion Bumper. Each way value #cheltenham
@BoylesportsLB And @irishkor just had a €200 match bet at Evens for @JTMcFundP2P on Golantilla V Kiltullagh Vic #cheltenham


Kevin and Barry favour First Lieutenant for the Ryanair Chase
Dave doesn't have a strong opinion for the Ryanair but would choose Benefficient if necessary
Leon also with First Lieutenant at 5/1
Donn reckons the Ryanair will be a pretty weak race

Gordon fancies Big Buck's for the World Hurdle at 9/4. Gordon's horse Mala Beach may not run depending on the ground
At Fishers Cross coming back to form. 6/1 for the World Hurdle. Annie Power gets Leon's vote at 7/4
Big Buck's may well not progress for World Hurdle - Donn
Annie Power most likely winner of World Hurdle but 7/4 price doesn't appeal to Dave
Kevin's with Annie Power. Rule The World will finish 2nd at 8/1

Tiger Roll at 12/1 offers good ew value for the Triumph - Barry
Le Rocher impressive but a worry on good ground - Donn
Guitar Pete great improver. Donn fancies Gordon's horse Tiger Roll ew also at 12/1. The value of the race
Willie Mullins' Gitane Du Berlalis severely overpriced for the Triumph - Leon
Gitane Du Berlais currently 16/1
Rutherglen at 14/1 for Dave. Tiger Roll 12/1 is favoured for an ew bet by Kevin. Popular here tonight!

Briar Hill banker of the meeting for the panel!

Bobs Worth gets the vote from the whole panel for the Gold Cup
Kevin fancies The Giant Bolster at 16/1 for the Gold Cup. Last Instalment popular with Barry and Donn, NRMB if doesn't run
Tripoli d'alene 16/1 great ew bet according to Leon and Barry, improving and likes good ground
Dave doesn't rate Silviniaco Conti, Gordon reckons Last Instalment doubtful for Gold Cup
Bobs Worth/Briar Hill double of the meeting!


Barry rides Ericht 10/1 in the Novice Handicap Chase and reckons it could be one of his best rides of
Barry also likes Dawalan 6/1 in the Fred Winter

<a href="http://ads.boylesports.com/redirect.aspx?pid=28314&bid=1873"><img alt="" src="http://ads.boylesports.com/renderimage.aspx?pid=28314&bid=1873" border=0></img ></a>
 
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Paddock Preview Twitter one ..

https://twitter.com/TheJockeyClub/lists/cheltpreview

Comment first tweeter after

So, we start on Tuesday, and look at the big race. Hurricane Fly wins his third Champion Hurdle & 20th Grade One. Right?
Paddock Preview ‏
Not sure Willie Mullins is into excessive hyperbole but thinks HF could be better than ever
Cornelius Lysaght ‏
I've opposed him in the past, but I'm struggling to do so this time. Our Conor and The New One the dangers.
Kevin Blake ‏
Well you say that confidently but at the moment, he's only the outright favourite with one firm
George Primarolo ‏
how perfect would that be; finally some recognition for a great horse. The New One to upset him?
Kim Bailey
A touch of place dropping going on here, but he was making exactly that point in Melbourne last November. Bullish even then
Lee Mottershead ‏
Can't have My Tent Or Yours on my mind. Jezki is the interesting one at a bigger price, poor rides last 2 runs
Kevin Blake ‏
My innermost feeling has generally been to oppose Fly. The feeling has always been wrong. I'll be opposing him again, though
Lee Mottershead ‏
Hurricane Fly = one defeat in 17 runs since 2009, in a tactical race. Hard not to like a horse like that at 3-1 or better
chris cook ‏
The two for me are The New One and Our Conor. Just not sure which. Both might well have as much pace as Fly but younger legs
Lee Mottershead ‏
What's your main objection to MTOY? Connections threatening to take control of the race with Captain Cee Bee
chris cook ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview our Conor coming good at the right time? #cheltenpreview
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
@PaddockPreview Love everything re The New One; terrific story but can I screw up eyes & see him beat HF? No
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
Agree with Kevin. I think MTOY is probably a very good horse but in an extremely good year.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
Would have to agree with - at the prices, HF is a bit too big. Expect him to be shorter come the off
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
I think I expect him to be much shorter. They love him.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
They had control with Captain CB twice this season and made a balls of it twice! Just think The New One is better.
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
You been getting special prices over in Ireland, Chris?
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@PaddockPreview When I screw mine up I see something different - and you're right, would be a terrific story.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
@kimbaileyracing @PaddockPreview Definitely looks to be and I can see a clear case for him.
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview I was looking at Betfair, 100-30 just now. Have to take account of the commission, of course!
chris cook ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview this the big one for NTD as he has won every big race bar CH
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
Can't but help think Our Conor will perform better on Tuesday than we've seen so far this year - dazzling in Triumph.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
3/1 available now with some firms. Will he be shorter? Yes. Will he win? On all known form, yes
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
Quickly on the Champion Hurdle, can anyone see an outsider make the frame? Melodic Rendezvous would be popular. Nice team
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@PaddockPreview A very nice team and a very nice horse. Probably underrated but he could run a PB and not be placed.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
@ashsh @PaddockPreview miss read that first time.. didnt read the 'nt!!
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
*DISCLAIMER* - younger horses can improve past a 10yo, especially on good ground
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
Agree and creeping closer to HF but work to be done
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
I'd normally prefer the previous Festival winner. But I think MTOY looked just the better horse at Kempton
chris cook ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Captain CB will be a monstrous price, but likes the track and has been very sweet this season. You never know!
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview @Nick_Scholfield believes he is no back number. The ground will be dead on Tuesday . surprise
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
@PaddockPreview Ptit Zig is way overpriced at 50-1 for a G1 winner this season. Wait to see him declared tho
chris cook ‏ 1h
Cheltenham Festival chat with top panel under way at @PaddockPreview. Feel free to retweet or follow. Join the conversation
Francis Keogh ‏@HonestFrank 1h
@PaddockPreview Sorry I'm late #M4crash. Re Champ Hdle -Willie Mullins said HF summered better than ever & stronger this yr.
Aly Rowell ‏@AlyRowell 1h
@kimbaileyracing @PaddockPreview @Nick_Scholfield Yes. We had NIck and Jeremy at the @RacingLRC and they were pretty positive
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
@HonestFrank @PaddockPreview is anybody out there?!
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
@PaddockPreview Not Melodic R if this is as good a race as we say: the 3 will be HF, TNO, OC
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview @Nick_Scholfield @RacingLRC I bet they smiled a lot? Good team..
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
Everyone loves MR but every run this season suggests he'll be outpaced in this race before staying on at the death
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Not Melodic R if this is as good a race as we say: the 3 will be HF, TNO, OC
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
And by staying on, I mean staying on into third at best
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
Let's move to the opener, the Supreme Novices. Gotta love that roar. Any thoughts, panel, and how's Un Ace, Kim?
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@kimbaileyracing @PaddockPreview @Nick_Scholfield Colleague saw NS take pearlier & still got up smiling!!
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Vautour is very solid, but Wicklow Brave is preferred at the price. Very classy, best yet to come.
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview @Nick_Scholfield really?
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
@kimbaileyracing @PaddockPreview @Nick_Scholfield @RacingLRC A fun night was had by all!
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Not a fan of Irving, doesn't jump well enough, never gone left handed over jumps.
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
Wicklow Brave keeps shortening for the Supreme but he doesn't look a natural hurdler to me
chris cook ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview At a bigger price, Gilgamboa is very interesting. Improving rapidly, impressive in the Boylesports Hurdle LTO.
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
@AlyRowell Hi - glad you made it. There's a virtual cocktail waiting for you. We've done the Champ Hurdle, now Supreme
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@PaddockPreview Really very keen on Gilgamboa. Travelled like a dream in major handicap, quickened well, has excellent form.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
If you're having a bet, check out the offers from the sponsors (@SkyBet) or the firm who have had lots of publicity this week
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
Like and I am a fan of Gilgamboa. That handicap form should prove v strong
chris cook ‏ 1h
Very surprised you can still get 16-1. Rider was taking a pull at the top of Leopy straight
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
But Vautour looked really classy the last day. Would say he's the most likely winner
chris cook ‏ 1h
Don't have a strong opinion but like Vaniteux as a horse and there seem to be some strong noises coming from the trainer
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Is there a drying ground issue for Gilgamboa
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
Agree. Willie M & Ruby hold the cards to this race. I believe Irving is better on flat tracks.
Aly Rowell ‏@AlyRowell 1h
He's interesting. Trainer seemed inclined not to run not long ago. Has clearly thrived recently.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
Sounds like you should be worried about this Gilgamboa, @kimbaileyracing ...
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@PaddockPreview really happy with UA. Big ask and rumours not true that @Nick_Scholfield would like to ride him
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
Love one from that stable that thrives near to the Festival
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
Time to pick the pace up a little. Who wins the Arkle and any other Tuesday thoughts?
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@PaddockPreview Good-to-soft will be no problem, IMO.
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Re ground (Sorry Kim) BBC forecast saying v warm & dry after tomorrow
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview I fear it will be a below-par Arkle. I'd be a bit negative on Champagne Fever and Trifolium.
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
Grandouet will be single figures in the Arkle so if you fancy him, get on now
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Gun to head, I would go with Rock On Ruby, but with no mighty conviction.
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Alan King goes into the meeting with fresh horses. Valdez is a good shout
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
@Ldndmc And My Tent Or Yours. #knockingonthedoor
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview With his #CheltFest record Rock On Ruby banker for frame and could easily win.
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview hiring a bowser
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
@PaddockPreview Have no idea why so many judges seem to be against Rock On Ruby. Can't see what there's not to like myself.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Apparently HF has BROKEN Rock On Ruby. He did break Peddlers across to be fair
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Peddlers Cross obv.
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Maybe that's why people haven't taken the Fly to their hearts. Bit of a brute.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview How can anyone claim ROR broken by anyone? #SkippedroundDonny
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
Kicking on to Wednesday, Champion Chase. At one preview, a wag said v weak renewal and the ambulance had an each-way shout..
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
It pains me but I have to take on Champagne Fever. Can't have his last run as the right prep for an Arkle winner
chris cook ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview sadly without SS is possibly is Module for me
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
NJH notably strong re Grandouet at open day (though didn't detect it like I did !)
 
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@PaddockPreview It's in no way a vintage renewal but we're in the story business and Sire De Grugy would be great story.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
I did and he looked a picture. Some value in him as well.
Aly Rowell ‏@AlyRowell 1h
He's a massive price at the moment
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
I think all this talk of a weak Champion Chase is insulting to Sire De Grugy, a really talented beast + no forlorn hope vs SS
chris cook ‏ 1h
@kimbaileyracing @PaddockPreview Captain Conan, though I think ambulance line uncharacteristically harsh !
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Benefficient is a massive player if running, but I like Captain Conan, unexposed in fast-run 2m, more to come.
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
( Meaning SDG would have been no forlorn hope against Sprinter Sacre, if SS had turned up)
chris cook ‏ 1h
@kimbaileyracing @AlyRowell I know it's been a long day, but keep an eye on your hashtags
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@PaddockPreview At NJH open day, head lad Corky Brown gave me a wink & said Captain Conan his big hope for Chelt. QMCC.
Aly Rowell ‏@AlyRowell 1h
@PaddockPreview @kimbaileyracing Sorry...big strong cocktail on empty stomach!
Aly Rowell ‏@AlyRowell 1h
I'd say a forlorn hope against a tip-top Sprinter Sacre but that would have been true of most former CC winners
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
The worry about SDG is that his season started in October + trainer wasn't thinking about Festival as late as December
chris cook ‏ 1h
He can probably run a few pounds below his best and still win. Hope he does win too.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
Why not Sizing Europe? 16/1? Clear second best to SS last year
George Primarolo ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Opp for me to say hairdresser part owner cutting Andrew Thornton's hair, @bbc5live Mon 9-10-30
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
You probably shouldn't rule out Badsworth Boy, either.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
Didn't get a wink like @alyrowell at NJH yard, but Hobbs team say Wishfull Thinking (33-1) very well. Each-way squeak
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@PaddockPreview @bbc5live Very nicely plugged.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
@AlyRowell @PaddockPreview dyslexic
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
Important not to underestimate SDG (easy to back today); though track might not suit, chance that won't matter
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
Quick look at the RSA Chase - any strong views?
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@AlyRowell @PaddockPreview Are we sure the wink was related to Captain Conan?
chris cook ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Not a very strong view but would plump for Carlingford Lough if he runs.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview Carlingford Lough intriguing
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 1h
with you on Carlingford Lough. AP mentioned as target long way out PS Carlingford Lough a very nice spot
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@PaddockPreview Duly noted. Always looking for new places to go. Went through Chobham for the first time on Tuesday.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 1h
@AlyRowell I think #thewink could be subject of much interpretation
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 1h
@PaddockPreview again one for AK and Smad Place
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 1h
@PaddockPreview If Ballycasey wins,he will be the first since Florida Pearl (1998) to win the RSA with just 2 runs over fences
Kevin Blake ‏ 1h
@PaddockPreview That said, I still think Ballycasey can do it. Wouldn't worry about his schooling fall, he is a class act.
Kevin Blake ‏ 59m
@kimbaileyracing @AlyRowell @PaddockPreview Excuses excuses Kim. #RaraRad
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 59m
@PaddockPreview @bbc5live Plugging seems to be ok unlike place dropping !!
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 58m
Right let's wrap Wednesday - anything re Coral Cup etc Pull up to the Bumper, baby...
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 58m
@PaddockPreview The worry about Carlingford Lough is that he has been on the go for an awful long time. #galwayplatewinner
Kevin Blake ‏ 58m
@PaddockPreview Rebecca Curtis' O'Faolains Boy a massive price in RSA Chase #WinkWink
Aly Rowell ‏@AlyRowell 58m
No opinion on the RSA. As an aside, Jim Rosenthal is commentating on Crufts at the moment - that's versatility
George Primarolo ‏ 58m
@PaddockPreview I have a sneaky fancy for Silver Concorde in the bumper, but not a race I'd be too bullish about.
Kevin Blake ‏ 56m
@PaddockPreview @bbc5live You must plug better than I place drop. Credit where credit is due.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 55m
@PaddockPreview Have a big priced one for the Coral Cup if continues to dry up (news before 9!)
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 55m
@PaddockPreview Un Temps Pour Tout in the Coral Cup now that Sure Reef isn't in the Coral Cup.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 55m
In terms of the Bumper, I shall continue backing John Ferguson's selection until he wins it (El Namoose)
George Primarolo ‏ 54m
@PaddockPreview coral cup a timely winner for PF with Dunguib
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 54m
My main concern on the Weds is that Big Shu runs well enough to go to Aintree but not so well as to kill his chance there
chris cook ‏ 53m
@PaddockPreview I still rue the day I didn't back Cue Card in the Bumper so will back Third Act this year.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 52m
@PaddockPreview Let it go - those sorts of reverses will eat you up #carrickboy
George Primarolo ‏ 51m
@PaddockPreview not my fav race of the meeting..pin hit a Mullins
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 50m
Surprised to see 12s about Katgary in Fred Winter. Paul Nicholls sweet on French recruit. I suggest will go off shorter
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 50m
@PaddockPreview I know you're right but it's tough. The sight of him pulling double on the bend....
 
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That sentiment may be repeated when we get to day 4 and the Gold Cup !!
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 49m
The Gold Cup is not a good prep for Cup of Tea
George Primarolo ‏ 48m
Quick timeout, and maybe a tipple. Will retweet a few thoughts from followers then it's Thursday & World Hurdle
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 48m
Are you a Triolo fan? Will not stay 4m3f, alas, unless he has a wee sit down at halfway
chris cook ‏ 47m
@PaddockPreview How long we got?
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 46m
@PaddockPreview surprise and follow goodwood mirage in Fred winter. One hated juveniles and one jumping
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 46m
8.15 please!!
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 45m
Haha. How nicely put. #PaulaRadcliffe came to mind! No not into Triolo or Tea For Three but makes it challenging
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 43m
@PaddockPreview if we are having a break. MTOYs
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 42m
@kimbaileyracing Sounds like an in tents experience
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 41m
Hate trainers changing mind (NJH said TDE defo NOT going to GC); make good decisions 1st time cos good trainers !!
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 39m
Cheltenham chat heading into Thur shortly at @PaddockPreview. We'll ask trainer Kim Bailey about Gold Cup & panel picks
Francis Keogh ‏@HonestFrank 38m
And...we're back in the room. World Hurdle, Thursday. Looks a blockbuster. Annie Power v Big Buck's & others. Discuss
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 37m
@PaddockPreview Wonderful race. Don't really have the strong objections many do to Annie Power not going for the Champion...
Lee Mottershead ‏ 35m
Annie Power hoses up in the World Hurdle. Then some people still bang on about which race she should have run in
chris cook ‏ 35m
@PaddockPreview ...if you respect Champion Chase compared to Gold Cup, you have to respect World Hurdle. It's a great clash.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 35m
@PaddockPreview And one I very much hope Big Buck's wins. Think he might well do just that too.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 34m
@PaddockPreview Every chance Annie Power (AP!) could be new racing phenomenon & with name/regular trips to GB could be HUGE
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 34m
@PaddockPreview For me, Big Buck's doesn't look the horse he was. If Annie Power stays, which she should, she'll bolt up.
Kevin Blake ‏ 34m
@PaddockPreview Big Bucks for me but perhaps Daryl Jacob had his reasons for not siding with him. Zarkandar the dark horse?
Aly Rowell ‏@AlyRowell 33m
The Power may be fading in the darting world but she's in the ascendancy elsewhere. The King is dead - long live the Queen
George Primarolo ‏ 33m
@PaddockPreview Some folk seem to want to browbeat WM into running AP against HF. Why would he want to?
chris cook ‏ 31m
Annie Power looks special, though I love it when Paul Nicholls believes in a horse (Big Buck's) & he does 'bring em back'
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 31m
@PaddockPreview Completely agree.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 30m
@PaddockPreview #AnniePower named after breeder's battling granny. More info? Dare I ask battling the GB in less peaceful times? Kevin?
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 29m
Lol, I detected it but I've been to that particular circus before
chris cook ‏ 28m
@PaddockPreview Annie has only beaten zarkandar..is that good enough. Great mare but big bucks will prevail
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 28m
@PaddockPreview #AnniePower named after breeder's battling granny. More info? Battling the GB in less peaceful times? Kevin?
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 28m
More Of That is still a lively one in the World Hurdle. Easy to see AP ruing his choice of At Fishers Cross
chris cook ‏ 26m
Right, buckle in, ready for boarding - the Ryanair. Think I'll pass on this one..
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 26m
To make it clear, Big Buck's dam is called Buck's. He's a big sort. hence Big Buck's
George Primarolo ‏ 26m
Completely agree too. As WM said at media day, if people ask him to train they know how it works!
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 25m
Al Ferof has the ability for the Ryanair but he can't have enjoyed those last 2 runs. Benefficient has the Festival form
chris cook ‏ 24m
@PaddockPreview I sense John Hales would rather have passed on it, too, but I think his horse will win the race.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 23m
@PaddockPreview Number 2 nap of week = Benefficent in Ryanair #Courseform #Ticksalltheboxes
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 21m
@PaddockPreview The Ryanair. A race for non-stayers, the not-quite-good-enoughs and those with bottler connections. #notforme
Kevin Blake ‏ 20m
@PaddockPreview good call and agree Benefficent
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 19m
I'm loving 's take on this. Given Phil Hobbs' form this year compared to the the last two, Menorah has a chance
George Primarolo ‏ 19m
You'll have free flights for life at this rate, Kevin!
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 18m
Other Thur thoughts: Think Rajdhani Express (16/1) has claims in Byrne Plate for Sam Waley-Cohen. Won at Festival last year
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 18m
@PaddockPreview Bit mean. Cue Card is exactly the kind of horse shown to best advantage by the Ryanair
chris cook ‏ 17m
Think the Hobbs team will have good week. More of which later
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 17m
@PaddockPreview Once one of the good Championship races becomes available to sponsor, Ryanair will be changing races ASAP!
Kevin Blake ‏ 17m
@PaddockPreview Bit obvious and predictable but Indian Castle must have a smashing chance in the Kim Muir.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 16m
@PaddockPreview Think you'll find the Gold Cup might be up for grabs based on earlier RP stories this season
Lee Mottershead ‏ 14m
Hunt Ball should be in the Ryanair. But because the handicapper perversely dropped him 6lb last time, he'll run in a handicap
chris cook ‏ 14m
@PaddockPreview Very WELL WRITTEN and INSIGHTFUL RP stories !! #Whowrotethem
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 13m
@PaddockPreview Oscar Whisky won't run a bad race in the JLT & is a reasonable price. Loves Chelt (211 there this season).
Aly Rowell ‏@AlyRowell 13m
As an aside Sam Waley-Cohen told me that he'd hopefully be on Roberto Goldback in Kim Muir, Anquetta (Grand Annual)
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 13m
@PaddockPreview You'll make me blush, stop it!
Lee Mottershead ‏ 13m
@PaddockPreview Such a shame. I genuinely would have laid down and died for the old Tote
George Primarolo ‏ 12m
@PaddockPreview That's the kind of man you are George.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 11m
@PaddockPreview #ThoughtitwasGrahamGreen !!
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 11m
Alfie Sherrin - Kim Muir. Two great names. Two Festival favourites
George Primarolo ‏ 10m
Charging on to the Gold Cup, the rest of Friday, then your selections. First up, the Gold Cup. Bobs Worth worthy fav?
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 10m
Alfie Sherrin - Kim Muir. Two Festival favourites
George Primarolo ‏ 10m
@PaddockPreview #Mybubbleiswellandtrulypricked
Lee Mottershead ‏ 9m
@PaddockPreview Bobs Worth is the rock solid, incredibly dull selection. If Last Instalment doesn't run, it will lose sparkle.
Kevin Blake ‏ 8m
Bobs Worth definitely a worthy fav. But Silviniaco Conti has had a better season and is more tempting at the odds
chris cook ‏ 8m
@PaddockPreview gold cup could change dramatically during week. Bobs worth ever chance to reclaim crown .. Unless it rains!!
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 8m
@PaddockPreview A defending champ, triple Festival winner and Grade 1 victor last time. Must be a worthy fav.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 7m
Just need to give a big @PaddockPreview welcome to England rugby union legend @JonSleightholme
George Primarolo ‏ 7m
@PaddockPreview Briar Hill would be my banker of the week in the Albert Bartlett. His massive talent is shrouded by laziness.
Kevin Blake ‏ 7m
@PaddockPreview At a bigger price, Arctic Fire makes appeal in the County Hurdle. Crying out for a fast pace and lots of cover
Kevin Blake ‏ 6m
Come on then @kimbaileyracing. How is Harry Topper, does he need soft in going description, what's his chances?
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 6m
@PaddockPreview Yes - Bob's Worth 5 from 5 at Chelt but looking at race, some value beyond the top 2.
Aly Rowell ‏@AlyRowell 5m
@PaddockPreview Can't see him getting him beat, either. Worry is I thought same of Boston Bob in same race.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 5m
@PaddockPreview Likewise!
Kevin Blake ‏ 4m
@PaddockPreview HT is flying but will want soft in going description. Forecast not helpful.
Kim Bailey ‏@kimbaileyracing 4m
@PaddockPreview BW loves Chelt, but Silviniaco C was going like winner when falling & is on up up up; The GB outstanding EW
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 4m
@PaddockPreview So costly.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 3m
The Giant Bolster is going to hit the frame again isn't he?
George Primarolo ‏ 3m
@kimbaileyracing Would Harry Topper run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup if say Good, Good to Soft places, do you think?
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 3m
@PaddockPreview @kimbaileyracing Will HT run anyway or are you preparing to scratch ? #Weatherforecast
Cornelius Lysaght ‏ 3m
Am personally looking forward to seeing Knockara Beau finishing an honourable sixth
George Primarolo ‏ 3m
I so hope the ground allows Harry Topper to have a cut at the Gold Cup. We haven't seen the best of him by miles
chris cook ‏ 3m
@AlyRowell Where is this value!?
Paddock Preview ‏@PaddockPreview 2m
Find Bobs Worth's case much the most persuasuve but can also see Triolo and Rocky running very big races.
Lee Mottershead ‏ 2m
 
Paul Ferguson ‏@paulfergusonJTF 1m

Cracking preview night in Dublin last night -
charity bets:
Andrew Lynch - Annie Power,
Ken Pitterson - Calipto,
Sean Quinn - Bobs Worth
& myself - Faugheen.

Andrew Lynch was very upbeat about Sizing Europe and looking forward to riding him & Sizing Gold most next week
 
Originally posted by bitchy on racecaller but since he has taken some the other way :

SKYBET CHELTENHAM PREVIEW EVENING at ELLAND ROAD, LEEDS UNITED F.C.

Sportinglife.com’s David Ord acted as M.C. for the evening presiding over Jason Maguire (JM), leading Irish racing journalist, Donn McClean (DM), the face of Sky Sports Horseracing, Alex Hammond (AH), One Jump Ahead author Mark Howard (MH) and RacingUK broadcaster, Niall Hannity (NH).

Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

JM: We will try and nick a bit of place money with Un Ace. If it comes to a fight, I would fancy Vautour to outbattle Irving.
DM: The Irish team is strong. Ruby got his own way on Vautour in the Deloitte and there is no one better than him in that situation but The Tullow Tank couldn’t get close. Willie also has Wicklow Brave but in contrast to Vautour he needs to jump slicker but he can quicken impressively. It will be hard for Ruby to get off a Deloitte winner.
AH: Vautour for me, especially as it looks like Ruby will ride. I would worry if it is soft that would blunt Irving’s speed.
MH: I think Vautour should be favourite and not Irving. He is a Grade 1 winner who beat a dual Grade 1 winner. I think Walsh is being diplomatic in saying it was a close choice between Vautour and Wicklow Brave. Vautour has the ideal profile for this race but the ground looks like it will dry out which is a slight concern.
NH: I fancy Vautour will be backed into favourite. Irving is very guessy at his hurdles and I am totally against him. Wilde Blue Yonder has fallen the last twice but is each-way value at 25/1. So I am selecting to a two-timer faller after saying Vautour is a bad jumper!
MS: We are money back (up to £25) if the favourite wins on the first race of each day. The money for Vaniteux lately suggests Geraghty is likely to ride him instead of Josses Hill.


Arkle Trophy

JM: I’d love to ride Champagne Fever. Okay he got beat last time but I think he can bounce back. I don’t think Rock On Ruby jumps well enough.
DM: He is a super horse but I am worried about Champagne Fever’s preparation. I thought he schooled well on Sunday but it is not ideal his last run was a defeat and back in December. We know he handles the track and Festival conditions. Trifolium jumped great when he won last time and finished a fresh horse. I think he is rock solid.
AH: I fancy Rock On Ruby who clearly loves Cheltenham and comes right in the spring. His trainer has an amazing strike rate this season.
MH: I am a big fan of Champagne Fever. He had excuses of Christmas as got into a speed duel with Defy Logic and a number of the stable’s horses weren’t running as hoped. I am not sure Trifolium as is as good as he looked last time as his two main rivals had excuses.
NH: I have massive respect for Trifolium but have backed Rock On Ruby a few weeks ago who is a real spring horse. Grandouet has looked a hound over fences.
MS: I can’t have Dodging Bullets, I think he’s soft. Trifolium for me.

Champion Hurdle

JM: Definitely Hurricane Fly. He basically finished Peddlers Cross when he beat me three years ago who has not been the same since. I don’t think My Tent Or Yours will get up the hill as he’s too free.
DM: Hurricane Fly sets the standard. I spoke to Dessie Hughes yesterday and he says Our Conor is flying and he has had a similar preparation to Hardy Eustace. Barry Connell bought him to win the Champion Hurdle and he has purely been trained for it. Jezki has schooled in a hood and is the only value left in the race.
AH: I’m such a big fan of Hurricane Fly. He’s the complete professional, not always flashy but keeps doing it and I don’t think he is on the decline at the age of ten. I respect Our Conor and love The New One but while The Fly is still around, he’s the one.
MH: I’ve changed my mind so many times. I have it between My Tent Or Yours and Our Conor. Danny Mullins is a good rider but it will favour McCoy and Walsh if it gets tactical. The drying ground will play to My Tent Or Yours’ strengths.
NH: Captain Cee Bee has been supplemented so they will go a gallop. Hurricane Fly probably needs a career best to win and I am not sure what his Irish Champion Hurdle win was worth with a 13-year-old that close up. If Jezki settles in his hood, then he’s a runner. I prefer The New One of the British but Our Conor at a push.
MS: I think this is a 3/1 the field race and bookies will try and get Hurricane Fly so I would wait if you fancy him.
 
Neptune Investment Management Novices’ Hurdle

JM: Diamond King waits for Aintree.
DM: Faugheen has done it between 2m and 3m and from good to heavy but his jumping can be a bit sticky. Rathvinden has been well backed lately. Geraghty thinks Rathvinden would have beaten Red Sherlock last time if he did not fall at Warwick. He might be the value.
AH: I like Rathvinden who gave 3lb to Red Sherlock when beaten 2½ lengths last time and he’s a much bigger price.
MH: I have it between the big two of Faugheen and Red Sherlock and Mullins will have a good idea where he stands as Rathvinden ran Red Sherlock close. My marginal preference is for Faugheen.
NH: I am against Faugheen at the price, he might be over-bet and he jumped like a goat over easy fix hurdles. Red Sherlock and Rathvinden both had hard races on heavy ground last time. Lieutenant Colonel appeals as pick of the prices.
MS: Rathvinden has been the one for money in recent days.


RSA Chase

JM: Corrin Wood is one of the best jumpers I have come across. He’s a dour stayer, very honest and will relish a battle.
DM: Ballycasey had the pace to beat specialist two-milers well on his chase debut. It’s not such a bad thing he fell in his school. That happens all the time at home. I like Morning Assembly and love the way he battled to beat Don Cossack on his second chase start. There was no great pace when the battle hardened Carlingford Lough was too streetwise for him next time. A bit of cut would help his chance.
AH: Morning Assembly is a smashing horse, a real old-fashioned chaser who jumps well. It is not necessarily a bad thing that Ballycasey fell in his school. So did Rule Supreme before he won this race.
MH: I quite like Don Cossack who I think will improve for stepping up to 3m for the first time. I am not convinced by Smad Place and he keeps coming up short in Grade 1s. I have respect for Morning Assembly but Ballycasey is fragile and Carlingford Lough looks exposed.
NH: This is wide open and Ballycasey is tight enough. Morning Assembly is the best of the Irish. I think there is more to come from Many Clouds who got caught up in speed duel up front in the Reynoldstown.

Queen Mother Champion Chase

JM: My only worry with Sire De Grugy is whether he will get racing too soon with the likes of Sizing Europe and Captain Conan. I like Hinterland off a hold-up ride.
DM: Ruby and Willie say Arvika Ligeonneire can go left-handed but Cheltenham is far more on the turn that Leopardstown. Geraghty was very bullish about Captain Conan last night and said he worked extremely well. Baily Green comes into this on decent ground and his trainer is a demon at preparing a horse for the Festival.
AH: Arvika Ligeonneire seems straighter now and his class can tell despite his shocker in last year’s Arkle.
MH: Captain Conan has already beaten Sire De Grugy once but whether he is a Queen Mother winner I am not sure. I don’t think Cheltenham plays to Sire De Grugy’s strengths. Sizing Europe is 12 and Arvika Ligeonneire is much better the other way so I am left with Captain Conan by process of elimination.
NH: This is not a vintage Champion Chase to be nice to it. I think Sire De Grugy will be a bigger price on the day, Captain Conan is also too short and Kid Cassidy is mad. I will put two up each-way. He may be 12 but if Sizing Europe is within a stone of his best he can place again and Hinterland is an interesting second season novice.
MS: The firms will want to get Sire De Grugy and I can see him as big as 11/4 on the morning.

JLT Novices’ Chase

JM: No real view.
DM: Felix Yonger will be better on better ground. Djakadam got 11lb when he last time but just 1lb here. It looked like he might miss the race but he schooled so well on Sunday it appears to have forced a rethink. Felix Yonger is a worthy favourite.
AH: I like Vukovar. He is only five so there is more to come and best to catch French horses when they are young.
MH: I’d be against Oscar Whisky on his Festival profile. Taquin Du Seuil likes it really soft so the ground is going against him. I’d have it between Wonderful Charm who is the best jumper in the field and Felix Yonger with the ground coming in his favour.
NH: Wonderful Charm should reverse form with Oscar Whisky on 8lb better terms. Vukovar jumps well but 8/1 is a bit tight. I was very keen on Taquin Du Seuil until the ground started to dry up as he loves it deep. I’m quite keen on Sizing Gold.

Ryanair Chase

JM: Dynaste is a cert if he reproduces his Haydock run.
DM: Benefficient beat Dynaste last year and should be favourite but he is still under-rated. First Lieutenant was second to Cue Card last year but there is no Cue Card this time.
AH: Dynaste had a muscle problem in the King George and that’s a worry. This is Al Ferof’s trip.
MH: Probably Benefficient. He is proven at Cheltenham over around this trip and also proved he could win over 2m1f to show how good he is. Dynaste has not had the ideal preparation and First Lieutenant is a bigger danger. I was disappointed with him when second last year but it was Cue Card who beat him.
NH: You would be mad to back Al Ferof at 4/1 off the back of his last run. If Dynaste replicates his Betfair Chase second, then he wins.

World Hurdle

JM: I would love to be on Annie Power. The step up to 3m will be no problem for her. I was second behind More Of That earlier in the season and he impressed me.
DM: We have no idea how good Annie Power is. She is unbeaten in ten races and Mullins doesn’t flinch if you mention her in the same breath as Dawn Run and I think he is trying to restrain his enthusiasm for her. Rule The World is too big at 10/1 as his second in the Neptune was a very good run given it wasn’t run a true gallop which didn’t suit him. He was very good at Naas albeit at a much lower level.
AH: I think Annie Power will probably win but I don’t think we will see the best of her until over fences.
MH: People expected too much of Big Buck’s in the Cleeve and better ground will play to his strengths. However, it is still a big ask to give Annie Power 7lb and she’s the one to beat. The fact At Fishers Cross couldn’t beat Knockara Beau tells me he is vulnerable.
NH: Annie Power is bred for this trip so I have little doubt she will stay and it will be hard for any horse to give her 7lb. Rule The World is the danger.
MS: All the money has been for Annie Power. Firms will want to get Big Buck’s and I imagine you will get 3/1 at some point.


Triumph Hurdle

JM: Rutherglen was impressive at Wetherby and Bangor and won at Musselburgh although the track was too sharp. He will definitely get the trip. Le Rocher is the one to beat though.
DM: Guitar Pete keeps on improving. Geraghty was not bullish about Royal Irish Hussar last night who beat him in November. Tiger Roll was second to Guitar Pete last time on just his second hurdles start and he missed the last flight. He is a lively outsider.
AH: I like Guitar Pete who keeps stepping up and he won the same Grade 1 race as Our Conor last year.
MH: I think Calipto is a very good long term project but wonder if he is battle hardened enough against Flat horses. Le Rocher sets the standard but drying ground is a worry. I prefer the Flat horses. Broughton worked really well the other day and has lots of speed but his stamina is a slight worry.
NH: It is not like Gigginstown to buy a 3yo from Nigel Hawke after winning at Market Rasen so Tiger Roll is interesting. Rutherglen can also run well.
MS: Broughton is my banker of the week.


Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

JM: Kings Palace for me. He sets a great gallop and stays well.
DM: Briar Hill is a very popular choice at the Irish preview evenings. He has only been beating small fields doing enough but will take a lot of beating on a course we know he likes.
AH: Kings Palace oozed class last time. Proper horse.
MH: I prefer Briar Hill of the big two and think he will improve for stepping up to 3m. He has a bit more pace than Kings Palace and can stalk him and pounce in the home straight.
NH: I don’t see a shock and see this between the big two. Captain Cutter won a poor Challow.
MS: We’ll have it right off if we can get the front two beat.


Gold Cup

JM: Harry Topper is a mudlark so I don’t want to see it dry out. If the ground is decent I think Silviniaco Conti will beat Bobs Worth for speed.
DM: Last Instalment is still too big a price. Connections have a concern of faster ground as he has glass legs and tendon problems but the best he looked as a novice was on good ground when beating First Lieutenant by 6 lengths and First Lieutenant loves good ground. He has only had six runs over fences so there is more to come.
AH: I like Silviniaco Conti. It’s so hard to win back-to-back Gold Cups.
MH: The market looks right. I would worry about a dry week for Last Instalment. Bobs Worth goes well fresh and quickened to win the Lexus. Toss of the coin between the big two but I just favour Bobs Worth.
NH: Bobs Worth has an exceptional record and not just at Cheltenham. It has to be unlikely Last Instalment will run if they say he only runs if it is soft ground looking at the forecast. If Captain Chris is placed I’ll eat my feet. His jumping to the right is more marked than when he won the Arkle. Cloudy Too is my idea of the best big outsider at 66/1 who could nick a place.
MS: Triolo D’Alene has been the best backed horse in the last week.
 
Cafe En Seine Charity Bets

charity bets;

barry gearaghty - more of that and jezki- 100 e/way double
gordon elliot- on the fringe - 200 win
denis keena- 200 win briar hill
donn mclean- 100 last installment,
kevin o'ryan- 50 e/way tiger roll,
leon blanche- goes €100 Double on Briar Hill and Bobs Worth and & €100 win on Cheltenian -


I have now contributed :p
 
mayo aka @cheltenhamap has been in chelsea tonight and this is what we have

Panel

Big Mac
Mick Fitz MF
Tom Segal aka Pricewise
Oliver Sherwood

Chair - emma spencer

Started with usual big mac thing


No Philip Fenton winners - that's what we have to hope for racing - Big Mac
Tom Segal - having backed dunquib & last installment I hope he has winners


Going
Fitz - they will start on good to soft - first bet of the week

Supreme
MF -Irving wins the Supreme
Tom Segal looking for a stayer in supreme - As before Gilgamboa ew for pricewise

Arkle
Segal says he has changed his mind and thinks champagne fever a cert having started liking trifolium
MF champagne fever
Big Mac Valdez only danger to CF

Festival Handicap

Fitz - whatever race Holywell runs in

Champion Hurdle
Mf - UDS still in the mix !
Pricewise - Our Conor has NO Chance thinks it is Hurricane Fly vs MTOY
Sherwood thinks Jezki will be on premises - Fitz disagrees

NH Chase
Pricewise : Shutthefrontdoor vs Foxrock Segal favours first
Segal Black Thunder might switch to RSA
Mick Fitz : Ricci fancies Faugheen CF and Ballycasey in that order

RSA
Segal suggests Ballycasey run in doubt prefers morning assembly
Sherwood Many clouds could be placed in RSA

Coral Cup
Dunquib for pricewise in coral cup 16s somewhere ?
Segal you can't back SiRe de Grugy tips Sizing Europe each way !
MF Hinterland - time in sandown better than sire de grugy on Tingle creek day
Big Mac - Captain Conan

Star Neville for Pricewise in cross country
Carry on Sydney a good thing tomorrow - circumstances forced us Sherwood

Ryanair
Big Mac - Benefficient in Ryanair his bet of the meeting
Segal - Benneficient might be in champion chase !

World Hurdle
Big Mac - Ricci listened to me #anniepower
If Anniepower stays she wins #pricewise
Pricewise says Annie running in world hurdle for political reasons #lastchoice

Byrne Group Plate : Emma suggests Johns Spirit would
Cause of causes fancied in Kim Muir by pricewise
Pendra more likely to run in novice handicap - pricewise
Indian castle backed to win a fortune Fitz

Triumph
Big Mac - le rocher
Artic fire in county for pricewise
Cheltenian best of meeting for Hobbs - Big Mac
Deputy Dan - each way price for Albert Bartlett Sherwood

Gold Cup
Sherwood - Henderson will have 1-2
Pricewise - Bobs Worth a dodgy jumper :mad:
Silvi Conti for Pricewise
Big Mac on Bobs Worth - why has such an ugly horse been so good

Fox hunters Pricewise on Oscar delta
Pricewise - Arnuad - Grand annual
Mr Mole for Fitzy

NAPs
Oliver - Carry on Sydney
Pricewise - Champagne fever & Dunquib
Fitzy - Annie Power & Foxrock
Big Mac - Benneficient - Ryanair

Swing Bowler for pricewise tomorrow

thx to our own
Cheltenham Antepost ‏@CheltenhamAP
 
I can cut & paste too :) ...another one of bitchys from racecaller

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Birmingham Preview Evening at The Old Oscott Working Mens Club on Thursday 6th March

Panel

ST – Sam Turner – Daily Mail and William Hill Radio Tipster
LH – Lydia Hislop – Racing UK Presenter/Pundit
SM – Steve Mellish – Racing UK/RFO Pundit
JM – John Morris – Host and Author of Jumping Prospects

Supreme

ST – this race looks one for one at a bigger price and there are a host of possibilities outside the market principals. I did like Josses Hill but am concerned about reports that he has gone off the boil in his recent pieces of work. With that in mind, I’ll just side with Irving for his toe although it isn’t a bet race for me.

SM – Irving and Vautour are both short enough in the betting, Vautour is unlikely to get a soft lead as he did in Ireland and I’m not sure what Irving’s latest run told us about him. I am concerned about the vibes around Josses Hill but I feel if he runs to form, he won’t be out of the first three.

LH – Vaniteux surprised connections with a piece of work recently and is now in the running for this race. Andrew Tinkler suggested Barry Geraghty would probably ride him and on that basis I will put him up, although I agree that the Josses Hill and Royal Boy form looks strong.

JB – Wicklow Brave’s jumping is not up to scratch and I fancy Vautour very strongly, having been very impressed with him in Ireland

Arkle

LH – If you back Champagne Fever it is based on his previous festival form as both he and Rock On Ruby are inexperienced over fences. Dodging Bullets has the best form behind Module at Newbury and is an appealing price. But Trifolium was impressive last time and I’ll take him just over Dodging Bullets as I thought he would make a chaser when behind Cinders and Ashes in the Supreme.

SM – My strongest view of the week is Champagne Fever. He won one of the best Supremes in recent years and jumps exceptionally. An alternative might be Grandouet who is the potential class horse with a great cruising speed.

ST – It is worth bearing in mind that prominent racers have won twelve of the last sixteen renewals of this race. Not sure whether Champagne Fever will be there to be shot at by the speed horses. I like Trifolium who has been campaigned well by trainer Charles Byrnes, now that they know the way to ride him, he jumps well and has that festival experience.

Champion Hurdle

JM – This looks one of the best Champion Hurdles in a long time and I think Hurricane Fly will buzz in.

SM – Hurricane Fly’s best form is on slow ground in Ireland and my gut feeling is for Our Conor, who has been trained for this race all season, although the jockey would be a slight negative.

ST – I like My Tent Or Yours as I see him coming last off the bridle. I’m not sure last season’s Champion Hurdle form is up to much and with Hurricane Fly being a year older it looks a big ask. I can see the case for The New One but My Tent Or Yours’ Supreme form is strong and he did two canters today despite his setback.

LH – In terms of Hurricane Fly, Willie Mullins has decided not to run Un De Sceaux and Annie Power against him, whilst he is a very good horse, he is ten and I’m against him at the prices. I think The New One will win as this will prove to be a simpler race in terms of tactics.

JM – Donald McCain says Peddlers Cross has never recovered from being beaten by Hurricane Fly in the Champion Hurdle. I think Hurricane Fly is in better form this year than before and will win.


OLBG Mares

LH – Quevega wasn’t pleasing Willie Mullins for a few days and we have no idea whether age has taken its toll. I like Swing Bowler who ran well to be fifth in the Betfair Hurdle and a year on she is stronger and should get the trip no problem.

SM – I don’t like having a bet in these sorts of races but I hope that Quevega wins.

ST – Last Saturday, Quevega reported to have worked as well as she has in three years. Connections are very happy with Cockney Sparrow after Doncaster, she should stay having won over 1m6f on the flat and AP has been booked to ride her.


Neptune

JM – this looks a match between Faugheen and Red Sherlock

ST – Faugheen worked dreadfully on Saturday having been well all year and they even changed his feed 10 days ago in a bid to get him back to normal. There has been money for Rathvinden who could run, Royal Boy is interesting but Red Sherlock is 2 for 2 at Cheltenham and I will go for him each way.

SM – Royal Boy is a second season novice with good form with Josses Hill in the Tolworth. Faugheen is short enough and I see Royal Boy as the each-way alternative.

LH – I also like the Royal Boy/Josses Hill formline and think it is very good. Red Sherlock also has plenty going in his favour against Faugheen

JM – Faugheen has not put a foot wrong on the racecourse yet and if he turns up, he is my nap of the meeting.


RSA

JM – Donald McCain is very keen on Corrin Wood in this race

LH – I love Corrin Wood but he never struck me as good enough to win the RSA. I can’t have Ballycasey, Smad Place won well last time although Sam Winner will be better at these weights and Shutthefrontdoor has had a wind op. I can’t see a standout and like Le Bec and Sam Winner at the prices.

SM – The most likely winner looks to be Smad Place although Sam Winner shouldn’t be 14s if he is 7s and I think he (Sam Winner) will run very well.

ST – Sam Winner is overpriced, I’m not convinced by Ballycasey and can see the case for Morning Assembly but will go for Sam Winner for his form at Cheltenham earlier in the season.

JM – O’Faolains Boy was pulled up when his trainer’s horses just weren’t right but ran well at Ascot to win. He will act on any ground and his trainer has always seen him as an RSA horse.



Queen Mother Champion Chase

ST – Sire De Grugy is a worthy favourite although it is a race with an angle. Arvika Legionairre doesn’t enjoy going left-handed and Captain Conan just hasn’t delivered but has been working well. I will side with Hinterland at around 14 or 16/1.

SM – I would like Gary Moore to win the race as he does really well with moderate horses. Sire De Grugy sets the standard but it is not a race to have a bet in.

LH – Sire De Grugy is not at his best at Cheltenham and I would be concerned about the drying ground. Kid Cassidy and Special Tiara both have e/w chances but Henry De Bromhead re-routing Sizing Europe would be a concern for the latter.

JM – I like Hinterland e/w, having jumped well at Sandown on his latest start


Fred Winter

SM – I’m pleased to see Dawalan has headgear fitted and on better ground he should run well.

JM – three of the last four winners were rated 127, Arthur Moore-trained Sea Beat won on latest start to get in and is interesting.

Champion Bumper

ST – Killultagh Vic won at Naas last time and put up a tremendous speed figure

JM – Golantilla was third last year and probably wasn’t fit last time out.

Cheltenham Gold Cup

LH – I backed Bobs Worth after his flop in the Betfair. If I was betting now I would back Silviniaco Conti. The second best form on offer comes from Captain Chris and although he is better right-handed he is in the form of his life. At the prices Bobs Worth is no value.

SM – It is difficult to know where Silviniaco Conti would have finished when falling last year but is preferred to Bobs Worth. I think Teaforthree will run well as thorough stayers have done in the past and he looks a little bit of value.

ST – I think Bobs Worth will win as he wants decent ground, I was surprised he won the Lexus Chase last time out and can’t look beyond him. 33/1 is a big price for Teaforthree who has won at Cheltenham, Captain Chris is an e/w bet and 40/1 looks a tall price about Long Run.

JM – I’m a big Bobs Worth fan. The Lexus run was a great performance after his Betfair Chase disappointment.


Ryanair

ST – I have backed Al Ferof given his excellent Cheltenham record and think he will win.

JH (John Hales – owner of Al Ferof) – the whole idea this season was to go for the Gold Cup. He didn’t act on the ground in the King George and last time. He is a brilliant 2m4f horse and I would be very disappointed if he didn’t win.

LH – Benefficient looks hard to knock out of the frame if he runs. I can’t have Dynaste after flopping last time despite having had a wind operation since.

SM – this is not a race that I like. But I think Al Ferof has a very good chance and is the classiest horse in the race.

JM – The market is often a good guide here with five of the last six winners having been first or second favourite.


JLT Novices’

LH – Oscar Whiskey doesn’t jump and given his poor Festival form he is a terrible price. Djakadam is a Gold Cup winner in the making, travels and jumps and I think if he runs he wins. Wonderful Charm also has a strong chance.

SM – Wonderful Charm looks a solid horse in this race and can’t see why he won’t run well. I would be concerned by Oscar Whiskey’s jumping for him and Wonderful Charm looks likely to give you a good run for your money.

ST – Felix Yonger was second to Simonsig in the Neptune and beat Trifolium earlier in the season. I also like Djakadam, he is a huge horse and beat a subsequent winner last time. Sizing Gold is also interesting, he was beaten by Foxrock last time but moved like the best horse.

JM – I have been really impressed with Djakadam
 
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World Hurdle

SM – this looks a fantastic race. I like Annie Power at the weights but you are taken for granted that she stays. I think she will win although she was quite edgy in the paddock at Doncaster last time.

LH – At the weights Annie Power is the best horse in the race but the occasion could get to her. This is likely to be a strong stamina test due to the strong Paul Nicholls contingent trying to find chinks in Annie Power’s stamina. AP went for proven stamina when picking At Fishers Cross and cheekpieces seemed to help last time. I like More Of That as he is less exposed and AP was concerned about the choice he made when sitting on him the other morning.

ST – Not necessarily a two-horse race. Rule The World’s trainer is adept at getting horses right on the day at the Festival. Difficult to see Big Buck’s being good enough to concede weight to Annie Power considering how close Voler Le Vedette got to him two years ago.

JM – More Of That has had a setback at some stage but is right now. At Fishers Cross will be better on good ground and would have got there in another stride in the Cleeve Hurdle.


Triumph

ST – Rutherglen was going to run in the Fred Winter but was put up 7lb for standing in his box so goes to the Triumph. That may suit him as there are only two hurdles in last seven furlongs as he stays well having won over two miles on the flat. You could do worse each-way.

SM – Le Rocher looks the best horse in the race and 6/1 looks appealing. His win on Cheltenham Trials Day looks solid and the Triumph is often won by horses who stay further. He has a great chance if he goes on the ground. Activial jumps very well but only 50-50 to take his chance in the race.

LH – I backed Plinth who will be better on a sounder surface and a lack of jumping will help him in the latter part of the race. I see no reason why Le Rocher won’t go on better ground, I don’t like Broughton and Royal Irish Hussar would need good ground to show his best. Gitane Du Berlais would be a big player if she handles the ground with her mares allowance.

ST – I think Calipto is the real deal. Paul Nicholls thinks he is one for the future but he has plenty of toe as well.

JM – Calipto for me. Acitivial will have a good chance at Aintree.


Albert Bartlett

ST – I’m a big King’s Palace fan, he jumps really well and has impressed with his three wins and his professional manner. We have not seen him for ninety days but I understand that this was always the plan for him. He also has the cruising speed to take Briar Hill and Captain Cutter out of their comfort zone.

LH – King’s Palace was my first ante-post bet of the season. I would be concerned that Tom Scudamore can go off too quickly in races and could do so if taken on for the lead. Deputy Dan might also run well.

SM – Ruby Walsh loves Briar Hill and was very complimentary about him on Racing UK. I like Captain Cutter, the step up to 3m should suit and he is bred to get the trip.

JM – Captain Cutter looks the good e/w value in the race and finished his race off really well at Newbury in the Challow




Grand Annual

LH – If Tony Martin runs Ted Veale he would have an outstanding chance

ST – Michael Scudamore is very positive about the chances of Next Sensation

JM – Anay Turge has won at Cheltenham and would be interesting if he gets in, Ericht would also be interesting.

Handicaps

The panellists were then asked to nominate any horses that they fancied in the handicaps at the meeting:

ST – Tap Night in the Byrne Group Plate – he is very well and has blossomed following a lighter work schedule at home. There is plenty of positivity about this horse’s chances at the Festival.

LH – Indian Castle in the Kim Muir. Derek O’Connor has been booked to ride, faster ground should not be a problem for him and he looks a bit better than his current handicap mark.
I also like Sure Reef in the County Hurdle if he runs.

SM – Tap Night runs in the Byrne Group Plate off a lower mark than he started the season with and he looks likely to be backed in on the day.

I also like Lac Fontana in the County Hurdle, he looked to have really come of age on Cheltenham Trials Day and I was very impressed.

Bet Of The Meeting

LH – Djakadam in the JLT

SM – Champagne Fever in the Arkle

ST – Red Sherlock in the Neptune

JM – Faugheen or Djakadam


Lay of the Meeting

LH – Big Bucks or Oscar Whiskey for a place

SM – Ballycasey for a place

ST – Sire De Grugy


Charity Bets

LH – King’s Palace in the Albert Bartlett

SM – Sam Winner e/w in the RSA

ST – My Tent Or Yours in the Champion Hurdle

JM – Faugheen wherever he runs.
 

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