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  1. Runragged

    2026 Novice Hurdlers

    Altior also had four hurdle starts by that stage including a grade 2 win over course and distance. Shishkin is the only winner in last 14 years not to win a graded race prior to the Supreme. He had 4 starts (in practise) and had won the listed Sidney Banks by 11 lengths prior to the Festival.
  2. Runragged

    2026 Hunters Chase

    Unexpected Party has no chance of staying the trip at the Festival. Aintree Foxhunters and then potentially Hunter Chase day at Cheltenham has to be the targets.
  3. Runragged

    2026 Novice Chasers

    Thanks. Bit of a strange race. Pace looked pedestrian early and I was swearing at Danny giving Kappa so much to do in last. However, picked up nicely in the end. Didn't think he looked that comfortable jumping at the slow pace either. Interested what rating he gets now and where they are...
  4. Runragged

    2026 Novice Chasers

    Kappa Jy Pyke looks a bit of value today against Predators Gold. Though Salvator Mundi didn't frank the form on next run, Kappa jumped and travelled really well suggesting there could be any amount of improvement to come. Predators Gold was impressive in his own right and is the pick of Townend...
  5. Runragged

    2026 Novice Hurdlers

    Not just flip flopped, Saint Baco out to 4/1 with Sortudo 13/8. Classical Creek nibbled in also.
  6. Runragged

    General Chat

    Yes, you are right, my mistake. Quickly looked at last years race and saw Chambard on 10st, not realising it included jockeys 5lb claim! Stumptown is as short as he is because bookies want to avoid the e/w bets. He should be thereabouts again even though it will be tougher to win a handicap...
  7. Runragged

    General Chat

    Assuming Stumptown is 163 and top weight off 11st 10lb and bottom weight is 10st then you need to be within 24lb of him which would be a rating of 139. Just looking at the Cross Country, boy it looks a shit race this year currently! Main rival in the betting is an 11yo who began the season in a...
  8. Runragged

    General Chat

    163 is a hell of a lot to win a handicap off. However, still only a 9yo whilst you would think Vanillier as an 11yo may be regressing slightly now. I would be more concerned with Final Orders, who assuming he got a 6lb rise would also be off 144 and getting 19lb from Stumptown. I'm also wary of...
  9. Runragged

    Cheltenham Festival Roll-Ups

    I'll be honest, I don't really go in too much for that rivalry business (Probably because we have been so bad in Derby's in the last 15 years!). They need to be careful though as they are in serious danger of going down and look in a very similar situation to us a few years ago (fans unrest with...
  10. Runragged

    Cheltenham Festival Roll-Ups

    As an Ipswich fan I wouldn't be too confident. Distinct lack of strikers and scoring options with many in the first team likely to be rested and a chance to play the fringe players. Our general record in cup games of late has been atrocious as well.
  11. Runragged

    2026 Gold Cup

    Firstly, you can get all sectional data on Attheraces for free including pace analysis. Secondly and to answer your questions. @opatcho put up an excellent post regarding the dosage of Gold Cup winners and highlighted TJM as a doubtful stayer based on past winners of the race. Then you have the...
  12. Runragged

    2026 Ryanair Chase

    "Only 8yo" suggests they would have one dart at it next year if taking the view you can't win for the first time at 10yo+. I don't take too much from his 2nd in the race last year. It was a case of F2F first, rest nowhere. Depending on how you want to look at it, the Gold Cup looks an open race...
  13. Runragged

    2026 Ryanair Chase

    Said in jest I suspect but is a possibility. I'm probably one of the few that thinks Fact To File could well go Gold Cup especially if Inothewayurthinkin doesn't show much at the DRF. He couldn't go the pace in the John Durkan and was outpaced in the King George. It's possible he has grown up...
  14. Runragged

    Bookmakers Special Offers:

    Sinnatra and Nurse Susan ensure the bet is a winner
  15. Runragged

    Bookmakers Special Offers:

    Non runners in first race means Sinnatra is 1/12 to win which you imagine would give him 1 winner. Then got Jet Plane (9/4), Nurse Susan (7/2), Le Milos (9/2) & Brace For Landing (22/1).
  16. Runragged

    Non Runner No Bet (post #1 for updates)

    Spoke to a mate who works in WillHill and they said it all got scrapped, all marketing destroyed etc. Doesn't think they will be going early on the NRMB now.
  17. Runragged

    2026 Champion Chase

    Kind of hoping this backfires as think he would have a great e/w chance in the Ryanair this year. Don't think his 2nd in the Manifesto nor 2nd to Jango Baie first up this season is bad form considering, especially as the two horses to beat him are unlikely to wind up in the Ryanair.
  18. Runragged

    2026 Novice Hurdlers

    I was quietly impressed with NDTE, but not to the point I would want to be taking his current price. Wondered what Cobden was doing turning for home having led throughout only to stack them up behind jumping three out. But he then extended away again and always had the race under control. Think...
  19. Runragged

    2026 Novice Chasers

    Logical would be to go for Hampton or Reynoldstown, depending on how close to Cheltenham you want to race, and make a decision from that.
  20. Runragged

    2026 Champion Chase

    Great run from both Solness and Marine Nationale, especially after the mistake the latter made to throw him out of position. What to make of Majborough though? Jumped better, had every chance, just seemed a bit one paced at the finish. Suspect softer ground and a stiffer test may suit more...
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