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AI vs Cheltenham (Punter or Really a Plonker)

Again, using gault stats, most likely winner of the Plate according to copilot is Booster Bob.

Why?
Strong novice (or second season chaser) profile 7 chase runs
Ran at Cheltenham this season 5th
No graded win negative (*ai got that wrong as BB's won a G3)
Fits rating and pace angles
No trend red flags

Scoring framework - 14

Main dangers
McLaurey - 13, unexposed ticks almost every trend bar course run this season
Zurich - 13, only Cheltenham winner boosted by chase run profit
Theatre Native - 13, Irish, course run, unexposed
 
Last edited:
That Horse said:
Again, using gault stats, most likely winner of the Plate according to copilot is Booster Bob.

Why?
Strong novice profile 7 chase runs
Ran at Cheltenham this season 5th
No graded win negative (*ai got that wrong as BB's won a G3)
Fits rating and pace angles
No trend red flags

Scoring framework - 14

Main dangers
McLaurey - 13, unexposed ticks almost every trend bar course run this season
Zurich - 13, only Cheltenham winner boosted by chase run profit
Theatre Native - 13, Irish, course run, unexposed
Click to expand...
He's not a novice is he?
 
Zachx02 said:
Why I think LLMs are useless with this stuff really
Click to expand...
To be fair it was just the analysis summary I pasted, it did note it was novice and/or second season chasers as a positive for Booster Bob so I've went back and edited original post. It did save time reviewing the trends compared to what time I'd normally spend on them. However, it's no crystal ball.
 
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Claude cited FatJockey to me today guys, you've made it
 
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Zachx02 said:
Once all balloted out horses are removed from the racing post cards, I'll get my model ran
Click to expand...
Old Park Star, Cheltenham, 5/2
Lulamba, Cheltenham, 7/4
Mustang Du Breuil, Cheltenham, 12/1
Konfusion, Cheltenham, 16/1
The New Lion, Cheltenham, 3/1
Zurich, Cheltenham, 11/1
Kurasso Blue, Cheltenham, 16/1

From the model for tomorrow, seems to think Nicky will have a good day
 
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Konfusion came up big on my model too
 
The way I've played them is I've done a top finishes acca on 365 with them, with top9/10finishes for the handicaps and top 3/4 for grade 1s, acca came out to like 27/1
 
Kurasso blue and Mustang into favs today but no returns, frustrating. But overtime we'll claw it back. Here's tomorrows

No Drama This End, Cheltenham, 3/1
Romeo Coolio, Cheltenham, 5/2
Storm Heart, Cheltenham, 6/1
Desertmore House, Cheltenham, 9/2
Il Etait Temps, Cheltenham, 9/2
Jour d'Evasion, Cheltenham, 16/1
It's Only A Game, Cheltenham, 20/1
 
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I'm actually close to jacking it - claude keeps making tons of mistakes an eating into my usage
 
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