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The Forum Monthly Yankees 2019

Middle_Of_March

Middle_Of_March

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I thought a thread with each yankee in seemed appropriate for future clarification purposes. I’m happy to add to it every month with the latest one thrown in.

March:
Buveur D’Air @ 7/2 - Champion Hurdle
Altior @ 7/4 - Champion Chase
Penhil @ 5/1 - Stayers’ Hurdle
Presenting Percy @ 6/1 - Gold Cup

Best odds - 519/1
Bookmaker - William Hill



April:
Summerville Boy @ 12/1 - Champion Hurdle
Santini @ 12/1 - RSA Chase
Samcro @ 5/1 - JLT Novices Chase
Identity Thief @ 20/1 - Stayers’ Hurdle

Best odds - 21,293/1
Bookmaker - Betfair



May:
Laurina @ 5/2 - Mares Hurdle
Tiger Roll @ 4/1 - Cross Country
Willoughby Court @ 25/1 - Ryanair Chase
Might Bite @ 5/1 - Gold Cup

Best odds - 2729/1
Bookmaker - Bet365



June (each way):
Summerville Boy @ 12/1 - Champion Hurdle
Delta Work @ 25/1 - National Hunt Chase
Monalee @ 16/1 - Ryanair Chase
Annibale Fly @ 33/1 - Gold Cup

Best odds - 195,363/1
Bookmaker - Paddy Power



July:
Laurina @ 12/1 - Arkle
Benie Des Dieux @ 7/2 - Mares Hurdle
Kalashnikov @ 25/1 - JLT
Penhill @ 9/1 - Stayers Hurdle

Best odds - 15,209/1
Bookmaker - Coral



August:
Paloma Blue @ 20/1 - Arkle
Samcro @ 7/1 - Champion Hurdle
Commander of Fleet @ 16/1 - Ballymore
Topofthegame @ 20/1 - RSA

Best odds - 59,976/1
Bookmaker - Coral



September:
Santini @ 8/1 - RSA
Black Op @ 8/1 - JLT
Never Adapt @ 25/1 - Triumph
Gilgamboa @ 14/1 - Foxhunters

Best odds - 31,589/1
Bookmaker - Skybet



October:
Annamix @ 10/1 - Supreme
Mengli Khan @ 16/1 - Arkle
Energuemene @ 33/1 - Champion Bumper
Al Boum Photo @ 33/1 - Gold Cup

Best odds - 216,271/1
Bookmaker - Bet365



November:
Lalor - Arkle - 9/2
Malone Road - Bumper - 9/2
Santini - RSA - 7/2
Adjali - Triumph - 25/1

Best odds - 3,538/1
Bookmaker - Betfair



December:
Angels Breath - Supreme - 7/1
Topofthegame - RSA - 8/1
Quel Destin - Triumph - 14/1
Stand Up And Fight - Foxhunters - 7/1

Best odds - 8,639/1
Bookmaker - Ladbrokes


January:
Cilaos Emery - Arkle @ 15/2
OK Corral - NH Chase @ 10/3
Paisley Park - Stayers Hurdle @ 5/2
Presenting Percy - Gold Cup @ 11/4

Best odds - 482/1
Bookmaker - Betfair


February:
Benie Des Dieux - Mares Hurdle
Delta Work - RSA Chase
Tiger Roll - XC Chase
Presenting Percy - Gold Cup
Dallas Des Pictons - MP Hurdle

Best odds: 681/1
Bookmaker - William Hill
 
Last edited:
Well done MoM.

Glad we’re spreading out the liabilities amongst the bookmakers - wouldn’t want to bankrupt the industry when we clean up :devilish:
 
Good idea this MoM.
Allows to track price changes and, god forbid, any scratches.....
 
No problem lads. Happy to help.

Imagine the scenes if we get the first three land in one of these. If 50 people on here have backed these, the bookies possible liabilities for the Yankee if the fourth was to win would be all over the racing news.

I can see it now - The Famous FatJockey Coup of 2019
 
Thought it might be useful to see which horses and which races we’ve selected most.


Horses chosen:
Summerville Boy - 2
Penhill - 2
Laurina - 2
Altior - 1
Buveur Dair - 1
Presenting Percy - 1
Santini - 1
Samcro - 1
Identity Thief - 1
Tiger Roll - 1
Willoughby Court - 1
Might Bite - 1
Delta Work - 1
Monalee - 1
Annibale Fly - 1
Benie Des Dieux - 1
Kalashnikov - 1


Races:
Champion Hurdle - 3
Stayers Hurdle - 3
Gold Cup - 3
JLT Chase - 2
Ryanair Chase - 2
Mares Hurdle - 2
Champion Chase - 1
Arkle - 1
Cross Country - 1
NH Chase - 1
RSA - 1





Interesting to see we have three different horses in these Yankees already for the Gold Cup and the season hasn’t yet started. Also surprising to see that of the four major races, it’s Altior and the Champion Chase with the least entries from us with just one (March).
 
I suppose it's because this far out the markets that are most formed are the 4 championship races.

It's to early to be anything more than a 'fun' bet and to be fair Altior is the worst value of the lot despite his incredibly obvious chance and big fan base

Good idea to keep on top of it
 
Kevloaf said:
I suppose it's because this far out the markets that are most formed are the 4 championship races.

It's to early to be anything more than a 'fun' bet and to be fair Altior is the worst value of the lot despite his incredibly obvious chance and big fan base

Good idea to keep on top of it
Click to expand...


Yeah I just found it interesting tbh Kev. I certainly won’t be reading too much into it.

I think Altior probably is value at 7/4 personally.

If he’s fully fit, he’d be odds on against everything else that could run against him (including footpad). I believe he’d beat footpad by 4 lengths at Cheltenham on any ground.
 
What a coincidence M.O.M , I made a list yesterday of the horses we've selected so far ,
and the races we've selected them for . Thought it might help
to highlight other selections we've not picked so far.
 
Middle_Of_March said:
July:
Laurina @ 12/1 - Arkle
Benie Des Dieux @ 7/2 - Mares Hurdle
Kalashnikov @ 25/1 - JLT
Penhill @ 9/1 - Stayers Hurdle

Best odds - 15,209/1
Bookmaker - Coral
Click to expand...

I've been away and only just got round to doing this, I have very few online options but the same acca with Sky pays just 5279/1, for those who are able to get the 15209/1 well done !
 
Middle_Of_March said:
Thought it might be useful to see which horses and which races we’ve selected most.


Horses chosen:
Summerville Boy - 2
Penhill - 2
Laurina - 2
Altior - 1
Buveur Dair - 1
Presenting Percy - 1
Santini - 1
Samcro - 1
Identity Thief - 1
Tiger Roll - 1
Willoughby Court - 1
Might Bite - 1
Delta Work - 1
Monalee - 1
Annibale Fly - 1
Benie Des Dieux - 1
Kalashnikov - 1


Races:
Champion Hurdle - 3
Stayers Hurdle - 3
Gold Cup - 3
JLT Chase - 2
Ryanair Chase - 2
Mares Hurdle - 2
Champion Chase - 1
Arkle - 1
Cross Country - 1
NH Chase - 1
RSA - 1





Interesting to see we have three different horses in these Yankees already for the Gold Cup and the season hasn’t yet started. Also surprising to see that of the four major races, it’s Altior and the Champion Chase with the least entries from us with just one (March).
Click to expand...

Don't forget there are 10 festival handicaps where markets are not formed until well into the season and finding a fancy for one of these races is just about impossible 7 months out, so I expect every monthly yankee to focus on the championship and novice events until the New Year.
This will mean duplication and contradiction but that's unavoidable...
 
Istabraq said:
Don't forget there are 10 festival handicaps where markets are not formed until well into the season and finding a fancy for one of these races is just about impossible 7 months out, so I expect every monthly yankee to focus on the championship and novice events until the New Year.
This will mean duplication and contradiction but that's unavoidable...
Click to expand...

As ridiculous as it may sound, I have an early fancy for the handicaps on day 1. Even asked for a price on one of them. :p
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
As ridiculous as it may sound, I have an early fancy for the handicaps on day 1. Even asked for a price on one of them. :p
Click to expand...

It's certainly not ridiculous to have a view but a horse rated 145 now may well be 160 come March and either doesn't qualify for the 'caps or connections have a stab at a championship race.
And we know horses will be declared for multiple races and picking out a likely target this far out is riddled with risk...
 
Istabraq said:
It's certainly not ridiculous to have a view but a horse rated 145 now may well be 160 come March and either doesn't qualify for the 'caps or connections have a stab at a championship race.
And we know horses will be declared for multiple races and picking out a likely target this far out is riddled with risk...
Click to expand...

Totally agree Ista, that's why I haven't pulled the trigger at 33/1.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
Totally agree Ista, that's why I haven't pulled the trigger at 33/1.
Click to expand...

I haven't had chance tonight but I am going to try and guess this horse tomorrow evening :highly_amused:
 
Istabraq said:
Don't forget there are 10 festival handicaps where markets are not formed until well into the season and finding a fancy for one of these races is just about impossible 7 months out, so I expect every monthly yankee to focus on the championship and novice events until the New Year.
This will mean duplication and contradiction but that's unavoidable...
Click to expand...

I wasn’t complaining. Just thought it would be interesting to see which races we have a few selections in even with 7 months left to go - such as the Gold Cup with 3 horses already.
 
Kevloaf said:
I haven't had chance tonight but I am going to try and guess this horse tomorrow evening :highly_amused:
Click to expand...

I think you'll probably get it within 3 guesses Kev. :encouragement:
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
As ridiculous as it may sound, I have an early fancy for the handicaps on day 1. Even asked for a price on one of them. :p
Click to expand...

I'm stuck - I can't find the market anywhere
 
Kevloaf said:
I'm stuck - I can't find the market anywhere
Click to expand...

There isn't a market so I requested a price from William Hill. The race in question is the Ultima and he's a horse I know we have both been keen on (and have backed?) in the last 2 festivals.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
There isn't a market so I requested a price from William Hill. The race in question is the Ultima and he's a horse I know we have both been keen on (and have backed?) in the last 2 festivals.
Click to expand...

First guess has to be Singlefarmpayment again then....
 
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