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Mares Novice Hurdle 2018

Felt I hadn't got much option but to take the best price Laurina. Not quite the 7/2 I turned down after her last win but she is going to go off odds on.
 
Be great if she ran... Some speculative multiples would rise from the ashes haha
 
Must admit Id written this bet off. Excellent news.
 
ComplyOrDie said:
Possibilities open back up!
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That would sum up this race to me . Iv literally got back to levels cashing out all my salsaretta 20/1 and i can just see her bolting up and going fav.

The only thing I could have done worse is if I cashed out and backed laurina at a short price.
 
Salsaretta 8/1 PP NRNN

Very clear situation that she runs, wins and shortens dramatically or she runs and doesn't win, so doesn't turn up?

.... coincidence that i mentioned her as a potential shortener last night!
 
Scooby91 said:
That would sum up this race to me . Iv literally got back to levels cashing out all my salsaretta 20/1 and i can just see her bolting up and going fav.

The only thing I could have done worse is if I cashed out and backed laurina at a short price.
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She's going to have to be incredibly special to beat Laurina, as for me, she is the only horse in the 'banker' bracket now that remains above even money (just).
 
ComplyOrDie said:
She's going to have to be incredibly special to beat Laurina, as for me, she is the only horse in the 'banker' bracket now that remains above even money (just).
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Don’t you get the impression they think she’s better than Laurina though CoD?
 
ComplyOrDie said:
She's going to have to be incredibly special to beat Laurina, as for me, she is the only horse in the 'banker' bracket now that remains above even money (just).
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Agree that Laurina looks special
However,both her wins were in very heavy ground
Good or good to soft is an unknown
 
Personally cashed out countister . For a small profit and leaving this race well alone, her mark seems good enough for a big handicap outside of chelt imo.
the fav has done little but what bits she has done, she has done it very well. I dont trust the price on salsaretta and the BOG is too short for me. I will have to trust in what I usually stand by. I find it very hard to weigh up this race. So will be one of the few that I will leave be and watch with intrigue.
 
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Beyond a huge amount of guesswork what is it about Salsaretta? My formbook suggests it hasn't won a race and hasn't run for ages. I would have thought bookmakers would be delighted to take money for it.

Is the strategy to just get a list of Mullins' 'unraced' horses and back them all at best price in the hope that one might eventually come good?
 
Scooby91 said:
Personally cashed out countister . For a small profit and leaving this race well alone, her mark seems good enough for a big handicap outside of chelt imo.
the fav has done little but what bits she has done, she has done it very well. I dont trust the price on salsaretta and the BOG is too short for me. I will have to trust in what I usually stand by. I find it very hard to weigh up this race. So will be one of the few that I will leave be and watch with intrigue.
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9-1 NRNB AT PP not good value for you scooby?
 
SAMCRO said:
9-1 NRNB AT PP not good value for you scooby?
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I dont trust it personally. I will reluctantly follow my 1 rule of not backing stand out top price with pp/ bf on any mullins runners.
 
Scooby91 said:
I dont trust it personally. I will reluctantly follow my 1 rule of not backing stand out top price with pp/ bf on any mullins runners.
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Another angle, PP have her at 12/1 NRNB for the Supreme, 365 have her at 33/1, worth a speculative punt on that, given they then have an option to re-route Getabird, IF she is as good as they believe her to be, if not it will be money back worst case for me.

Not really a fan of once raced horses for the Supreme, but as you said about ND for the Supreme, literally any eventuality is a possibility with them, and is worth a small go.
 
ComplyOrDie said:
Another angle, PP have her at 12/1 NRNB for the Supreme, 365 have her at 33/1, worth a speculative punt on that, given they then have an option to re-route Getabird, IF she is as good as they believe her to be, if not it will be money back worst case for me.

Not really a fan of once raced horses for the Supreme, but as you said about ND for the Supreme, literally any eventuality is a possibility with them, and is worth a small go.
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It's a good point and you make a good case.

But I see it as the price discrepancy between them and sportsbook being too big . To draw people away from the nrnb price, to take a risk on the outright price with sportsbook. And do there dough.

I can certainly see where your coming from. And good luck. Nothing to lose.
 
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Cod
Ballymore might make more sense though. Complete excuse with the trip.

Had a few quid on at 530.0
 
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Been told that she is very well (salsaretta) and hoping she gets a change of luck with injuries! 8/1 NRNB with PP looks a very good bet to me, at start of the season she and Annamix were the novices that were considered most exciting by RR.
 
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