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Novice Chasers 2027

Depends on how well he wins but if he does it very easily and jumps impressively without showing his bad side then could go as short as what Darlo said.
 
darlojim said:
I think today he's either going to be like a Dysart Dynamo chase debut esque

or an absolute disaster at his fences, no inbetween 😂
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Absolutely this.

It'll be a very interesting race to watch for sure.
 
Quevega said:
He shouldn't shorten to single figures IMO in that scenario. Not from a starting point of 33-1.
But as he'll only be second of the 150+ rated hurdlers to show his hand then he might.
My best guess would be around the 10-12-1 mark though if he wins like you describe.
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You have to think if Kabral has shortened up to 5's then surely Anzadam will do the same as they have similar Hurdles ratings.
 
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If he wins on the bridle which he should he will be about 7/1. He shouldn't be but that is just how the bookies do it isn't it. Alexei should have barely moved after yesterday but we knew he would be slashed. It's why i took the 20's on Friday when i didn't want to. If he is beat next time he will probably go back to about 20's but each way value in the C Hurdle is sparse at this early stage.
 
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Lobos said:
You have to think if Kabral has shortened up to 5's then surely Anzadam will do the same as they have similar Hurdles ratings.
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Yeah my thinking too

Kabral trotted around on chase debut with no one wanting to get near him and they slashed him.
 
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Runragged said:
I think you are forgetting the prestige of the graded races. You can attempt the grade 1 Arkle or BANC or you have a class 1 handicap. You also have significantly more prize money. Koktail Divin has been mentioned but arguably his BANC run didn't do him any harm and at least connections know he doesn't stay.
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Not forgetting, but what does a Cheltenham winner mean to a trainer/owner over not winning a graded race.

Some will absolutely go for the prestige/money, others will go for what gives their horse the best chance.
 
Carnage at Taunton said:
Think I will have a small wager on win today and arkle
40 fair imo
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Very fair when you put all the nuts and bolts together. Horse is a grade 1 horse, he is trained by Willie Mullins, his aim was always to be a chaser, stable has form for turning grade 1 performers over hurdles into grade 1 champions over fences and he is a bit of an absolute headcase which we can all see has the potential. If the fences calm him down, he could be a proper weapon.
 
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Just watch him pull his way to the front and crash through the first now......
 
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Eachtotheirown is probably worth having a bit on for the Arkle if you are worried about Anzadam. Depends how you wanna build your book. I took 50s some time ago just for shits and giggles. I don't expect him to win an Arkle but I expect him to run in one.
 
Lobos said:
You have to think if Kabral has shortened up to 5's then surely Anzadam will do the same as they have similar Hurdles ratings.
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Except one was 8-1 best before debut and the other is 33-1.
This implies to me that Anzadam is a fanboy horse :ROFLMAO:
I have backed him by the way :oops:
 
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Yosser said:
Very fair when you put all the nuts and bolts together. Horse is a grade 1 horse, he is trained by Willie Mullins, his aim was always to be a chaser, stable has form for turning grade 1 performers over hurdles into grade 1 champions over fences and he is a bit of an absolute headcase which we can all see has the potential. If the fences calm him down, he could be a proper weapon.
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He's not a grade 1 horse is he ?
Not yet in any case.
He's just ran in a few.
 
Quevega said:
Except one was 8-1 best before debut and the other is 33-1.
This implies to me that Anzadam is a fanboy horse :ROFLMAO:
I have backed him by the way :oops:
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I wasn't going to back him as didn't fancy him at all last season and just remember him being a crazy thing.........but I've backed him today after weighing everything up.
 
Quevega said:
He's not a grade 1 horse is he ?
Not yet in any case.
He's just ran in a few.
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Not a grade 1 winner but I would call him a grade 1 horse. As you say, he has ran in a few. The type I would say would win grade 2s without many problems but just can't bridge that gap to the top level over hurdles.
 
Kabral Du Mathan is hardly a proven grade 1 horse either. He has that Stayers 4th when not staying, though I think several underperformed there. He won the grade 2 Relkeel, but beat a bunch of handicappers more concerned with protecting their handicap marks.
 
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