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2026 Champion Hurdle

Lossie currently trading around 8/1 on the machine for this and only 7/4 for the Mares.
 
Garrison Savannah said:
Lossie currently trading around 8/1 on the machine for this and only 7/4 for the Mares.
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Obviously that's huge for the CH but, looking at it the other way, if she really were going to the Mares , she'd be 4/9 at best !

It's all nonsense.
 
Lobos said:
Obviously that's huge for the CH but, looking at it the other way, if she really were going to the Mares , she'd be 4/9 at best !

It's all nonsense.
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The price being so large in comparison to her campaign and form this season is making my head ache!😱

On form at the moment she has one horse to beat and they say you shouldnt be worried about one horse etc

It is also said many times that course form, festival form…..is paramount for considering the relative merits of horses at Cheltenham……..how many races has Sir Gino run in at Cheltenham? At the festival?…..let alone won?……….verses Lossiemouths unblemished record

What price would she be NRNB for the CH?……5/2 ish ?….and maybe even less after the weekend and SG/TNL

So much of her price for the CH is traders factoring their respective views about the chances of her taking up the Mares Hurdle option, which IMO with Wodhooh waiting in the wings, isn’t a shoe in by any means

Oh the perils and headaches of AP betting !😱
 
Lobos said:
Yep, we take a deep breath every year he brings it up......

Sir Gino gets the 666 sign again this year.
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Question is, was this horses that were already injured that he said wouldn’t make it or just randomly said they won’t make it even if currently fit and firing?

Think that adds a little substance to the topic :ROFLMAO: if he’s just randomly picked them then that’s pretty mad. If he was just picking horses that had already had an injury and were 50:50 to make it then it’s a little different.
 
I feel that with a little bit of soft ground and in receipt of 3 pounds, that TNL will prevail on Saturday.
 
Can't help but feel Sir Gino will be too quick for TNL in a race which I suspect won't be much of a stamina test. Hopefully TNL doesn't finish too far back and can get a decent price to turn it around at the Festival. Everything about Sir Gino for me is about speed but you need a bit of stamina to finish in a Champion Hurdle.
 
Agreed. TNL is potentially a stayer imo. Not sure how this race will suit him. Surprised they haven't considered chucking a pace maker in to be honest, especially when he didn't seem to like to lead last time.
 
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Benjy23 said:
Agreed. TNL is potentially a stayer imo. Not sure how this race will suit him. Surprised they haven't considered chucking a pace maker in to be honest, especially when he didn't seem to like to lead last time.
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Yeah, have mooted the pacemaker point as well. However, maybe they are not that fussed about getting Sir Gino beat now and more concerned with prepping TNL for the Champion Hurdle. A pacemaker would probably mean a harder race than they may like this close to the Festival. I wouldn't say TNL was a Stayer however, just that he obviously would see the 2m trip out better than many, especially in a strongly run race.
 
Sir Ginos previous run at Cheltenham was on the New course and Saturdays race is also on the New course.

Is the Old course, which the CH is run on, more of a stamina test?……and could Saturdays race therefore be inconclusive about his CH chances if he only wins by a couple of lengths?

I am just trying to think about scenarios from Sat where either Lossie or/and TNL still think they have chances come March, even if Sir Gino wins on Saturday

Or could it just be ‘game over’ for the CH AP market after Sat?
 
Wayward Lad said:
Sir Ginos previous run at Cheltenham was on the New course and Saturdays race is also on the New course.

Is the Old course, which the CH is run on, more of a stamina test?……
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100% the opposite.
On the New Course horses climb uphill for approx 1.5f further per circuit than they do on the Old Course…
 
Wayward Lad said:
Sir Ginos previous run at Cheltenham was on the New course and Saturdays race is also on the New course.

Is the Old course, which the CH is run on, more of a stamina test?……and could Saturdays race therefore be inconclusive about his CH chances if he only wins by a couple of lengths?

I am just trying to think about scenarios from Sat where either Lossie or/and TNL still think they have chances come March, even if Sir Gino wins on Saturday

Or could it just be ‘game over’ for the CH AP market after Sat?
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New course is more for stamina as they descend slower and get lower before they turn in.
The temptation is to go too soon and get tired.
Whereas the old course can suit speed at the front, as long as it's economical of course.
In theory getting 3lb and being on the new course and possibly on softish ground then the new lion should get his conditions.
But it all still depends on the pace in any given race and tactics, slowing it down etc.
Flooring Porter's rides were a perfect example of slowing it down and timing the effort.
 
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Quevega said:
New course is more for stamina as they descend slower and get lower before they turn in.
The temptation is to go too soon and get tired.
Whereas the old course can suit speed at the front, as long as it's economical of course.
In theory getting 3lb and being on the new course and possibly on softish ground then the new lion should get his conditions.
But it all still depends on the pace in any given race and tactics, slowing it down etc.
Flooring Porter's rides were a perfect example of slowing it down and timing the effort.
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Flooring Porter's second stayers is the best ride I've seen at the festival imo. He didn't get one single second of that ride wrong. Stacking em up still as they come off the bridle one by one into the straight was just balls of steel
 
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