2017 Mares Novice Hurdle

[ComplyOrDie]

I think Betfair are out to get punters money who like to have a bet on a horse they are familiar with but don't do the research, as they have now added Annie Power to the Mares Hurdle market, and they are NOT NRNB.

Either I have missed something or they are conning b******s, I'd say it's likely the latter.

Edit: Well, that didn't last long, no sooner had I wrote this than she had disappeared, I'll give them the benefit of the doubt on this one!

 

[squiggsy68]

Anyone see the list of entries for the mares novice? Cant find it anywhere

I don't think the entries for this, the Bumper or the Fox Hunters close until later this week. Last year it was 1st March close for these 3 races.

 

[archie]

I think they closed on Monday but they haven't been released yet. I don't know what they are but, as I understand it the numbers are:

Cross Country- 27 entries (Max 16)

Dawn Run Novice Hurdle 31entries (Max 22)

Foxhunters 39 entries (Max 24)

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

I think they closed on Monday but they haven't been released yet. I don't know what they are but, as I understand it the numbers are:

Cross Country- 27 entries (Max 16)

Dawn Run Novice Hurdle 31entries (Max 22)

Foxhunters 39 entries (Max 24)

Yep - entries announced tomorrow. 36 entered in the Bumper too

 

[Kevloaf]

wouldnt LD run here to take advantage of her novice status.......

She could do that in any of the other novice races though, especially with her mares allowance in those. She improved for a step up in trip so I am still not sure what talk about this race is for.

I hope Ruby picks Airlie Beach but like Archie's faith

 

[archie]

Interesting to compare Timeform (AB 149, LD 144p) with OR (AB 141, LD 147). Given how Moon Racer was upped for staying in his box while Ballyandy won at Newbury, I'd say that there's more of a recency bias in Ireland than the UK. While I've every respect for Let's Dance (and La Bague Au Roi for that matter), at 2 miles Airlie has every right to be favourite. Ruby has picked another horse against us twice and been soundly beaten both times. Paul T or Danny M will do just fine.

 

[Kevloaf]

Interesting to compare Timeform (AB 149, LD 144p) with OR (AB 141, LD 147). Given how Moon Racer was upped for staying in his box while Ballyandy won at Newbury, I'd say that there's more of a recency bias in Ireland than the UK. While I've every respect for Let's Dance (and La Bague Au Roi for that matter), at 2 miles Airlie has every right to be favourite. Ruby has picked another horse against us twice and been soundly beaten both times. Paul T or Danny M will do just fine.

:encouragement: Get a better price then too I suppose.

Can I ask, are you inclined to back your own horses or do you just own and enjoy it that way?

 

[archie]

These days I never back my own because I think it's bad luck. Also, given the prices they usually go off, it takes a fairly chunky bet to win more than the prize-money and I just think of it as good money after bad.
I only have small shares but this season I've had 13 runners, 8 winners and 3 seconds, that have won over £100k.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

These days I never back my own because I think it's bad luck. Also, given the prices they usually go off, it takes a fairly chunky bet to win more than the prize-money and I just think of it as good money after bad.
I only have small shares but this season I've had 13 runners, 8 winners and 3 seconds, that have won over £100k.

Are they all trained by Willie? I bet the owners day is a brilliant experience!

 

[archie]

All through Supreme Racing and currently in 9 with, effectively, 3 in training, 3 indisposed and 3 being readied for the spring.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

All through Supreme Racing and currently in 9 with, effectively, 3 in training, 3 indisposed and 3 being readied for the spring.

:encouragement: good luck Archie - it must be some feeling having a runner at Cheltenham, never mind two!!

 

[archie]

Cheers. Some may remember Opening Bars, Sam Shorrock and Lord Noelie (later years) that I had at the Festival but Airlie and BOE both go with genuine chances which is exciting.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

You'll have to give us a write up after the event Archie.

I remember Lord Noelie, the other two I'm not familiar with.

 

[Cashew King]

No strong reasoning behind this but I really think LD will end up in the Neptune. She really doesn't look like a horse who would appreciate a drop back in trip to me.

Rich's blog from today:

"Let’s Dance has more entries than most horses at the festival - I think she’s in about five races - but it looks likely now that she’ll run in the Mares Novice Hurdle on the Thursday.

It’s worth bearing in mind that she ran a super race on the New Course in the Triumph Hurdle last season and that race has worked out very well. We’ll preserve her options until we have to call it, and I do think she’ll go very close in the Neptune if she ran in that, but the mares novice does look the most likely.

We also have the €50,000 bonus to the stable staff were she to win a race at the festival, something that is not lost on me."

Is it a Freudian slip... 'I do think she'll go very close in the Neptune...' surely should be '...I do think she would go very close...'?

Still sounds like it's narrowed down to Mares novice or Neptune!

 

[BigChaang]

I would have thought that it wouldn;t matter which race L.D ran in , if it wins then then Rich RichCock could give them a 50 grand bonus himself !! ?.

 

[ryanh97]

Lets Dance into favourite now and Airlie Beach being layed at 5/1 on the exchanges.

 

[Hoof]

Where does Airlie Beach go then ?

 

[ryanh97]

Maybe nowhere the luck that yard's having

 

[ComplyOrDie]

It's the BetBright preview night tonight and Ricci has come out and said wherever Let's Dance runs she wins basically, hence the support now for her and the drift for AB.

 

[ryanh97]

Thanks CoD, clears it up