Supreme Novice Hurdle 2019

[ComplyOrDie]

The Betfair Hurdle winner has never won this....

Nope. A pretty standard stat, no doubt you'll get a few on the forum tell you about the ones that have gone close though.

Not a race I look for the winner myself.

 

[monkfish]

What has nigel got to work with al dancer? I'd much rather be siding with angels breath who at least has very decent horses to work up against. As we know though, has to show it on the track.

 

[ziggym]

Yes, but the quality of your standard novice is missing this year, unless there is something lurking!!

 

[boopa]

It was a poor renewal. The top 3 at the start of the race stayed there including the 100/1 shot. Al Dancer had a lovely run up the inside.

 

[Cashew King]

Olly Murphy on Thomas Darby:

“He’s in good form. He had a quiet enough 10 days after Taunton, and the plan is to go straight to the Supreme.

“Again, he’ll probably be entered in a couple of handicaps. But all being well, he’ll end up in the Supreme – and if he gets a bit of nice spring ground I hope he’ll have a good each-way chance.”

Dickie Johnson more of less confirmed he’ll be on Thomas on his blog today:

“Lalor is having a racecourse gallop at Exeter on Saturday morning as Kayley Woollacott looks to get him ready for the Festival.

I will also school him down at Philip’s yard next week, so fingers crossed everything goes to plan with him and it’s nice and straight forward.

When it gets this close to Cheltenham it’s just nice to keep horses ticking over and making sure their daily routines don’t change too much.

Obviously you can’t wrap horses in cotton wool but it’s good to protect them as best we can.

I also sat on Brewin'upastorm and Thomas Darby at Olly’s earlier this week and they seemed in good form. There’s no reason to believe either won’t have solid chances at the Festival. Those three, as well as Native River, are all horses I’m looking forward to riding at Cheltenham.”

 

[bobbyvalentino]

Dickie Johnson more of less confirmed he’ll be on Thomas on his blog today:

“Lalor is having a racecourse gallop at Exeter on Saturday morning as Kayley Woollacott looks to get him ready for the Festival.

I will also school him down at Philip’s yard next week, so fingers crossed everything goes to plan with him and it’s nice and straight forward.

When it gets this close to Cheltenham it’s just nice to keep horses ticking over and making sure their daily routines don’t change too much.

Obviously you can’t wrap horses in cotton wool but it’s good to protect them as best we can.

I also sat on Brewin'upastorm and Thomas Darby at Olly’s earlier this week and they seemed in good form. There’s no reason to believe either won’t have solid chances at the Festival. Those three, as well as Native River, are all horses I’m looking forward to riding at Cheltenham.”

Seems very much the first string from the vibes, although 40s for Itchy was, and still is, worth a few bob ew

 

[Kevloaf]

Dai Walters:

*"If all goes well, I’ve obviously then got the two of them for the Supreme because if he wins the Dovecote with a penalty, then he’ll be entitled to go for it.

“They are two special horses and I might know which is the better of the two in 24 hours, but at the minute I think they’ll both run.”

Asked if he favoured one over the other at this stage, Walters said: “Nigel will tell you he’s got nothing that can work with Al Dancer, but then Nicky has always liked Angels Breath and started him off in a Grade Two, which he doesn’t normally do, so we’ll just have to see.”

The huge positive is we know exactly where we stand...

 

[Kevloaf]

What has nigel got to work with al dancer? I'd much rather be siding with angels breath who at least has very decent horses to work up against. As we know though, has to show it on the track.

The New One still :highly_amused:

 

[jonthehammer]

Hope Dickie can see over the top of Thomas Darby's head. He is going to have neckache after that ride!!

 

[Deleted member 4957]

I’ve just taken some 36 Scarlet Dragon, if he runs well today he heads here in a very open race and a once rated 104 flat horse would have every chance in an average renewal, and this one might prove to be sub standard...

 

[JackieMoon33]

Been buried at work this week and completely missed Tokay Dokey is running in the Dovecote today. I mentioned him way back at the start of the season as a horse going under the radar. He went so far under the radar that he disappeared completely for months! Anyway, I still think he’s a very good horse so I’m going to nibble him for the Supreme NRNB as if he flops today they may go for the handicaps or leave him at home. It’s a deep Dovecote so even a place could be good form and he’ll probably improve for this run today given his long break.

It’s speculative but I’ll take a chance using some recent cash out profit.

 

[Innoko]

We all love stats in here

Anyone know how many Dovecote winners have gone on to win the Supreme?

 

[doctorwu]

Flown 1992.

 

[Innoko]

Flown 1992.

Thanks, saved me looking!

 

[Kevloaf]

We all love stats in here

Anyone know how many Dovecote winners have gone on to win the Supreme?

Irving :triumphant:

Oh no, he just went off joint fav with Vautour:highly_amused:

 

[jack1092]

What price does AB go for this when he wins ?

It'll be an interesting market given the chance he still goes Ballymore.

 

[Unexposed]

I’ve just taken some 36 Scarlet Dragon, if he runs well today he heads here in a very open race and a once rated 104 flat horse would have every chance in an average renewal, and this one might prove to be sub standard...

Shrewd move. I've layed Angel's Breath today at 1.96, i feel he will get outpaced on good ground at Kempton in a race with plenty of useful, progressive sorts. As you mention, Scarlet Dragon rated 104 on the flat is one of them. If he settles a bit better than he did at huntingdon he may prove hard to beat.

 

[Kevloaf]

What price does AB go for this when he wins ?

It'll be an interesting market given the chance he still goes Ballymore.

3/1?

I guess it depends if/how well he wins...

 

[Kevloaf]

Angels Breath To Win The 15:00 Kempton & The Supreme Novice Hurdle


15/2

PP if anyone interested in that.

 

[boopa]

KD still very weak for this. Disappointing.