• HELP US - Become a Patron - Fat Jockey is a horse racing community focused on all the big races in the UK and Ireland. We don't charge users but if you have found the site useful then any support towards the running costs is appreciated ... a small donation each month would be a huge contribution. Become a Patron!

Cheltenham 2019 Festival Going & Weather

Personally, I've made a fair bit of money backing "heavy ground horses" when the ground comes up right for them in a period when they've been competing on good/gs ground previously. Although I understand the festival is a lot more competitive and everyone is trying, I think it's foolish to say there isn't a ground bias with some horses.

As they say, good horses go on any ground. But sometimes it pays to side with those who seem to relish it as opposed to those that haven't done so well on it in the past.
 
when you say relish it
do you mean they have more strength and stamina.
 
when you say relish it
do you mean they have more strength and stamina.

Perhaps... I don't fully understand why some horses seem to enjoy different ground to others. Relish probably the wrong word here.

My point is I think there are definitely horses that run better on certain types of ground. And personally I use that when I'm looking for a winner in a race. So from my point of view I think it's an important factor to consider
 
Hope I don't jinx it , but for the next 14 day's at Cheltenham , there's 3 hrs of Light rain forecast ,
So i should think it will be a normal good to soft start to the festival.
 
BBC weather Forecast showing Light rain at cheltenham from 2nd march through to the 7th ,
Sound's like it will be Good to Soft for the first day or two at least.
 
The long range forecast for Cheltenham for March last week in the Met Office website was wet & windy. How much and how bad no one knows but this dry spell will end soon
 
The going

The going

Claisse: We put 2mm on Thursday. The forecast I have now is for between 35-40mm of rain between Saturday and a week on Monday. John Kettley is backing soft for Day 1”
 
Claisse: We put 2mm on Thursday. The forecast I have now is for between 35-40mm of rain between Saturday and a week on Monday. John Kettley is backing soft for Day 1”

4/1 soft on day 1
There are worse bets than that
 
The water table is low. I doubt it will be soft.
 
If, and its obviously a big if, the BBC 14 day forecast is to be believed there is quite a lot of rain forecast between now and the festival. I used to walk the dog round the course daily and as much as I want it be soft, it drys out very quickly.
 
I remember this thread had about 1000 comments last year...
 
I remember this thread had about 1000 comments last year...

I think the course was covered in snow right about now! I wore a tshirt yesterday
 
This time last year I was snowed in my house!