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2015 Grand National

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  • BOF - thanks for that.

    I hope Robbie mc is Ok. A fairly bad injury from noises on Twitter tonight.

    Comment


    • From the official racecard aka Weatherbys

      1 Lord Windermere (IRE) (29J)
      9 b g Oscar (IRE) - Satellite Dancer (IRE) (Satco (FR))
      61-373P Dr R Lambe
      Visor

      11-10
      161

      33/1
      R P McNamara
      J H Culloty

      Winner of three hurdle races and three chases from 2m to 3m 2f on ground varying from good to soft - heavy. Pulled up 2 out when 20-1 in the Group 1 Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham over 3m 2f (soft) in a Grade 1 chase won by Coneygree last month on his latest outing.

      2 Many Clouds (IRE) (29J)
      8 br g Cloudings (IRE) - Bobbing Back (IRE) (Bob Back (USA))
      B4-1116 Mr Trevor Hemmings

      11-9
      160

      20/1
      L P Aspell
      O Sherwood

      Has won two hurdle races, a NH flat race and five chases from 2m to 3m 2f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. Well beaten at 7-1 when sixth of 16 on his latest outing in a Grade 1 chase in the Group 1 Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham over 3m 2f (soft) last month. Has won 3 times this season.

      3 Unioniste (FR) (63J)
      7 gr g Dom Alco (FR) - Gleep Will (FR) (Laniste)
      838-613 Mr J Hales
      Cheek pieces

      11-6
      157

      16/1
      N D Fehily
      P F Nicholls

      Winner of a hurdle race and six chases from 2m 1f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to soft - heavy. Third of 6 behind Coneygree beaten 11l at 9-2 on his latest outing in a Grade 2 chase in the Group 2 Denman Chase at Newbury over 3m (soft) in February.

      4 Rocky Creek (IRE) (49J)
      9 b g Dr Massini (IRE) - Kissantell (IRE) (Broken Hearted)
      225-2P1 The Johnson & Stewart Families

      11-3
      154

      15/2
      Sam Twiston-Davies
      P F Nicholls

      Winner of a hurdle race, four chases and a point-to-point at 3m on good to soft and soft ground. A winner at 8-1 in a Grade 3 chase in the Group 3 BetBright Chase at Kempton over 3m (soft) on his latest outing in February, beating Le Reve by 6l.

      5 First Lieutenant (IRE) (23J)
      10 ch g Presenting - Fourstargale (IRE) (Fourstars Allstar (USA))
      4-24683 Gigginstown House Stud
      Tongue strap, Cheek pieces

      11-3
      154

      20/1
      Ms N Carberry
      M F Morris

      Has won three hurdle races, a NH flat race, three chases and a point-to-point from 2m to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to heavy, but last win was over two years ago. Third of 4 behind Rolly Baby beaten 5l at 9-10fav on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Thurles over 3m (yielding - soft) last month.

      6 Balthazar King (IRE) (148J)
      11 b g King's Theatre (IRE) - Afdala (IRE) (Hernando (FR))
      112-F11 The Brushmakers

      11-2
      153

      8/1
      R Johnson
      P J Hobbs

      Has won two hurdle races, a NH flat race and 13 chases from 2m 2f to 3m 7f on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft. Won on his latest outing in a chase when 4-7fav at Cheltenham over 3m 7f (good) in November last year, beating Uncle Junior by 1 1/2l. Has also won at Craon this season.

      7 Shutthefrontdoor (IRE) (152J)
      8 b g Accordion - Hurricane Girl (IRE) (Strong Gale)
      12461-1 Mr John P McManus
      Tongue strap, Cheek pieces

      11-2
      153

      5/1
      A P McCoy
      Jonjo O'Neill

      Has won three hurdle races, three NH flat races and three chases from 2m to 3m 5f on ground varying from good to heavy. A winner at 2-1 in a chase at Carlisle over 3m (soft) on his latest outing in November last year, beating Vintage Star by 8l.

      8 Pineau De Re (FR) (1284F, 30J)
      12 b g Maresca Sorrento (FR) - Elfe Du Perche (FR) (Abdonski (FR))
      31-0P80 Mr J A Provan

      11-0
      151

      20/1
      D A Jacob
      Dr R D P Newland

      Winner of two hurdle races, a NH flat race and four chases from 2m to 4m 3f on ground varying from good to soft - heavy. Beaten 20l behind Call The Cops at 25-1 when 11th of 23 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Cheltenham over 3m (good) last month.

      9 Ballycasey (IRE) (30J)
      8 gr g Presenting - Pink Mist (IRE) (Montelimar (USA))
      F2-173P Mrs S Ricci

      10-13
      150

      20/1
      R Walsh
      W P Mullins

      Winner of two hurdle races, a NH flat race and three chases from 2m 1f to 2m 6f on ground varying from good - yielding to soft - heavy. Pulled up 3 out when 22-1 in the Group 1 Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham over 2m 5f (good) in a Grade 1 chase won by Uxizandre last month on his latest outing.

      10 Spring Heeled (IRE) (49J)
      8 b g Old Vic - Central Arch (Dilum (USA))
      8015-44 Dr R Lambe
      Cheek pieces

      10-12
      149

      16/1
      Nick Scholfield
      J H Culloty

      He has won two hurdle races and two chases from 2m to 3m 1f on good and heavy ground. Finished 19l behind Roi Du Mee when fourth of 5 at 7-2 on his latest outing in a Grade 2 chase in the Group 2 At The Races Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse over 3m 1f (soft) in February.

      11 Rebel Rebellion (IRE) (21J)
      10 b g Lord Americo - Tourmaline Girl (IRE) (Toulon)
      454121 Woodhouse, Sutton & Dobson
      Blinkers, Tongue strap

      10-12
      149

      33/1
      Ryan Mahon
      P F Nicholls

      Has won two hurdle races, a NH flat race, five chases and a point-to-point from 2m to 3m on ground varying from good to heavy. A winner at 7-1 in a chase at Newbury over 2m 4f (good) on his latest outing last month, beating Pepite Rose by 1l. Has also won at Ascot this season.

      12 Dolatulo (FR) (1875F, 30J)
      8 ch g Le Fou (IRE) - La Perspective (FR) (Beyssac (FR))
      028180 Chasemore Farm
      Tongue strap, Cheek pieces

      10-11
      148

      33/1
      D C Costello
      W Greatrex

      Has won three hurdle races, a NH flat race and four chases from 1m 7f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to soft. Well beaten at 66-1 behind Call The Cops when 19th of 23 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Cheltenham over 3m (good) last month.

      13 Mon Parrain (FR) (42J)
      9 b g Trempolino (USA) - Kadaina (FR) (Kadalko (FR))
      81-P015 Mr and Mrs J D Cotton
      Blinkers, Tongue strap

      10-11
      148

      33/1
      Sean Bowen
      P F Nicholls

      Has won two hurdle races and six chases from 2m to 3m 2f on ground varying from good to heavy. Well beaten at 8-1 behind Wayward Prince when fifth of 12 on his latest outing in a chase at Doncaster over 3m 2f (good) in February.

      14 Carlito Brigante (IRE) (785F, 42J)
      9 b g Haafhd - Desert Magic (IRE) (Green Desert (USA))
      1-32213 06 Zoo Ltd

      10-10
      147


      Non Runner
      Karen McLintock

      Has won five hurdle races and four chases from 2m to 3m 2f on ground varying from good to yielding. Third of 6 behind Runswick Royal beaten 18l at 9-2 on his latest outing in a chase at Kelso over 2m 7f (good to soft) in February.

      15 Night In Milan (IRE) (42J)
      9 b g Milan - Chione (IRE) (Mandalus)
      1-40233 Mr Richard Collins
      Blinkers

      10-9
      146

      20/1
      J Reveley
      K G Reveley

      Winner of three hurdle races and four chases from 2m 4f to 3m 2f on ground varying from good to heavy. Third of 12 behind Wayward Prince beaten 11l at 5-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Doncaster over 3m 2f (good) in February.

      16 Rubi Light (FR) (25J)
      10 b g Network (GER) - Genny Lights (FR) (Lights Out (FR))
      545211 Mr W Hennessy
      Tongue strap

      10-9
      146

      33/1
      A E Lynch
      R Hennessy

      Has won a hurdle race and eight chases from 2m to 2m 4f on ground varying from soft to soft - heavy. A winner at 6-1 in a chase at Wexford over 2m 3f (soft) on his latest outing last month, beating He'llberemembered by 3/4l.

      17 The Druids Nephew (IRE) (32J)
      8 b g King's Theatre (IRE) - Gifted (Shareef Dancer (USA))
      P-12751 The Stonehenge Druids
      Cheek pieces

      10-9
      146

      10/1
      Aidan Coleman
      N P Mulholland

      Winner of a hurdle race, three chases and a point-to-point from 2m 5f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to soft. A winner at 8-1 in a Grade 3 chase in the Group 3 Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase at Cheltenham over 3m 1f (good to soft) on his latest outing last month, beating Grand Jesture by 4l. Has also won at Huntingdon this season.

      18 Cause Of Causes (USA) (1266F, 32J)
      7 b g Dynaformer (USA) - Angel In My Heart (FR) (Rainbow Quest (USA))
      220-751 Mr John P McManus
      Tongue strap, Cheek pieces

      10-9
      146

      14/1
      P Carberry
      G Elliott

      Winner of five hurdle races and a chase from 2m to 4m on ground varying from good to heavy. A winner at 8-1 in a chase at Cheltenham over 4m (good to soft) on his latest outing last month, beating Broadway Buffalo by 1 1/2l.

      19 Godsmejudge (IRE) (21J)
      9 b g Witness Box (USA) - Eliza Everett (IRE) (Meneval (USA))
      P23-P50 Favourites Racing Ltd

      10-8
      145

      16/1
      W Hutchinson
      A King

      Winner of two hurdle races, three chases and a point-to-point from 3m to 4m on ground varying from good to heavy, but last win was over two years ago. Well beaten at 20-1 when last of 11 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Bangor over 3m (good to soft) last month.

      20 Al Co (FR) (21J)
      10 ch g Dom Alco (FR) - Carama (FR) (Tip Moss (FR))
      01-0P33 Mr F Lloyd

      10-8
      145

      20/1
      D F O'Regan
      P Bowen

      Winner of three hurdle races and four chases from 2m 1f to 4m on ground varying from good to firm to soft. Third of 11 behind Binge Drinker beaten 13l at 10-1 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Bangor over 3m (good to soft) last month.

      21 Monbeg Dude (IRE) (32J)
      10 b g Witness Box (USA) - Ten Dollar Bill (IRE) (Accordion)
      7-24430 Oydunow

      10-7
      144

      25/1
      L Treadwell
      M Scudamore

      Winner of four chases and a point-to-point from 3m to 3m 5f on ground varying from good to heavy. Well beaten at 20-1 behind The Druids Nephew when 14th of 24 on his latest outing in a Grade 3 chase in the Group 3 Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase at Cheltenham over 3m 1f (good to soft) last month.

      22 Corrin Wood (IRE) (84J)
      8 gr g Garuda (IRE) - Allstar Rose (IRE) (Fourstars Allstar (USA))
      110-33P Dermot Hanafin Robert Rose Ian Whitfie

      10-7
      144

      50/1
      D J Casey
      D McCain Jnr

      Winner of a hurdle race, three chases and a point-to-point from 2m 3f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to heavy. Pulled up 4 out when 5-1fav in the Group 2 Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock over 3m 1f (heavy) in a Grade 2 chase won by Samstown in January on his latest outing.

      23 The Rainbow Hunter (GB) (49J)
      11 b g Rainbow High - Sobranie (High Top)
      P/261U-P May We Never Be Found Out Partnership

      10-7
      144

      33/1
      D Bass
      K C Bailey

      Winner of a hurdle race, four chases and two point-to-points from 2m to 3m on ground varying from good to heavy. Pulled up 5 out when 33-1 in the Group 3 BetBright Chase at Kempton over 3m (soft) in a Grade 3 chase won by Rocky Creek in February on his latest outing.

      24 Saint Are (FR) (61J)
      9 b g Network (GER) - Fortanea (FR) (Video Rock (FR))
      PF-3331 Mr D W Fox
      Tongue strap, Cheek pieces

      10-6
      143

      20/1
      P J Brennan
      T R George

      He has won two hurdle races and two chases from 2m 1f to 3m 1f on good and good to soft ground. A winner at 9-4 in a chase at Catterick over 3m 1f (good to soft) on his latest outing in February, beating Everaard by 7l.

      25 Across The Bay (IRE) (30J)
      11 b g Bob's Return (IRE) - The Southern (IRE) (Glacial Storm (USA))
      U0-800B Scotch Piper Syndicate
      Blinkers, Tongue strap

      10-6
      143

      33/1
      Henry Brooke
      D McCain Jnr

      Has won three hurdle races, a NH flat race and four chases from 2m to 3m 4f on soft and heavy ground. Brought down when 66-1 at Cheltenham over 3m 2f (good) in a chase won by The Package last month on his latest outing.

      26 Tranquil Sea (IRE) (42J)
      13 b g Sea Raven (IRE) - Silver Valley (IRE) (Henbit (USA))
      231P0-5 Jean & Clemmie Shipp
      Tongue strap

      10-5
      142

      50/1
      G Sheehan
      W Greatrex

      Has won three hurdle races, a NH flat race, nine chases and a point-to-point from 2m to 3m on ground varying from good to heavy. Well beaten at 25-1 when fifth of 12 on his latest outing in a chase at Newbury over 3m 2f (good to soft) in February.

      27 Oscar Time (IRE) (52J)
      14 b g Oscar (IRE) - Baywatch Star (IRE) (Supreme Leader (IRE))
      111U14 Mr Robert Waley-Cohen

      10-5
      142

      33/1
      Mr S Waley-Cohen
      R Waley-Cohen

      Has won a hurdle race, a NH flat race, five chases and a point-to-point from 2m 2f to 3m 2f on ground varying from good to heavy. Finished 16l behind Aachen when fourth of 8 at 9-2 on his latest outing in a chase at Doncaster over 3m (good to soft) in February. Has won 3 times this season.

      28 Bob Ford (IRE) (28J)
      8 b g Vinnie Roe (IRE) - Polar Lamb (IRE) (Brush Aside (USA))
      120P1P The Jj Partnership
      Hood

      10-4
      141

      50/1
      P Townend
      Miss R Curtis

      Winner of two hurdle races, three chases and a point-to-point from 2m 3f to 3m 4f on soft and heavy ground. Pulled up 5 out when 16-1 at Uttoxeter over 4m 1f (soft) in a chase won by Goonyella last month on his latest outing. Has won at Ffos Las and Chepstow this season.

      29 Super Duty (IRE) (42J)
      9 b g Shantou (USA) - Sarah's Cottage (IRE) (Topanoora)
      24/P2-67 Brannon, Dick, Hernon & Holden

      10-4
      141

      33/1
      W Kennedy
      Ian Williams

      Winner of three hurdle races, a NH flat race and a chase from 2m 1f to 2m 5f on ground varying from good to soft, but last win was over two years ago. Well beaten at 8-1 when seventh of 12 on his latest outing in a chase at Doncaster over 3m 2f (good) in February.

      30 Wyck Hill (IRE) (49J)
      11 b g Pierre - Willow Rose (IRE) (Roselier (FR))
      9P16-2F Mr John P McManus
      Tongue strap

      10-4
      141

      33/1
      Tom Cannon
      D G Bridgwater

      Winner of five chases from 2m 3f to 4m 1f on ground varying from good to heavy. Fell at the 7th when 11-1 at Newcastle over 4m 1f (good to soft) in a chase won by Milborough in February on his latest outing.

      31 Gas Line Boy (IRE) (56J)
      9 b g Blueprint (IRE) - Jervia (Affirmed (USA))
      U-P11P4 Mick Fitzgerald Racing Club

      10-4
      141

      50/1
      James Best
      P J Hobbs

      Winner of a hurdle race, three chases and a point-to-point from 2m 6f to 3m 5f on good to soft and soft ground. Finished 20l behind Lie Forrit when fourth of 12 at 9-1 on his latest outing in a Grade 3 chase in the Group 3 Betfred Grand National Trial at Haydock over 3m 5f (soft) in February. Has won at Haydock and Exeter this season.

      32 Chance Du Roy (FR) (62J)
      11 ch g Morespeed - La Chance Au Roy (FR) (Rex Magna (FR))
      1P46-55 Miss I D Du Pre
      Cheek pieces

      10-4
      141

      25/1
      T J O'Brien
      P J Hobbs

      Has won two hurdle races and six chases from 2m to 3m 2f on ground varying from good to soft. Finished 15l behind Soll when fifth of 14 at 8-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Exeter over 3m (good to soft) in February.

      33 Portrait King (IRE) (25J)
      10 gr g Portrait Gallery (IRE) - Storm Queen (IRE) (Le Bavard (FR))
      8P1292 Marie Davis
      Cheek pieces

      10-3
      140

      50/1
      D J Condon
      M Phelan

      He has won three chases and a point-to-point from 3m to 4m 1f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. Beaten 2l by Railway Tommy when second of 12 at 13-2 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Down Royal over 3m (yielding - soft) last month.

      34 Owega Star (IRE) (185F, 34J)
      8 br g Basanta (IRE) - Los Monteros (IRE) (College Chapel)
      13-8256 Anthony Callan/mrs Siobhan Callan
      Tongue strap

      10-3
      140

      50/1
      R M Power
      Peter Fahey

      Winner of three hurdle races, a NH flat race and two chases from 2m to 2m 6f on ground varying from good to heavy. Well beaten at 11-4fav when sixth of 8 on his latest outing in a chase at Naas over 3m (soft) last month.

      35 River Choice (FR) (49J)
      12 ch g River Mist (FR) - Noraca (FR) (Akarad (FR))
      F58P14 Mr Fergus Wilson
      Blinkers, Tongue strap

      10-3
      140

      100/1
      D Cottin
      R Chotard

      Has won three hurdle races and six chases from 2m 1f to 2m 5f on ground varying from good to heavy. Finished 12l behind Rasique when fourth of 11 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Fontainebleau over 2m 3f in February.

      36 Court By Surprise (IRE) (154J)
      10 b g Beneficial - Garryduff Princess (Husyan (USA))
      3265-11 Mr N Mustoe

      10-3
      140

      25/1
      R P McLernon
      Miss E C Lavelle

      He has won a hurdle race and three chases from 2m 4f to 3m 1f on good to soft ground. Finished second but awarded race at Wincanton over 3m 1f, when 16-1 (good to soft) in November last year, beating Alfie Spinner by a nose. Has also won at Exeter this season.

      37 Alvarado (IRE) (52J)
      10 ch g Goldmark (USA) - Mrs Jones (IRE) (Roselier (FR))
      3/51P4-5 Mr & Mrs William Rucker

      10-3
      140

      16/1
      Paul Moloney
      F O'Brien

      Has won two hurdle races, a NH flat race and five chases from 2m to 3m 3f on ground varying from good to firm to heavy. Finished 18l behind Aachen when fifth of 8 at 10-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Doncaster over 3m (good to soft) in February.

      38 Soll (GB) (42J)
      10 ch g Presenting - Montelfolene (IRE) (Montelimar (USA))
      750-P11 Mr Derrick Mossop
      Blinkers, Tongue strap

      10-2
      139

      14/1
      T Scudamore
      D Pipe

      Winner of a hurdle race, four chases and a point-to-point from 2m 4f to 3m 2f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. A winner at 11-2 in a chase at Newbury over 3m 2f (good to soft) on his latest outing in February, beating Relax by 3/4l. Has also won at Exeter this season.

      39 Ely Brown (IRE) (70J)
      10 b g Sunshine Street (USA) - Browneyed Daughter (IRE) (Broken Hearted (IRE))
      10115-P Countrywide Vehicle Rentals Taxi Hire
      Cheek pieces

      10-2
      139

      66/1
      B Hughes
      C E Longsdon

      Has won five hurdle races, two chases and a point-to-point from 2m 7f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to heavy. Pulled up at the last when 12-1 at Wetherby over 3m 1f (soft) in a hurdle race won by Join The Clan in January on his latest outing.

      40 Royale Knight (GB) (23J)
      9 b g King's Theatre (IRE) - Gardana (FR) (Garde Royale)
      23-4132 C E Stedman & R J Corsan

      10-2
      139

      20/1
      Brendan Powell
      Dr R D P Newland

      Has won two hurdle races, six chases and two point-to-points from 2m 5f to 4m on ground varying from good to firm to soft. Beaten 1 1/2l by Forgivienne when second of 6 at 6-1 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Chepstow over 3m (good to soft) last month.
      Race Verdict

      The Druids Nephew was a good winner of the big staying handicap chase at Cheltenham and is 10lb well-in here as a result, while Rocky Creek is 9lb well-in compared to his revised mark for winning the BetBright Chase at Kempton. The latter has the advantage of experience in this race, finishing fifth last year, but he was behind Balthazar King there, and Philip Hobbs' charge has been meticulously prepared to go one better than his second-placed finish. Last year's winner Pineau De Re has not been in the same form this term, so Richard Newland could have stronger claims with Royale Knight, who has been kept ticking over in hurdle races since bolting up in a Sedgefield handicap chase. Preference, though, is for SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR, who won the Irish National in good style last spring and his one run this term was a facile success at Carlisle. The fact he is AP McCoy's final National mount may mean he is overbet, but his claims are there for all to see and could prove a fitting farewell ride for the champion jockey.
      Selection: Shutthefrontdoor Danger: The Druids Nephew Alternative: Rocky Creek

      Comment


      • Timeform 123

        Rocky Creek (IRE)

        Soll

        Saint Are (FR)

        Timeform View

        ROCKY CREEK travelled as well as any for much of last year's National and is worth siding with to come out on top having finally delivered more at the finish than has often been the case when an impressive winner at Kempton off this mark last time. Soll, who was seventh in 2013, has thrived for the switch to David Pipe and is a solid alternative, while Saint Are could go well at longer odds.

        Comment


        • RP Trends

          Racing Post's Kevin Morley highlights the big-race trends from the last ten runnings of the Grand National


          10/10 - officially rated 137-157

          10/10 - won over at least 3m

          10/10 - aged nine to eleven

          9/10 - between three and six runs since the start of August

          9/10 - won chase worth at least £29,000

          9/10 - at least one top-three finish in last three runs

          9/10 - no more than one win that season (only four won before the weights were announced)

          9/10 - achieved a chase RPR between 148 and 156

          8/10 - carried no more than 11st 1lb

          7/10 - finished in the first three in a race over at least 3m3f

          7/10 - ran between ten and 14 times over fences (all exceptions had between 23 and 27 chase starts)


          VERDICT
          Last year's Scottish National winner Al Co is the only runner to meet all the criteria.

          Favourite Shutthefrontdoor has a fair profile, but you have to go back to Bindaree in 2002 to find the last successful eight-year-old, while he also lacks experience, having had only six chase starts.

          Unioniste has stamina to burn but the last winning seven-year-old was 75 years ago.

          Rocky Creek is well-in judged on his latest Kempton win, but 11st 3lb is a big weight to carry in this. Last year's runner-up Balthazar King may also have too much weight having won a couple of races already this season.

          Last year's winner often runs well without winning so Pineau De Re could reach the frame, although his trainer may have a better chance with Royale Knight. Honourable mentions also go to Night In Milan and Monbeg Dude, both proven staying handicappers who tick plenty of boxes.

          Comment



          • Comment


            • Brian O'connell rides Lord Windermere.

              Comment


              • Owega star getting a few nibbles



                GAMBLE BREWING ON LIEUTENANT



                The expected early money for Shutthefrontdoor has materialised with Betfred, Aintree's official betting partner, in the Crabbie's Grand National (4.15pm) but it is First Lieutenant that could end up being the springer, according to the Warrington-based firm.



                The Mouse Morris-trained 10-year-old will be ridden by Nina Carberry, who is aiming to become the first female jockey to win the Aintree showpiece.



                Shutthefrontdoor is now a 15/2 shot (from 8/1) with Betfred but First Lieutenant has been the biggest mover so far and is now a 16/1 shot (from 25/1).



                "The early skirmishes have revolved around two horses - Shutthefrontdoor and First Lieutenant," said Betfred spokesman Andrew Griffiths.



                "Our 8/1 about the favourite was swallowed up in no time. He's incredibly popular and there's no doubt he will shorten further as the day progresses.



                "There looks to be a gamble brewing on First Lieutenant. We flagged him up as a potential steamer last night and he's a significant mover into 16/1 from 25s."



                Rocky Creek has also been popular with Betfred and has been nibbled into 9/1 (from 10/1) while the most interesting each-way pick has been the Peter Fahey-trained Owega Star, who is now a 66/1 chance (from 100/1).



                Betfred - Crabbie's Grand National Market Moves



                15/2 (from 8/1) - Shutthefrontdoor

                9/1 (from 10/1) - Rocky Creek

                16/1 (from 25/1) - First Lieutenant

                66 (from 100/1) - Owega Star

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Bayoffreedom View Post
                  I'll throw in a good word for Owega Star. I spoke to Peter (Fahey) last night and he "has never had the horse so well. his counts are the best they have ever been and he travelled over really well" He seems very excited and was in great form even when expressing his bemusement at the 100/1 price being quoted by some bookies - he was in rare form and on somewhat of a rant and I noticed my own language got worse the more I empathized with him. He has a point though: he is a crazy price, will love the ground, is a great jumper and just needs the requisite luck in running. Good chance of a top 6 finish and who knows?
                  Market move continues

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                  • They couldnt have been plotting Ballycasey could they ?

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                    • Rocky Creek favourite on Betfair

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                      • winner apart weight telling ?

                        Pos Dist Horse Trainer Age Weight Jockey SP
                        1st 2 Many Clouds (IRE) O Sherwood 8 11-9 L P Aspell 25/1
                        2nd 1¾ 24 Saint Are (FR) T R George 9 10-6 pt P J Brennan 25/1
                        3rd 6 21 Monbeg Dude (IRE) M Scudamore 10 10-7 L Treadwell 40/1
                        4th 3½ 37 Alvarado (IRE) F O'Brien 10 10-3 Paul Moloney 20/1
                        5th 1½ 7 Shutthefrontdoor (IRE) Jonjo O'Neill 8 11-2 pt A P McCoy 6/1f
                        6th 2¼ 40 Royale Knight Dr R D P Newland 9 10-2 Brendan Powell 25/1
                        7th 10 26 Tranquil Sea (IRE) W Greatrex 13 10-5 t G Sheehan 33/1
                        8th 2¼ 18 Cause Of Causes (USA) G Elliott 7 10-9 pt P Carberry 14/1
                        9th 14 38 Soll D Pipe 10 10-2 bt T Scudamore 9/1
                        10th 10 32 Chance Du Roy (FR) P J Hobbs 11 10-4 p T J O'Brien 40/1
                        11th 5 13 Mon Parrain (FR) P F Nicholls 9 10-11 bt Sean Bowen 33/1
                        12th 1½ 8 Pineau De Re (FR) Dr R D P Newland 12 11-0 D A Jacob 25/1
                        13th 6 34 Owega Star (IRE) Peter Fahey 8 10-3 t R M Power 50/1
                        14th 25 10 Spring Heeled (IRE) J H Culloty 8 10-12 p Nick Scholfield 25/1
                        15th 2½ 27 Oscar Time (IRE) R Waley-Cohen 14 10-5 Mr S Waley-Cohen 20/1
                        16th 3¾ 5 First Lieutenant (IRE) M F Morris 10 11-3 pt Ms N Carberry 14/1
                        17th 5 4 Rocky Creek (IRE) P F Nicholls 9 11-3 Sam Twiston-Davies 8/1
                        18th 2½ 15 Night In Milan (IRE) K G Reveley 9 10-9 b J Reveley 20/1
                        19th 3¼ 12 Dolatulo (FR) W Greatrex 8 10-11 pt D C Costello 66/1

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                        • 8 of the first 10 from bottom half of the handicap so weight will still be high on my list.

                          I have a rubbish record in this race and need to reel in the bets. Devilishly tricky.

                          The overround on SP was 165% - something needs to be done about that - blatant overcharging.

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                          • I think apart from the winner, which was a fantastic performance, there were only 3 other horses carrying over 11 st that even finished, had the going been soft I wouldn't think even that many would have done so, Many Clouds would also have struggled I would think with his weight. It will be interesting to see what the handicapper does next year, he's unlikely to relent very much even if Many Clouds has a poor run up to the race so he could be giving lots of weight to some good improvers, maybe on soft ground too, so what is already a very tricky race may get trickier.
                            I'm like you though mayo, I have an awful record in this race, plus there are at least 20 races at the Cheltenham festival that I prefer to watch, there are about 10 that I prefer to watch at this Aintree festival for that matter.

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                            • Originally posted by MrMcGoldrick View Post
                              I think apart from the winner, which was a fantastic performance, there were only 3 other horses carrying over 11 st that even finished, had the going been soft I wouldn't think even that many would have done so, Many Clouds would also have struggled I would think with his weight. It will be interesting to see what the handicapper does next year, he's unlikely to relent very much even if Many Clouds has a poor run up to the race so he could be giving lots of weight to some good improvers, maybe on soft ground too, so what is already a very tricky race may get trickier.
                              I'm like you though mayo, I have an awful record in this race, plus there are at least 20 races at the Cheltenham festival that I prefer to watch, there are about 10 that I prefer to watch at this Aintree festival for that matter.


                              I think most "real"'racing fans feel the same. The national is like Blue Nun wine was in my youth. A good introduction but sh*t when you get to know the subject.

                              I still know nothing abot wine or horses FWIW.

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                              • Originally posted by Morning Glory View Post


                                I think most "real"'racing fans feel the same. The national is like Blue Nun wine was in my youth. A good introduction but sh*t when you get to know the subject.

                                I still know nothing abot wine or horses FWIW.
                                Its funny how your view of the National can change when you finally back a winner.

                                I think one of the things that bothers the hardcore racing fan about the race is that when they get asked by their non racing mates who will win they cant answer the question with much confidence.

                                What did you all make of TV coverage.

                                Wot a wardrobe Mrs McCoy has

                                I actually found Gok alright but thought Frankie added fook all.

                                He got compared to a bidet in ours - nice to have but not sure what to do with.

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