FJ Day Overall Yankee - Captain: Mighty

[BigChaang]

Mighty Yankee .....
.............................. Tues. - Chasing Fire .... supreme . yet to be beaten , O.M has previous here.
--------------------------------------------------------
............................... Wed. - Thyme White ..... grand annual .... Nicholls has kept him fresh for this race .
--------------------------------------------------------
............................. Thurs .- Captain Morgs - pertemps ...... Tick's all the right boxes.
-------------------------------------------------------
............................... Fri. - Milkwood - county hdl. Huge price - 2nd in welsh ch. hdl.
------------------------------------------------------
Good Luck Mighty with who ever , Bring home a Mighty Winner or two for us . .

[Mighty]

Little bump for this as we get closer to the deadline… keen for a few more suggestions from FJs before I make the final call…

[Odin]

As it's an overall Yankee I'd say definitely have a look through the other ones for any cases on there that catch your eye that haven't been copied into here.

Depending on whether you want to go win or ew, I think my best two at the prices would be:

Win - Galvin xc. Still think there's juice in his price and think he's better than delta work
EW - glory and fortune county or nassa-naiad ultima. Spectres cases for both are good enough for me!

[Mighty]

Thanks for all the contributions from everyone, especially in the other threads. I’ve made one selection from the main races for each day, which in my view have outstanding chances to win based on form and Saxon Warrior invaluable trends diary.

I’m going to wait until tomorrow until after day 2 decs before I place this, but I’ve gone for:

Il Etait Temps 6/1 Supreme
Fact to File 7/1 Champion Bumper
Foxy Girl 16/1 Mares Novice
Favori de Champdou 10/1 Albert Bartlett

Those are 365 prices - there a bit of 8/1 for Fact to File, and 20/1 for Foxy Girl if you can get them with Coral and Ladbrokes.

Rationale

Il Etait Temps - the winner of the DRF 2m G1 hurdle - how he’s not shorter is beyond me, earning a higher RPR than any of his rivals. The stats and trends are encouraging for him, and discouraging for Vega. Looking at the Supreme thread today, nearly everyone has him in the top three, and that’s good enough for me to have him on the team.

Fact to File - beaten last time out by near favourite A Dream to Share, but only by 2 3/4L, he’s a good EW price and has earned the second highest RPR in the bumper division. He’s an appealing 7 or 8/1 across the board, and that’s being propped up by the false favourite It’s for Me, who won a poor bumper and has just the one run. I’m taking him to reverse the form at Cheltenham.

Foxy Girl - Spectre has made an excellent case for her in the Day 3 Yankee thread, and I agree that her price is way too big. Quoting Paul: “She had nearly 600 days off was entitled to need her debut against Liberty Dance, but still ran really well. I thought she took a big step forward second time at Limerick on Boxing Day, and I’ve had her in mind for this ever since. I was really taken with that run, I also like that they’ve kept her fresh for this, and De Bromhead knows how to win this race. I think that run on Boxing Day, which was only her second run over hurdles, is better than either of the Mullins Mares have produced to far, and I suspect she'll take another big step forward in this.” Paul also makes the case that Luccia’s jumping is somewhat dodgy, and I have the nagging suspicion that she hasn’t beaten very much.

Favori de Champdou - has earned one of the highest RPRs in the division this year - 149, which is the third best pre-race rating in the last ten years, and a few lbs above the 10 year average. Gordon’s been targeting the race, and I think this could be his best chance. He won the G2 Bartlett trial at Limerick, beating a good yardstick in Letsbeclearaboutit - he’s an uncomplicated sort, a stayer who finds and has won repeatedly this season.

I’m sure someone can post the best odds out there, but hopefully this will bring us some good fortune! Good luck if you’re following me in.

[Kevloaf]

Lovely stuff, we're ALL following you in.


Coral / Ladbrokes are: 14552/1 (and if you do it manually you can get a boosted 19664/1 for the acca part)
365/Boyle/Betfred - 10471/1

[Exar Essay]

Super picks. Wouldn’t change one. Allllll in.

[Mighty]

It’s like I planned it - Danny has come out saying it’s hard to choose at home between FTF and It’s for Me, so I’ve placed the bet tonight before the EW value goes.

[Eggs]

….I’m in with Lads boooooost.

[Saxon Warrior]

Thanks for all the contributions from everyone, especially in the other threads. I’ve made one selection from the main races for each day, which in my view have outstanding chances to win based on form and Saxon Warrior invaluable trends diary.

I’m going to wait until tomorrow until after day 2 decs before I place this, but I’ve gone for:

Il Etait Temps 6/1 Supreme
Fact to File 7/1 Champion Bumper
Foxy Girl 16/1 Mares Novice
Favori de Champdou 10/1 Albert Bartlett

Those are 365 prices - there a bit of 8/1 for Fact to File, and 20/1 for Foxy Girl if you can get them with Coral and Ladbrokes.

Rationale

Il Etait Temps - the winner of the DRF 2m G1 hurdle - how he’s not shorter is beyond me, earning a higher RPR than any of his rivals. The stats and trends are encouraging for him, and discouraging for Vega. Looking at the Supreme thread today, nearly everyone has him in the top three, and that’s good enough for me to have him on the team.

Fact to File - beaten last time out by near favourite A Dream to Share, but only by 2 3/4L, he’s a good EW price and has earned the second highest RPR in the bumper division. He’s an appealing 7 or 8/1 across the board, and that’s being propped up by the false favourite It’s for Me, who won a poor bumper and has just the one run. I’m taking him to reverse the form at Cheltenham.

Foxy Girl - Spectre has made an excellent case for her in the Day 3 Yankee thread, and I agree that her price is way too big. Quoting Paul: “She had nearly 600 days off was entitled to need her debut against Liberty Dance, but still ran really well. I thought she took a big step forward second time at Limerick on Boxing Day, and I’ve had her in mind for this ever since. I was really taken with that run, I also like that they’ve kept her fresh for this, and De Bromhead knows how to win this race. I think that run on Boxing Day, which was only her second run over hurdles, is better than either of the Mullins Mares have produced to far, and I suspect she'll take another big step forward in this.” Paul also makes the case that Luccia’s jumping is somewhat dodgy, and I have the nagging suspicion that she hasn’t beaten very much.

Favori de Champdou - has earned one of the highest RPRs in the division this year - 149, which is the third best pre-race rating in the last ten years, and a few lbs above the 10 year average. Gordon’s been targeting the race, and I think this could be his best chance. He won the G2 Bartlett trial at Limerick, beating a good yardstick in Letsbeclearaboutit - he’s an uncomplicated sort, a stayer who finds and has won repeatedly this season.

I’m sure someone can post the best odds out there, but hopefully this will bring us some good fortune! Good luck if you’re following me in.

I’ve backed all of those, with no more than 2 or 3 horses backed in their chosen races, so I’m very happy with those

[BigChaang]

Excellent !! , Well Done Mighty , Going to do this A.s.a.p .....

[Frankely My Dear]

Will do this when supreme market opens on 365 again, great picks

[Big Bucks]

That's me in, good work

[Istabraq]

Will do this when supreme market opens on 365 again, great picks

If you can I’d hold off until Tuesday lunchtime, you’ll get better terms for the Wed and Thur horses then…