Nap, Lay and E/W

[Saxon Warrior]

As I am not normally too interested in shorties as single bets, I’ve suggested a few LAYS.

I also favour Hurdles as the main betting medium for Naps and Each Way

* usually less Fallers, Pulled Up, UR’s and BD’s
* definitely less obstacles per comparable race distances
* leads to less hard luck stories in running (hopefully)


NAP
MAXXUM - Pertemps Hurdle Final - if running here off less than 150

Reserve:
SALVADOR ZIGGY - Pertemps Hurdle Final

Maxxum is the NAP if he runs in the Pertemps Final off less than 150.

With the high RPR for Maxxum pointing towards a high tax hike by the GB capper, then I would nominate Gordon’s original plan for the Pertemps, Salvador Ziggy, as a worthy stand in for Maxxum - if that ends up being the end game.


EACH WAY
MAXXUM - Stayers Hurdle - if diverting here from Pertemps

Reserve:
FAVORI DU CHAMPDOU - Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle

If Maxxum diverts from the Pertemps to the Stayers Hurdle, then he would be an extremely interesting runner in that Grade 1.

If he stayed on Plan A and went for the Pertemps, then my choice would be Favori Du Champdou in the Albert Bartlett.

He is relishing 3M Novice Hurdles and represents plenty of place value against those at the top of the market, given his form is at least as strong at this point, he’s built up some experience in quick time, and improving markedly for it.


LAY
LUCCIA - Mares Novice Hurdle - plenty of opposition with similar or higher RPR’s , and now she’s absent at weekend.

HERMES ALLEN - Ballymore - another off the Challow production line that hasn’t beaten a decent horse yet. The Irish will have form hardened against quality opposition

ALLAHO - Ryanair - for obvious reasons, though WPM could control the quality of opposition if he does turn up.

I tend to look for plenty of options to beat shorties and could pick several here, so I have put three that I wouldn’t touch at the prices, as Singles, or in Multi’s, and who may end up having some decent opposition

(even though I have backed one of these, I would now lay at their new shorter price)

[Winging The Last]

NAP - Facile Vega (Supreme) & Constitution Hill (CH) - Mortgage job! People crabbing FV's last run but the tactics of the race was not in his favour to make it a visual performance. He still was hardly pushed out in the finish and still kicked away from Il Et Temps when he saw him. There is plenty left in the tank and I can see him storming up that hill clear in the first race. He's is by far the most talented horse in the race and the whole of the novice hurdle ranks

If I was to have a single NAP at the prices then that would be ADV in the Mares Chase


Lay - Obvious one would be Allaho due to the chances that he won't show up but of the one's that likely to run that I would take on at the prices would probably be Mighty Potter (Turners), got a good chance in the race but his jumping isn't the greatest and wouldn't be surprised if he suffered the same fate as Envoi in the race.


E/W - 1st - Halka Du Tabert (MNH) & 2nd - Three Card Brag (AB) - Halka is one I think has a great chance to win this, she was mighty impressive in her last race and Gordo really likes her. From the same connections as Honeysuckle and previously winner Telmesomethingirl, Alexander knows a good mare when he sees one. And with TCB Maxwell said the other day that he'd prefer to send the horse to the AB as he wants to win G1s. I think 3m would be prefect for him, he just looks like a proper stayer. A double would be great if I could 100% guarantee that TCB was going the AB