Originally posted by Kevloaf
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Cheltenham Gold Cup 2018
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Originally posted by Hurricane fly View PostWhile I’m on Our Duke at 33s, Carlingford Lough used to stay all day but never got within 20 lengths of a GC
Lord Windemere, Synchronised? They had no class and stayed all day too..... and Our Duke does have some class IMO
Don Poli has placed, On His Own, The Giant Bolster, Minella Rocco....
I'm just saying I've not lost faith thats all
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What do we think will be on Yorkhill's itinerary this season? The John Durkan is obviously off the cards, but what about the Lexus, Irish Gold Cup and then straight to the big one? Think that's the most likely route myself, although it's possible he could go for the Cotswolds chase in January. After what happened Thistlecrack last season though, the top trainers may think twice about letting their stars face the dreaded hill so early in the season.
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Originally posted by Montjeu View PostWhat do we think will be on Yorkhill's itinerary this season? The John Durkan is obviously off the cards, but what about the Lexus, Irish Gold Cup and then straight to the big one? Think that's the most likely route myself, although it's possible he could go for the Cotswolds chase in January. After what happened Thistlecrack last season though, the top trainers may think twice about letting their stars face the dreaded hill so early in the season.
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Originally posted by Robante View PostI don’t think he’ll race at Cheltenham until the festival, and it’s logical his first try at close to the trip would be in the Irish Gold Cup. Not sure if they’d go the Lexus first up or just give him an easier introduction over 2m 5
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Originally posted by Montjeu View PostRealistically there's not too many other options for him other than the Lexus Robante. There is the Kinloch Brae Chase over 2m4f in January which would be an ideal starting point, except it's ran at Thurles. Unless Willie decides to send him raiding across the Channel (far more unlikely than sending him to the Lexus you'd imagine), Yorkhill's inability to race right-handed restricts his race planning quite a lot.
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Maybe, but I don't see the sense in dropping him down to 2 miles if the Gold Cup is the long term target. Plus, the 2 mile chasing division is the one division they don't need any more horses for, they have either Douvan, Min or Un De Sceaux for that.
If Yorkhill is as good as they think he is, and has "Gold Cup written all over him," then let him take his chance in the Lexus I say and see if he's up to the task.
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Originally posted by Montjeu View PostMaybe, but I don't see the sense in dropping him down to 2 miles if the Gold Cup is the long term target. Plus, the 2 mile chasing division is the one division they don't need any more horses for, they have either Douvan, Min or Un De Sceaux for that.
If Yorkhill is as good as they think he is, and has "Gold Cup written all over him," then let him take his chance in the Lexus I say and see if he's up to the task.
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Originally posted by Robante View PostI wouldn’t be surprised whichever route they take. I don’t think it matters if he’s up to the task as I don’t think he has an alternative target this year. If Faugheen and Douvan stay fit they seem locked in for the Champion Hurdle and Champion Chase, and no way will Mullins have Min, Un De Sceaux and Yorkhill in the Ryanair. Starting him off over 2m gives them greater flexibility maybe if any of the others get injured along the way. If by Feb they’re all in good shape that’s when he can have his prep at the trip in the Irish Gold Cup. I’m with you that I’d rather see him in the Lexus, would make it easier for us punters
The problem is, there is only one Grade 1 race over 2 miles in Ireland before Cheltenham, and with three big guns for that race already, it's very unlikely they'll run their Gold Cup horse there. I mean they already know Yorkhill has the speed for 2m4f, so if anything does happen to Douvan or Min they know they have an able deputy for the Ryanair.
I can see Douvan going for the Tingle Creek, the Clarence House, then maybe the Game Spirit if Altior isn't around. Un De Sceaux will probably take the route Douvan took last season, and then there are plenty of 2m4f races for Min to mop up if the other two stay sound.
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Originally posted by Montjeu View PostTo be honest, regardless of what happens to any of Mullins' other horses this season in terms of staying sound, I can't see Yorkhill going for any other race but the Gold Cup.
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Every chance an 18lbs increase won't be enough to stop Total Recall from winning the Hennessy, but I'll be happy to take him on at 5/1. The Mullins factor, coupled with his ease of victory in the Munster National, may see him overbet tomorrow. Despite comfortably beating the useful Alpha Des Obeaux, who went on to win a Grade 2 next time out, that was a woeful field he beat at Limerick, nothing like the quality in depth he'll face tomorrow. 18lbs may not be enough, but it may be enough all the same, how much more improvement can Mullins bring from this once truly average handicapper? Probably unwise to underestimate the man though.
American 7/1 and Coneygree 16/1 are the two for me. American really looked like a rising star last season, and with this being his long term target, he may well just have his own Gold Cup tomorrow. No doubt if he wins he will be aimed at the real thing, but that is certainly not Harry Fry's priority. Coneygree obviously the best horse in the race, and if he manages to defy top weight and win, it will be a case of "oh, well that was obvious."
Waiting on a price for American to do the Hennessy/Gold Cup double.
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