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Scottish Grand National Trends 2015
Thu, Apr 2nd, 2015

Ayr Scottish Grand National

The Scottish Grand National is run at Ayr racecourse in late April and has shown some strong trends over the last decade. There are 93 entries for the 2015 renewal including many entered for the Aintree and Fairyhouse equivalents.

Scottish Grand National Winners

Between 2003 and 2014 the Scottish Grand National winners were :

Year Horse LTO Age WT Trainer Jockey OR Price
2014 Al Co 104 9 10-00 P Bowen J Moore 140 40/1
2013 Godsmejudge 38 7 11-03 A King W Hutchinson 139 12/1
2012 Merigo 43 11 10-02 A Parker T Murphy 134 15/2
2011 Beshabar 31 9 10-04 T Vaughan R Johnson 146 15/2
2010 Merigo 42 9 10-00 A Parker T Murphy 127 18/1
2009 Hello Bud 9 11 10-09 N Twiston-Davies P Brennan 135 12/1
2008 Iris De Balme 30 8 9-07 S Curran C Huxley 117 66/1
2007 Hot Weld 14 8 9-09 F Murphy PJ McDonald 124 14/1
2006 Run For Paddy 57 10 10-02 C Llewellyn C Llewellyn 135 33/1
2005 Joes Edge 7 8 9-11 F Murphy K Mercer 137 20/1
2004 Grey Abbey 42 10 11-12 H Johnson G Lee 148 12/1
2003 Ryalux 49 10 10-05 A Crook R McGrath 140 15/2

Scottish Grand National  Winner Stats Profile

Age: Hello Bud and Merigo have won as a 11 year old but 8 out of the last 10 have been aged 7-10 ( from roughly 2/3rds of the field)

Starting Price: No favourite has won since 2000. There have been two 15/2 winners in the past decade with remaining 8 winners priced in band from 12/1 to 66/1.

Weight: 9  of the last 12 carried 10-06 or less ( from roughly 2/3rds of field). Bottom Weights/Horses out of the handicap have won 4 of the last 10. Only one horse (Godsmejudge 2013) has carried over 11 stone to victory in the last decade.

Ratings: 10 of the last 12 winners were officially rated at 140 or less.

Trainers: Local trainer Andrew Parker has laid out Merigo to finish 1st, 2nd and 1st in this in the four three years. Godsmehudge won in 2013 and was runner up last year for Alan King. Paul Nicholls has not won this race during the last 12 years ( from 20+  attempts).

Scottish Grand National Tips

if you have a fancy for the big race share it on the Fat Jockey Horse Racing Forum. We have a Scottish Grand National thread.

Scottish Grand National 2015 Odds

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