The season has at least
started now
As it is responsible gambling week - and I've now gone past 250 pts staked :highly_amused: so thought I'd look at my own position...
I did a bit of anaylsis again on my 2017 and saw that I was in profit for 16 races last season (
not including ANY multiples), two races were level, and 10 races I was negative for.
The 10 negative we're:
Supreme
Mares Hurdle
Coral Cup
Fred Winter
Bumper
Stayers Hurdle
Browne Plate
Kim Muir
Albert Bartlett
Fox Hunters
To break them down a little:
4x handicaps - now this was actually quite interesting for me, as I looked at the ante post selections that I had made in all the handicaps and I only have 1 "positive", which was presenting percy at 20/1 in the Pertemps - which incidentally on the day I thought that was a busted flush too, so I had gone in on the race again.
I actually thought I'd gotten some decent prices but looking at my "wins" in 2017 they were only placed on the day of the race (or a day or two before, not sure exactly when jono made the case for Tully East but I didn't back in until the Monday...). I
wouldn't have profited from any of the handicaps (bar Pertemps) with my ante post selections.... so this year I will TRY NOT to have an ante post bet in any of the handicaps no matter how good they seem to be. That will be tough, as I do love looking for them, and I did have some nicer prices place... BUT, the facts are I was NOT profitable in an ante-post format.
Backed too many
Supreme - Hype horses caught me out, and I did end up backing every single horse in this race (good job or I wouldn't have had the winner and it would have been even worse) Without non runners I actually was 5 pts up.... however I had 19 pts in non runners. I already made an effort this year to back "any race" and I have been a lot more reserved, but this was the only race that my approach of going for the "green book" didn't work. So the lesson for me here, I think, is to just be more cautious with regards to target and wait for NRNB (which I will add, I had 28 pts worth of!)
The rest
Mares, Bumper, Stayers, Potato, Fox Hunters
I 'took a view' in these races that didn't pay off! VVM or Limini, Western Ryder, Unowhatimeanharry, Death Duty, On The Fringe
Any of those would have been quite healthy swings, and am not really too concerned about any of them. I had some BIG prices about the majority of them and as I mentioned, none of this includes multiples, so for some of the races I didn't need to have 'singles' on as other horses we're covered (like the stayers and ... actually no other - just the stayers)
This time last year I'd already had the Altior, Yorkhill double that was the crux of my festival last year... I hope I've already stumbled across that kind of success again :triumphant:
Any thoughts are welcome :encouragement:
