The drift on timeforshowcasing at the curragh today is pretty strange. Theres always a chance somebody knows something and theres good reason for the drift, but at face value 11/1 is way overpriced.
This time yesterday she was about 5/1, which i thought was fair enough on the back of her previous run, and standout piece of form at that point, when a close third in france, beaten just over 2l behind aventure, and only just behind diamond necklace. You could argue 5/1 was even overpriced at that point. But since then, her form got another major boost, when the two horses she split in a German group one, hotazhell and Wimbledon hawkeye, went on to finish first and second in the champion stakes.
At that point, I thought 5/1 is definitely a bit overpriced, but staggeringly she's doubled in price overnight and today, with no obvious reason why. Trip is perfect, ground is good/yielding in places. Her German run was good ground, french run was testing ground, so seems fine on both. She's second top rated in the field, 4lb behind thundering on, who she receives 3lb from. Thundering got her rating from the oaks win, the form of which looks poor at the moment.
Its the sort of drift that makes me think there must be something that I dont know, like she's not fully fit or something, but maybe not. I've had a good each way bet on her anyway.