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2018 Grand National

I still have a list of about 12 horses but have backed Mirella Rocco only so far. That said, all the ones mentioedn recently are on my list including I Just Know & Buywise (always good for a running on place, especially at 50/1!).
 
doctorwu said:
Please do Ista. One negative is course form.
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The mark has dropped in recent years, it seems the lower end of value is now a £13k chase and on that basis I Just Know qualifies.
I used to be more so I presume recent winners didn't meet the trend so the line has been dropped...
 
Istabraq said:
The mark has dropped in recent years, it seems the lower end of value is now a £13k chase and on that basis I Just Know qualifies.
I used to be more so I presume recent winners didn't meet the trend so the line has been dropped...
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Most trends remain very fluid. :highly_amused:
 
I have Cause of Causes, Seeyouatmidnght and Minella Rocco backed so far.

I lost a little on O O Seven but I thought he was a doubtful starter anyway.

Tiger Roll and Anibale Fly look blindingly obvious as well. I like to have 4 for the race, so with COC looking doubtful due to his lameness, I will probably fall down on either of those.
 
doctorwu said:
I'd no idea any cash was going on this horse.

The Catterick win, and a sneaky hurdle race was what interested me in this horse. I think it was just shy of 20k 1st prize for the Yorkshire Nash.
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I think it was Paul Kealy tipping it that prompted the money.
 
My shortlist of 4 are in order of rating : Tiger Roll , Genie In a Bottle, Anibale Fly, and Belshill. I'll be perming them for the Fcst. Tiger Roll does have an outstanding chance I reckon . I've missed the 50s but at 14's I will increase my stake on the price.
I've read through the posts and mention has been made about the likely going. It's soft to heavy already at Aintree and the Accuweather forecast is for rain everyday from now onwards. On a bright note it looks like a sunny day for the race itself. Could it be another Red Marauder year? when it's heavy at Aintree it is worse than the going was at Cheltenham this year. The field could be strung out by halfway with only 7 -10 finishers. Proven mudlarks only need apply.
 
It's 2.5 weeks until the National, there is zero chance of getting an accurate weather forecast that far in advance BF.
 
I don't read the forecast in exactly the same way but others can judge for themselves:
https://www.accuweather.com/en/gb/aintree/l10-6/daily-weather-forecast/325596?day=16

This far out, the going on the day could be anything from good to heavy. I live about 20 miles as the crow flies from Aintree and every area of grass around here is much drier than it was a couple of weeks ago.
If there is heavy rain in the week of the National then, yes it could be very soft but it's much to early to make that call.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
It's 2.5 weeks until the National, there is zero chance of getting an accurate weather forecast that far in advance BF.
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Accuweather is excellent Faugheen -Machine. We've used it for the past few years before booking our 2 weeks in Brighton and it's never been wrong! More recently and to the point they correctly forecast the snow and rain that preceded the Cheltenham festval in March at the end of Januuary. I don't want a heavy ground Aintree meeting but I think it will be.
 
Bigfish said:
My shortlist of 4 are in order of rating : Tiger Roll , Genie In a Bottle, Anibale Fly, and Belshill. I'll be perming them for the Fcst. Tiger Roll does have an outstanding chance I reckon . I've missed the 50s but at 14's I will increase my stake on the price.
I've read through the posts and mention has been made about the likely going. It's soft to heavy already at Aintree and the Accuweather forecast is for rain everyday from now onwards. On a bright note it looks like a sunny day for the race itself. Could it be another Red Marauder year? when it's heavy at Aintree it is worse than the going was at Cheltenham this year. The field could be strung out by halfway with only 7 -10 finishers. Proven mudlarks only need apply.
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Looking at the exchange prices the last few days it looks like Belshill is heading to the Irish National and Cause of Causes and Rathvinden won't be turning up. I'm on these 4 and and that will probably be my main bets done:

Tiger Roll @25 - 2 points E/W
I Just Know @60 - 1.5 points E/W (still available with the Ladbrokes price boost, not NRNB, can't see 50s being available on the day, less than that on the exchange)
Minella Rocco @20 - 1.25 E/W (NRNB)
Seeyouatmidnight @25 1.25 E/W (NRNB)
 
Is anyone with cash on Tiger Roll worried about all the post fest chat about him skipping the National?
 
A genie in a bottle

A genie in a bottle

I am interested in A genie in bottle as I had it as a “little sneaker”. It meets many of the criteria I look for as a potential winner of this type of race. My only concern is that the last time a 7yo won the National was 1940. I would be interested in your views on that Rhinestone.
 
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Wainright said:
I am interested in A genie in bottle as I had it as a “little sneaker”. It meets many of the criteria I look for as a potential winner of this type of race. My only concern is that the last time a 7yo won the National was 1940. I would be interested in your views on that Rhinestone.
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Far more knowledgeable people than me on here Wainright who will be able to share their thoughts on this one. I'm still relatively new to the game with this being the first NH season that I have properly followed from start to finish
 
robith said:
Is anyone with cash on Tiger Roll worried about all the post fest chat about him skipping the National?
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I haven't picked up on any comments robith, unless Elliott isn't happy with the horses recovery ?
10:12 he will never get a better chance and we know Giggs throw as many darts as they can at big staying chases....
 
He (Gordon Elliott)is speaking very positively about Tiger Rolls participation in an article on the Attheraces website this evening.
 
I can see horses currently 55-60 having a chance of gettinga run this year. Splash of Ginger is tempting me at 66/1 and much bigger on the exchanges.
 
I'm against Tiger Roll winning (chances of a place) because, as said before, no National winner in modern times has won at Cheltenham and Tiger Roll has a poor record backing up his previous Cheltenham wins.
 
archie said:
I'm against Tiger Roll winning (chances of a place) because, as said before, no National winner in modern times has won at Cheltenham and Tiger Roll has a poor record backing up his previous Cheltenham wins.
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I like quite a few at the front of the market this year. The one i can't have this year is Blaklion - the race at Haydock was horrific viewing and it'd be some performance to bounce back from that.
 
At this stage it's all about value. Looking at his exchange price, Regal Encore would appear to be a likely runner.

Minella Rocco would give him a lovely racing weight, he won at Ascot off his National mark, he handles the fences and soft ground.
 
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