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Brown Advisory Plate 2018

Birds Nest said:
One thats gone slightly under the radar for this is Foxtail Hill. Still around 33's readily available. Favourite for last years Close brothers,where he fell, described as NTD's best chance of a winner last year, his win over Le Prezien at Cheltenham back in October was ,for me, quite breathtaking, described by NTD as a 2 and a half miler, he had enough speed to take on some very sharp types that day and was again going away from Le Prezien at the finish..Good ground seems important to him,but you could say that for most of the fancied ones too but back on a nice mark and at 33's is worthy of a look...
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He looked fantastic on one day, but less than fantastic on several others. That's why he is 33/1.
 
So he was favourite for last year's close brothers on the back of not looking good in any race?
 
I was well impressed with him over 2m in October and had him in mind for the Grand Annual since that run - that's where I'd be tempted to go if he was mine. Jumping at pace was exceptional. I just think it's harder to lead them all a merry dance in this race, you end up setting it for something.
 
Are we hopeful Romain de Senam will get in?? bookies think so.
 
doctorwu said:
Are we hopeful Romain de Senam will get in?? bookies think so.
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Honestly wouldn't like to say but another 3lb from Tully East when TE already finished behind RDS (albeit only a neck) off 3lb lower is no bad thing for RDS.

Very hopeful should he run.
 
RdS and Bouvreuil both going to be close.

Gut feeling is they both get in!
 
Can't Catch Me said:
Why do you think one definitely will and one should when they are both allotted the same weight FM?!
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My error CCM - but I'd be very confident they'll both get in. Plenty of those above have multiple entries, and quite a few won't be running.
 
Can't Catch Me said:
Hope you're right mate!
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Having looked at last years entries, number 80 in the weights (Katachenko) got a run in this last season so I've got little doubt that RDS and Bouvreuil get in.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
Having looked at last years entries, number 80 in the weights (Katachenko) got a run in this last season so I've got little doubt that RDS and Bouvreuil get in.
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365 still 16/1 NRNB with RdS which is best price now.

I thought I'd caved and backed him.... can't find it...so I might add him now :very_drunk:
 
Been looking over this again since my original pick probably won't run and noticed that Ballotin is entered under a pretty nice weight. Been on him the two times he's ran since Phillip Hobbs got him from France, a nice win and 2nd under a heavy weight. I feel he's pretty unexposed, goes well on any ground on the basis of his French form plus David Maxwell will take off 7lbs. I'm gonna go in at 25/1
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
Having looked at last years entries, number 80 in the weights (Katachenko) got a run in this last season so I've got little doubt that RDS and Bouvreuil get in.
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Very few horses were named directly when Nick Luck quizzed the handicapper yesterday. Katachenko was mentioned
 
luisgarciaisgod said:
Been looking over this again since my original pick probably won't run and noticed that Ballotin is entered under a pretty nice weight. Been on him the two times he's ran since Phillip Hobbs got him from France, a nice win and 2nd under a heavy weight. I feel he's pretty unexposed, goes well on any ground on the basis of his French form plus David Maxwell will take off 7lbs. I'm gonna go in at 25/1
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Luis - David Maxwell taking 7lb off wouldn't be a plus for me, he is fully deserving of a 7lb claim imo.

David Maxwell is living the dream though. Having the opportunity to ride your own horses at the Cheltenham Festival - it must be some feeling!
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
Luis - David Maxwell taking 7lb off wouldn't be a plus for me, he is fully deserving of a 7lb claim imo.

David Maxwell is living the dream though. Having the opportunity to ride your own horses at the Cheltenham Festival - it must be some feeling!
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He's certainly no Paul Carberry but his strike rate actually isn't the worst. Wouldn't put me off tbh.
 
Ive just backed my 10th horse in this race! A record for me but it took that many to be confident I now have the winner. 10pts staked altogether, anything from 16pts - 22pts back. Have upped the ante this year across the board. If I did that for every race then as long as one out of two races you get the winner you’re pretty much breaking even. In reality I’d be expecting to hit three out of four handicap races if backing 10 horses in each
 
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