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National Hunt Chase (4 miler) 2018

Any news on elegant escape? He's got every right to go for the rsa but I wouldn't like to 2nd guess tizzard

In my opinion Elegant Escape should go for this race and Sizing Tennessee the Ultima, wouldn’t give either a chance in the RSA but at least one will line up there
 
Not that I've seen specifically recently. Can't be confident despite it looking blindingly obvious EE should go here!

My position in this race:

Elegant Escape - 50/1 - 0.5 pts e/w
Impulsive Star - 50/1 - 0.75 pts e/w & 33/1 0.75 pts e/w
Fagan - 25/1 - 2 pts win
Presenting Percy - 33/1 0.5 pts e/w

Cashed out all the PP bets I had other than the one above.

Only 1 bet.
Presenting percy 33/1. Won't be cashing that out any time soon but under the current plan would be a NR . Will Probably wait until nearer the time and see what codd and o Connor are on.
 
Recent results suggest that Impulsive Star has about a stone to find to be competitive in this but 50/1 is a very fair price as long as NRNB.

Absolutely a race to be backing the jockey.
 
Recent results suggest that Impulsive Star has about a stone to find to be competitive in this but 50/1 is a very fair price as long as NRNB.

Absolutely a race to be backing the jockey.

We're actually getting close to some news on that.... wasn't it about mid-Feb last year?
Impulsive Star has the benefit of a Gold Cup winning jockey on his back at least
 
Recent results suggest that Impulsive Star has about a stone to find to be competitive in this but 50/1 is a very fair price as long as NRNB.

This is such a unique race I'm not sure it's possible to apply usual rating/handicapping methodology.
None of these will have traveled a yard over 3m yet this race requires them to go a mile further, so this is the one race opinion (about whether a horse has the required level of stamina) may count for more than numbers.
As always, just my take....
 
This is such a unique race I'm not sure it's possible to apply usual rating/handicapping methodology.
None of these will have traveled a yard over 3m yet this race requires them to go a mile further, so this is the one race opinion (about whether a horse has the required level of stamina) may count for more than numbers.
As always, just my take....

It does, of course, depend on what turns up on the day but in the last 4 years there's been about a 40% increase in prize-money and this has seen better horses go in this race. In 2014 Midnight Prayer won off 139 and there were only 3 runners rated higher. The last two runnings, the lowest rated in the first 4 was 143 and there were 13 and 12 horses rated 140 or higher in the field. It may well be that Impulsive Star will be better than 132 over 4 miles but I'd be waiting until the entries are out on Thursday(?) to see where he stands.
 
Good info that Archie, appreciated.
Until he’s proven over fences I’ll cling to the fact he was a 140 hurdler requiring an extreme test of stamina....
 
No Comment the only JP horse entered up in the 4 miler this year. He's actually got a profile I would have really liked for this race but the fact he hasn't been seen this season means you can count him out.

Means Derek O'Connor will be available for another owner this year...
 
No Comment the only JP horse entered up in the 4 miler this year. He's actually got a profile I would have really liked for this race but the fact he hasn't been seen this season means you can count him out.

Means Derek O'Connor will be available for another owner this year...

Up for review entered here and the rsa. Is interesting
 
No Comment the only JP horse entered up in the 4 miler this year. He's actually got a profile I would have really liked for this race but the fact he hasn't been seen this season means you can count him out.

Means Derek O'Connor will be available for another owner this year...

Jury duty is the one who interests me most. But theres no decent prices available at this stage.
 
No Comment the only JP horse entered up in the 4 miler this year. He's actually got a profile I would have really liked for this race but the fact he hasn't been seen this season means you can count him out.

Means Derek O'Connor will be available for another owner this year...

No way in which O'Connor rides for JP and Codd jumps on board your original shout, Elegant Escape, as he rode him in that Samcro PTP? Just a thought really.
 
Backed jury duty 12/1 ew nrnb bog. Was only 8s and pushed out. Very happy with that from what he's shown.
 
I see Bet365 have pushed out quite a few, the only 2 that have retracted in price are Arbre De Vie & Impulsive Star.
 
Come on Colin get the codd signed up for elegant escape. Apart from elegant escape, dury duty and mall dini all the other horses at the top of the market won't run and all others in the race general 130 handicappers
 
Does anyone know what the plans are for Barney Dwan? He'd be of interest to me in this if I knew itp was his target.
 
I see Bet365 have pushed out quite a few, the only 2 that have retracted in price are Arbre De Vie & Impulsive Star.

Fat Jockey money moving the market :highly_amused:

Mall Dini - Katie Walsh
Elegant Escape - Derek O'Connor
Fagan - JAmie Codd

Are my speculative guesses.... I wonder if Nina will take a ride?
 
Come on Colin get the codd signed up for elegant escape. Apart from elegant escape, dury duty and mall dini all the other horses at the top of the market won't run and all others in the race general 130 handicappers



I think EE will go rsa personally.
 
Fat Jockey money moving the market :highly_amused:

Mall Dini - Katie Walsh
Elegant Escape - Derek O'Connor
Fagan - JAmie Codd

Are my speculative guesses.... I wonder if Nina will take a ride?

I think codd on jury duty. Has a good relationship with elliot and he'll want to be on a live chance. And jury duty is that.
Ticks all the boxes and keeps galloping.
 
I think codd on jury duty. Has a good relationship with elliot and he'll want to be on a live chance. And jury duty is that.
Ticks all the boxes and keeps galloping.

Should have said "hopes" rather than guesses haha...

Jury Duty has been cut to 11/2 with PP NRNB .... 12s available as you mentioned earlier.... Having backed Fagan and able to cash it out, I think I will and 1 pt ew Jury Duty