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JLT Novices 2018
- Thread starter Innoko
- Start date
jono
Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)
Hopefully we see him. I couldn't see a reason why he was declared a late non runner at Leopardstown but I presume the ground (Yielding)? Which would be a concern backing him for the Spring.
Looks like we will be getting the Willoughby Court vs Yanworth rematch at Cheltenham in The Dipper on New Years day. I'm surprised Alan King isn't trying the horse over 3 miles over fences next and instead gone for the intermediate trip again but it may just be a case that this race comes at the right time and then they look to target either the Towton Novices chase at Wetherby or the Reynoldstown at Ascot in February both other 3miles as based on what we have seen so far with his jumping and the fall, he could do with plenty more experience and race practice before March.
Not really on my shortlist but Ballyandy could well join them as a bit of a forgotten horse not being seen since September. Ami Desbois will run though after winning a couple of novice chases at Wetherby so far. He has to step up but he ran a decent race in the Albert Bartlett (5th), came second in a grade 2 hurdle at the track, 3rd in the Challow and I know the owners are bullish on how far this horse may progress
What is the ground likely to be? If it's soft is Yanworth going to be a bet?
I'm quite sweet on Willoughby Court though, so if he does get beaten I'll be disappointed.
His way of going, he gives 100% every time. Hopefully that is also the case in the JLT, and he's not left his race behind at any stage of the season.
I'm quite sweet on Willoughby Court though, so if he does get beaten I'll be disappointed.
His way of going, he gives 100% every time. Hopefully that is also the case in the JLT, and he's not left his race behind at any stage of the season.
Me too Kev, hoping for a big show from Willoughby Court, think he's the one to beat in the JLT at this still early stage.
SeanRock
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With Yanworth in receipt of 5lbs off Willoughby Court on soft ground id fancy him to reverse the previous result personally. Off level weights id go for WC.
I honestly think yanworth will turn Willoughby court over tomorrow 2m5 heavy ground with a fair run in.
I'd be confident of it.
Ofcourse he needs to jump. If I can get some 11/4 3/1 I'd be all over it. 5/2 may tempt me.
What ever happens tomorrow it's unlikely to resemble the jlt in march. So i wouldnt be going in on the winner at revised prices for the jlt.
Yes, I actually would back Willoughby Court for the JLT again tomorrow if he gets beaten (and the price is right)
I really can't see the winner of the jlt with any confidence at all. I probably have the winner. I hope so anyway. But no idea which one.
Yanworth 10/1
Willoughby court 16/1
Death duty 20/1
Tombstone 143.0
Capitaine 214.0
Sceau royal 93.0
Monalee 65.0
Alboum photo 120.0
Sutton place 20/1
Footpad any race 16s
Petit mouchoir any race 12s 10s
Finians Oscar any race 8/1
Modus 20/1 cashed out at full value for now.
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I cashed out my Yanworth 10s as 14s now about
WIllougby Court and Death Duty have been my biggest stakes for this since they were 16s.
Still hoping to work out Ruby's ride
Chacun Pour Soi is quiet and Bamako. Hoping Al Boum goes RSA
Bamako Moriviere would be my choice but apparently had a setback after Cork and hoping to be back in the spring. I want Yanworth in the RSA so hoping Willoughby Court turns him over again tomorrow, don’t fancy that happening though
Pauling said: "He is A1 since his win at Newbury. He obviously handles the ground and we know that should not be a concern. He is very healthy and I am happy with him.
"He has got to give weight away all round, but we are prepared for that. He is in great form and we are expecting him to run well once again."
He added: "I would have loved to have gone and looked at the Feltham (at Kempton on Boxing Day) but, after it did not quite work out at Huntingdon for various reasons, I did not want to go back right-handed just yet and the Dipper looked the obvious choice.
"Although I am sure if we'd gone to Kempton everything would be fine, if it wasn't, you would be annoyed with yourself.
"This could be his last run before the Festival. We will have to see because it is all match practice, but if he comes through this with flying colours, he might not be seen again until March."
Does that not worry anyone a little bit ??? Really strange to me how he said that.
"He has got to give weight away all round, but we are prepared for that. He is in great form and we are expecting him to run well once again."
He added: "I would have loved to have gone and looked at the Feltham (at Kempton on Boxing Day) but, after it did not quite work out at Huntingdon for various reasons, I did not want to go back right-handed just yet and the Dipper looked the obvious choice.
"Although I am sure if we'd gone to Kempton everything would be fine, if it wasn't, you would be annoyed with yourself.
"This could be his last run before the Festival. We will have to see because it is all match practice, but if he comes through this with flying colours, he might not be seen again until March."
Does that not worry anyone a little bit ??? Really strange to me how he said that.
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jono
Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)
Puts a slight doubt in there, though it could just be a case that tomorrow he is running under a penalty giving weight to the rest of the field where as at Kempton it would have been off levels - which would have been more appealing? Pauling had brought up the Kempton race at the same time as mentioning there being no need to step up from 2m4 in previous quotes so i'd still not be overly concerned myself.
Viking Flagship
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It sounds to me as if it’s a case of win the Dipper and then straight to he JLT. However, don’t win the Dipper and maybe forced to fit in another race over 3m to see if he’d be likely to have a better chance in RSA. I would highly doubt they’d ask WC to make his 3m debut in the RSA.
I do like Bamako moriviere was deffinately on an upward curve, form worked out well. I assumed that with him being entered and missing targets but confirmed by Joe chambers. I'd have liked to see him get another run in though if he did make it, to keep the momentum going. Hope he makes it anyway as certainly an interesting candidate.
Good luck tomorrow. Tough task with the ground in Sutton Place's favour.
PP have Al Boum Photo as the shortest MUllins horse for the race.... 16/1. 25/1 is available. Tempted to get this in to my book. At the moment only 3 figures for RSA but that doesn't look like its the plan now.
Was going to hack up when falling last time out, with Tombstone well beaten and TOmbstone is alright...
and on chase debut beat Tycoon Prince by 7L, who won over Christmas beating Bunk Off Early who is a decent horse over hurdles... I think he's slightly under the radar because of the silks, as stupid as that is... and if this ends up being the Ruby/Mullins horse then it won't be anywhere near 25/1...
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:encouragement: That went according to the script. Bookies not pushed WC out much (now 7s) ....
Yanworth wouldn't be a factor in MArch for me despite winning unless it was heavy ground. Jumps too slowly to win a festival race IMO.... would have a better chance in the RSA than here.