Narrowingthefield
The Cheltenham Festival once again produced a steady stream of winners…
There were 21 races run at the Aintree Festival this season. 13 of those winners had their last start at the previous months Cheltenham Festival.
There were 65 win & place horses and 34 of them had their last start at Cheltenham.
The Cheltenham festival, naturally, supplied by far the most runners over the three days but backing them all would have given you a +£6.75 level stakes profit to Betfair SP.
The facts are running at the Cheltenham Festival on your previous start before coming on to Aintree is NOT a negative. Far from it in fact.
Horses with very few runs on the board in the past 12 months struggled to land a blow…
Race fitness is vital at this stage of the season. You may think that coming in fresh against a bunch of horses who have been on the go all season would be a positive, but you would be wrong, it is the opposite.
34 horses lined up having had 0 or 1 starts in the past 12 months and all 34 failed to score. In fact only 3 even managed to place.
If we stretch those parameters a bit further, to horses that have had 3 or less runs in the past 12 months, you get similarly disappointing stats…
3/113 | 2.5% S/R | -£86.64 BFLSP – Win & Place 19/113 | 17% S/R
It’s pays to be match fit when coming to Aintree in the Spring and those that haven’t seen much action in the past 12 months have struggled to land serious blows.
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King’s Theatre offspring ran a big stinking blank over the three days…
22 runners and 0 winners.
Overall figures of…
0/22 | 0% S/R | -£22.00 BFLSP – Win & Place 4/22 | 18% S/R
Which made me have a look at the King’s Theatre offspring at Aintree in general over the past 6 season’s…
9/100 | 9% S/R | -£57.63 BFLSP – Win & Place 29/100 | 29% S/R
No sire has produced a bigger loss at the track with their offspring in recent season’s than King’s Theatre.
It’s worth digging a bit deeper but the general message is BEWARE of King’s Theatre kids at Aintree!
