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Tuesday 14th March - Champion Hurdle Day

It took me ages to read it so god knows how long that took to pull together :highly_amused:

You have the Champion Hurdle and Supreme almost sewn up. You have that many bets it's difficult to work out your best result in each race :devilish:
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
It took me ages to read it so god knows how long that took to pull together :highly_amused:

You have the Champion Hurdle and Supreme almost sewn up. You have that many bets it's difficult to work out your best result in each race :devilish:
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Imagine having to factor in doubles, trebles, trixies, yankees and lucky 15's in to the mix.

I have realised that Yanworth is my 'worst result' (bar The New One, Brain Power or Cht'bello!) which is strange as I feel like I have been the one banging the drum about hiim for the longest.

Still, pleased to be in that position as I fancied Annie Power all season or Faugheen, obviously.

Melon, Altior, Noble Endeavor, Petit Mouchoir, Vroum Vroum Mag, Champers on Ice, Potters Legend are my best results in each race :highly_amused:
 
It's an awesome list of bets Kev - you've put a lot of work in so deserve to be in such a good position.
 
i lose again - kev is the most prolific bettor on the forum :)
 
Kev, would you call yourself a mug punter or do you simply try to cover as many horses in a race with the idea of making a small profit.I dont see how you would get a buzz out of watching the Supreme or the Champion Hurdle after backing near 20 horses in each of those races but then again each to their own.
 
iainmcf said:
Kev, would you call yourself a mug punter or do you simply try to cover as many horses in a race with the idea of making a small profit.I dont see how you would get a buzz out of watching the Supreme or the Champion Hurdle after backing near 20 horses in each of those races but then again each to their own.
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Haha, I'll give you the benefit of the doubt that you aren't trying to be offensive.

I would say I will feel a buzz about the Arkle? I don't feel a buzz about the Champion Hurdle this year, because Faugheen or Annie Power aren't in it, and I would have only been on them?

The supreme is a difficult race this year (unless you've cracked it?) and I have had a buzz all year trying to get value all through the year in the race ... and i'll have an 'all green' book. I don't know who will win the Supreme, so rather than not have a bet at this stage, or be stood there on the day putting my little bet down I'd much rather be in my position than yours... but as you said, each to their own :)

I have been profitable at the last 6 festivals and been recording every bet I make since 1/1/15 - and am profitable each year too. So no, I don't feel like I am a mug punter, but I am trying something new this year, and I'd encourage you to look up 'Arbing' too.

In some races, I will make a small profit regardless, and in some HOPEFULLY I'll make a big profit... I'd rather be in the position to either win [small profit or big profit] than [no profit or big profit]. I'm not claiming to get a big buzz out of those races. You can get a buzz about not losing too, but you don't get a buzz from not backing anything? :highly_amused:
 
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You seem to be a knowlegable guy Kev and ive enjoyed reading your posts over the last few months,I was just surprised at the amount of different horses you had backed in the one race but as you say it works for you, no offence meant.
 
Hi Kev,

I understand Arbing, what kind of profit do you hope to make & what would your totally layout be per race, if you layout £200 would you be hoping for 50% or less per race? and do you do that for all the races or just the main champion ones??

Just trying to see if its worth the total layout & hard work. if its only a small profit would it be worth it?

Ps who gives a S&IT about having a buzz, its all about making a profit at the end of the day, a lot of people say we gamble for fun but in truth we mostly gamble to hopefully one day hit a big one.. as soon as cheltenham is finish we will all start to find winners/anti posts for the big flat races, so cheltenham is a buzz but making a profit small or large is the biggest buzz.
 
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iainmcf said:
You seem to be a knowlegable guy Kev and ive enjoyed reading your posts over the last few months,I was just surprised at the amount of different horses you had backed in the one race but as you say it works for you, no offence meant.
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I did take some because you started asking me a mug :highly_amused: but now I know that it is wasn't meant that way, non taken, and thank-you. :encouragement:

I did post in the "how do you approach the festival" about my different approach this year, and in all honesty, the point you mentioned is something I was worried about. I am not sure I want to bet "just for profit" on Cheltenham, because I might lose that excitement in some races. I know at this stage, I have enjoyed the build up more than ever, and I feel more confident now than ever HOWEVER I will be putting up a very detailed analysis. My approach is different from almost everyone on here and I respect them a lot... so what I am doing may prove to not work at all :sorrow:
 
mullinsmull said:
Hi Kev,

I understand Arbing, what kind of profit do you hope to make & what would your totally layout be per race, if you layout £200 would you be hoping for 50% or less per race? and do you do that for all the races or just the main champion ones??

Just trying to see if its worth the total layout & hard work. if its only a small profit would it be worth it?

Ps who gives a S&IT about having a buzz, its all about making a profit at the end of the day, a lot of people say we gamble for fun but it truth we mostly gamble to hopefully one day hit it big.. as soon as cheltenham is finish we will all start to find winners/anti posts for the big flat races, so cheltenham is a buzz but making a profit small or large is the biggest buzz.
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Hello, in all honesty I don't know... because I didn't set out to do it 'arbing', I've just found myself in this position. A friend of mine and I discussed it regarding gold and he's now got a very profitable system. I'm torn between wanting to do it though because I do still enjoy the "getting it right" when I have a strong opinion. I'd rather make money on something I got RIGHT than win the same amount of moeny when I got it WRONG... however, the latter is better than losing? It is a balance?

I haven't found it hard work at all, I have absolutely loved it, however I am sure I could have been more efficient than I have been...

and I have done it when the market seems to have allowed me too.... some through luck, some through 'skill'.

Are you doing it as well?
 
No always like the idea, not sure if I would have the discipline, but I will be very interested in how you get on and if it goes well for you (i really hope it does) maybe next year i will give it a go.
 
2 pts Bunk Off Early 7/1
1pt e/w Pingshou 50/1
2pts Heron Heights 20/1
1pt e/w Sceau Royale 33/1
1pt Lifeboat Mona 11/1
2pt A Genie In Abottle 8/1
1pt Beware the Bear 16/1
2pt Deans Road 33/1
 
It's interesting how the approach differs between this site and The Racing Forum.
Over there Kev's strategy would be seen as a lot more mainstream with guys covering lots of horses in one race and then looking to lay them off as the meeting gets closer.

I'm still learning from everyone at both sites and I reckon my book is not too dissimilar to Kev's.

Despite all the different horses if Western Rider and Peregrine Run win then I'll be in clover just like everyone else on here :very_drunk:

compiling the book has given me a lot of pleasure this year. I work away a lot during the week and it fills in the time, god knows what I'm going to do with myself after next Friday :confused:
 
Supreme
Bunk off early 10/1 3pts ew
Ballyandy 8/1 3pts win

Arkle wo altior
A Hare Breath 8/1 2pts

Ultima
Druids nephew 12/1 3 pts e/w
Singlefarmpayment 10/1 2pts win

Champion hurdle
Yanworth 5/1 5 pts win
Buvear dair 7/1 4pts each way

4 miler
Beware the bear 10/1 2pts each way

Close bros
Double ws 16/1 2pts each way
 
Been meaning to post mine all weekend, but really not had the time.
Possibly a little too late for everyone to see, but a record of what Singles I have (left!)...

Supreme Novices Hurdle

Crack Mome - 4pts @ 16/1
Cilaos Emery - 4pts @ 10/1
Bunk Off Early - 4pts @ 6/1


Champion Hurdle

Yanworth - 1pt @ 16/1
Moon Racer - 1pt @ 20/1


National Hunt Chase

Champers On Ice - 1pt @ 25/1
Haymount - 1pt @ 12/1
Arpege D'alene - 1pt @ 12/1
Edwulf - 1pt @ 16/1


Close Brothers Novice Chase

Two Taffs - 1pt EW @ 12/1
 
Brital said:
It's interesting how the approach differs between this site and The Racing Forum.
Over there Kev's strategy would be seen as a lot more mainstream with guys covering lots of horses in one race and then looking to lay them off as the meeting gets closer.

I'm still learning from everyone at both sites and I reckon my book is not too dissimilar to Kev's.
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I better move forum then :highly_amused:
 
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