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Win Today & Festival

…Hills Sunday;
Predators & BANC 40-1
Sober & Sup 50-1; Turn 50-1
Free Spirit & Sup 80-1
Road Exile & Sup 80-1
Kappa & Ark 100-1
 
Imagine being told at the start of the season the Moscow Flyer was a 3 runner race and those were the WTAF prices for Willie’s two runners (and third horse wasn’t the race favourite)!

It’s a murky old picture..
 
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You know what they say about a 3 runner race.....
 
….Hills update;

Pure Steel & JR Chase 25-1
Predators & BANC 28-1 (from 40-1)
Sober & Sup 50-1; Turn 50-1
Free Spirit & Sup 66-1 (from 80-1)
Road Exile & Sup 80-1
Kappa & Ark 100-1
 
Last edited:
…PP;
Predators & BANC 28-1
Sober & Sup 50-1
Riskabahia & MNH 66-1

Note; Riskabahia available 50-1 MNH.
 
….Hills update;
Bambino & MNH 10/3
Madness D’elle & TH 50-1

Note; Madness D’elle 50-1 TH with 365.
 
….Hills update;

Poetisa & MNH 28-1
Madness D’elle & TH 50-1
 
….updated PP DRF offers;

FD & BANC 7/4
KDB & Ark 11/4
Lossie & MH 9/2; CH 8-1
Marine & CC 4-1 (from 5-1)
Narciso & TH 11/2
IET & CC 6-1
GDC & GC 8-1
Romeo & BANC 10-1
Maj & CC 11-1
Talk & Sup 12-1
Kargese & Ark 12-1
Mange Tout & TH 14-1
BDA & CH 18-1
You Proof & Turn 20-1; AB 25-1
Dr Steinberg & AB 25-1; Turn 40-1
Anzadam & CH 28-1
Lazare & AB 33-1; Turn 50-1
DDM & Turn 25-1 (from 40-1)
El Fab & CH 50-1
 
Eggs said:
….updated PP DRF offers;

FD & BANC 7/4
KDB & Ark 11/4
Lossie & MH 9/2; CH 8-1
Marine & CC 4-1 (from 5-1)
Narciso & TH 11/2
IET & CC 6-1
GDC & GC 8-1
Romeo & BANC 10-1
Maj & CC 11-1
Talk & Sup 12-1
Kargese & Ark 12-1
Mange Tout & TH 14-1
BDA & CH 18-1
You Proof & Turn 20-1; AB 25-1
Dr Steinberg & AB 25-1; Turn 40-1
Anzadam & CH 28-1
Lazare & AB 33-1; Turn 50-1
DDM & Turn 25-1 (from 40-1)
El Fab & CH 50-1
Click to expand...
Whilst I understand the maths of the prices of Lossiemouth for her to win the Irish Champ Hurdle at the DRF and then either the Cheltenham Festival MH or CH, then I am not so sure the ‘Probability’ of which race she runs in is necessarily factored into the prices……and because of this I feel the 8/1 Lossie and CH is the bet to have and not the 9/2 to go to the Mares

IF she wins then surely her chances of at least running in the CH are far greater than the Mares Hurdle? I’d she beats a rejuvenated BDA who on this years form, ratings and on Irish CH prices is her main competitor, then how is she not going for the CH at Cheltenham?……how in a world where she wins all three of her 2m hurdle races prior to this years Cheltenham does she not run in the Champ Hurdle?…….whilst I know there are no certainties up until the day of the race and that Willie will ‘run her where he thinks she has the best chance of winning’, then surely IF she wins at the DRF, she has to go CH?

And IF she gets there on the day, she has one maybe two horses to beat so will not be 8/1 for sure!……And IF she loses at the DRF then how will she not run in the Mares?
 
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Looking for her to go under 3s with a win aren't you...
 
I was tempted by the WTAF price but have topped up as a single for the CH just in case the Irish CH doesn't go ahead or she falls at the last when 10 lengths clear or maybe steps on a stone and misses the race or perhaps goes straight there. I couldn't risk it. Not going to get greedy.
 
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