My pricing i put up earlier was the first time I've properly sat down and looked at the form and markets...obviously i have been looking 100s of times daily as the prices etc.. but now we know roughly the runners it allowed me to get looking a bit deeper.
Re Moon Racer, i certainly think he should be fav on all known form. There are many that crab him, his connections, trainer etc. but that doesn't change things. I wouldnt be a massive fan of Pipe either + to be honest this form this season his form has been awful. i think this horse is incredibly fragile, but why give him such a big race first time out in a lowly race at Perth? Couldnt they have started him off in say the Grade 2 at Cheltenham that he won + progressed from there to say the Tolworth or something? I understand we are dealing with a fragile being who hasn't been seen much at all but this would be one of the worries i would have.
At this moment in time i wont be taking any of the odds on offer about MR, but on the day with that Skybet offer, if he is still around the price he is now, i probably will. I would think the bookies will try and take Melon on early doors on the Tues, but plenty of the Mullins fans will mean he wont drift too much like his "form" would almost warrant.
I can't have Ballyandy as a betting proposition...I could see Movewiththetimes being interesting, but watching back his race vs BA, he does seem to either be still very clueless about the game, or have a slight attitude issue. Either or, this is a -ve for Tuesday, but long term he could be the best here.
As many have said Bunk Off Early was the one to take out of the Deloitte for the Supreme, and i would love a Supreme winner in the Supreme lol. I wouldnt think he would be my bet, but if the weather stays quite dry, he could be a danger to all.
I like both Crack Mome and Cilaos Emery. Crack Mome as mentioned above may be still too immature for this but the ground should see improvement. I would say the ground will also see massive improve from Cilaos Emery...one in which i have noticed i have missed off my pricing lol duh! I would say he will be the 4th jockey booking so be slightly bigger in the market than Crack Mome- i wouldnt discount him at all though. He looked decent in his bumper like year at Punchestown, and i thought was quite electric vs Joey Sasa. He let himself down against Mick Jazz which i didn't see coming at all! Still he could be a play.
I sound like i am backing about 4 in the above, but it'll be more based on Tuesdays market- i have 50/1 on Crack Mome, and will possibly be laying that off. Leaving me with possibly 2 plays to consider from the above....