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2017 Festival Plate

  • Thread starter Thread starter Morning Glory
  • Start date Start date
M

Morning Glory

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Early one from Donn


Three Kingdoms

Three Kingdoms did really well to get into the race from the rear to finish fourth in the Kerry National at Listowel last Wednesday. The second, third and fifth were in the first four from flagfall, while the winner, Wrath Of Titans, was always towards the head of the field, he raced prominently from early, at the head of the chasing pack. Also, the ground should have been too soft for Three Kingdoms, and he was wide throughout, probably looking for better ground, but foresaking ground in the process. And he was slightly hampered when Realt Mor fell beside him at the sixth last fence.

Davy Russell had the Street Cry gelding settled into a nice rhythm from early. He came under pressure on the run around the home turn and, while it never looked like he was going to catch the leaders, and while he would have finished fifth had Lord Scoundrel not fallen at the second last fence, he kept on well enough to get past Ballycasey for fourth.

Winner of a maiden on the flat for Dermot Weld in 2012, Three Kingdoms morphed into an exciting two-mile chaser for John Ferguson in 2014/15, winning the Grade 2 Lightning Novices’ Chase at Doncaster in January of that season and only going down by a half a length to Vibrato Valtat in the Grade 2 Wayward Lad Chase. He disappointed at the spring festivals that season, however, and attempts to re-invent him as a two-mile handicap hurdler last season did not bear fruit. Returned to Weld this summer, he was down the field in the Galway Plate, but he didn’t run badly in a two-and-a-quarter-mile handicap chase on the last day of the Festival. Dropped 2lb by the handicapper for that, his Kerry National run was another step forward, given that the trip and the ground probably stretched him beyond his limit.

Two and a half miles is probably his optimum distance over fences now, and he will be of interest when he races next over that trip, especially on goodish ground. He is rated 138 over hurdles, but he is a better chaser, he is probably better handicapped over fences on a mark of 147 than over hurdles on a mark of 138, if that makes sense. He will be of interest in a good two-and-a-half-mile chase now in the autumn and, looking longish term, he could be a horse for one of the big two-and-a-half-mile handicap chases at the spring festivals next year.

14th September 2016
 
Already stated I think pipe maybe lining dynaste up for this? Does anyone have an early opinion?
 
So difficult to consider the handicaps at this time of the year, remember last years first day novice chase when there was about 4lb between top and bottom ?
Who was the horse that was fav for months then got a rating of 141 and couldn't run ?

These handicaps are becoming so condensed that trainers can't afford to hide anything from the 'capper or their horse won't get in, I thought Dynaste ran well for a long way yesterday but will his mark drop to a winnable level for a festival handicap at 11 years of age ? I get the feeling there will always be one or two better handicapped that a regressive multiple G1 winner...
 
Not sure which horse that was Ista, I know Thomas Crapper didn't get in and he was near the top of the market until the very end after placing the year before.

Dynaste 153 at the moment... I suppose they've tried him over hurdles, and he keeps missing the target in all the good races... so it is viable in that they probably can't do anything else?
 
Doctor Harper....
 
Ah yes. Was fav for more than one if I remember correctly. Ended up in the Kim Muir and unseated?
 
Yep, smashed in that to a very warm fav too I remember....
 
Wasn't it killer crow who was punted for the novice handicap chase?
 
I know a few judges put Killer Crow up for the 4 miler but he didn't end up going to Cheltenham....
 
Yeh he was punted in the final race of the day and was a non runner but wasn't favourite for most of the season... was a late move. Mullins in a handicap chase :very_drunk:
 
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Plate - entry no81 got a run. This year entry no81 is rated 134 (1lb lower than got a run last year)
 
David pipe and Venetia Willian's have a silly record in this.. Winners and places all over the shop.. Interesting..
 
CW, interesting that Venetia also has the top weight.
I thought Cold March looked a progressive horse early last year, but has disappointed this season.
Is 11st low enough in the weights for this race though?

Just looked it up and the last 8 winners carried less, so probably answered my own question!