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Races of interest

Thankfully I got on before Segal announced his selections, which makes a nice change. My biggest bet at Haydock is Straidnahanna in the last. B365 made a bit of a rik and went 12/1 this afternoon. I missed that but got 15/2 which I feel is still overpriced.
 
One bet for me tomorrow, Coneygree to win then go on to win the Gold cup, sizeable bet considering, but my Chelters portfolio is looking a bit sad after Vautour
 
It sounds like the meeting may be in doubt. Raining again at Haydock, with more forecast to come.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
It sounds like the meeting may be in doubt. Raining again at Haydock, with more forecast to come.
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looks like you are OK FM

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Haydock has confirmed racing will take place today on heavy ground with more rain forecast this morning <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/mudfest?src=hash">#mudfest</a> <a href="https://t.co/qhlujFk3nZ">pic.twitter.com/qhlujFk3nZ</a></p>— Channel 4 Racing (@Channel4Racing) <a href="https://twitter.com/Channel4Racing/status/799884041025634304">November 19, 2016</a></blockquote>
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Just arrived home. A great days racing and i didn't think the ground was too bad all things considered. Cue Card was brilliant to my eye and I thought Coneygree was very good also after returning from such a long layoff.
 
Glad you had a good day FM, and hopefully avoided the downpours....
 
Great days racing yesterday.
 
The big races are coming thick and fast; next up is the Hennessey. I've backed three already.

2pts Native River 16/1: has a good profile for this race being a progressive second season chaser with a nice racing weight. Ran a good race at the Cheltenham festival, followed by winning at the Aintree festival. I do worry that he doesn't always travel well in his races, and he won't be the last horse on the bridle but he does find for pressure.

2pts ew Theatre Guide 33/1: another Tizzard horse, he has been placed twice in the race before so was surprised to see him available at those odds. He ran some great races last season but as a result is rated higher this time around. He seems to have been around forever but is still a 9 year old. I like his chances at those prices.

2pts ew Blacklion 14/1: I expected him to contest the betfair chase this weekend so backed him for the Hennessey when I noticed he'd been scratched from that race. It was a bit of an impulsive bet and I expected his price to crash but 14/1 is still available.

Anyone got any strong opinions?
 
Henri parry Morgan had a nibble 20-1 ew this am has shortened 16-1, there,s alot to like about his form and 2nd to native river who looks too short
Now for me. 16-1 is still juicy enough, may be another one to keep an eye on.
 
TINGLE CREEK CHASE TRENDS 2016 - 3/12/2016 --- thanks to racecaller for use of these trends

Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

- French bred aged 5 to 7 or Irish bred aged 9 or 10

- Finished in first 3 last time (posting RPR of 164+)

- Ran in past 40 days (or won grade 1 chase at 2016 Cheltenham Festival)

- Previously won a grade 1 chase

- Previously won a chase by 10 lengths or more

- Previously won at Sandown (or having first course start)

- Won 2015 Tingle Creek, 2016 Game Spirit and/or 2016 Celebration Chase

- Finished in first 4 in Champion Chase, Maghull, Arkle and/or Wayward Lad Novices' Chase

- Finished in first 3 in Haldon Gold Cup and/or Shloer Chase last time

- From the first 3 in the betting (no bigger than 6/1, favourite does well)

- Trained by Paul Nicholls or Gary Moore
 
BECHER CHASE TRENDS 2016 -- 3/12/2016 --- thanks to racecaller for use of these trends


Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

- Aged 9

- Irish bred

- Officially rated 130 to 137

- Finished in the first 5 on last completed start

- Has run in the last 45 days

- Previously won a class 2 or better chase over 3M+

- Run at least 13 times over fences

- Run in 10+ handicap chases (but won no more than 2)

- Has had 3 previous season’s chasing (or trained by Paul Nicholls)

- Made racecourse debut in a NH race

- Has run over the National fences (ideally in 2015 Becher or 2016 Grand National)

- Ran in Haydock Grand National Trial, Classic Chase, Troytown and/or Paddy Power Chase

- Tends to race prominently

- Trained by Paul Nicholls, Nigel Twiston-Davies or Tom George
 
Mouse morris sending rogue angel over sat for a spin round aintree 25-1 shot and 33-1 for the national. Intresting see how he gets on.

“He had a slight wind problem. He ran OK [at Cork last time] but he just didn’t get home. He had a small operation since. Seems to have made a big, big difference.”
 
dazzler said:
Mouse morris sending rogue angel over sat for a spin round aintree 25-1 shot and 33-1 for the national. Intresting see how he gets on.

“He had a slight wind problem. He ran OK [at Cork last time] but he just didn’t get home. He had a small operation since. Seems to have made a big, big difference.”
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Good digging dazzler

Lots of bitchin on twitter about Douvan wil he wont he go to Tingle Creek.
 
No Douvan in Tingle Creek :sorrow:
 
CASPIAN CAVIAR GOLD CUP TRENDS 2016 - 10/12/2016 - thanks to racecaller for the use of these trends

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

- French bred aged 6 or 7 or Irish bred aged 8

- Officially rated 133 to 145

- Run 1 to 3 times this season

- Finished in the first 3 last time & posted an RPR of 139+

- Ran in the past 30 days

- Run in 5 to 14 chases (winning 2 to 4)

- Run in 7 or less handicap chases (winning no more than 2)

- 2nd season chaser

- Previously won or placed in a class 1 chase at Cheltenham

- Won or placed in a graded chase

- Finished in first 3 in Paddy Power Gold Cup and/or Winkworth Handicap Chase

- Ran well in 2016 Arkle or Close Brothers Novice Handicap Chase

- Trained by Paul Nicholls, Philip Hobbs or Venetia Williams
 
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