- Joined
- Apr 16, 2012
- Messages
- 6,224
- Reaction score
- 164
- Points
- 0
Peoples thoughts on Thomas Crapper?
2nd in Martin Pipe splitting Don Poli and Caid Du Berlais but getting a stone from them.
I'm on the fence.
Peoples thoughts on Thomas Crapper?
Good shout imo.
Have had a look at stats
http://www.fatjockey.com/cheltenham...t-Centenary-Novices-Handicap-Chase-Trends-115
Winner's Market Position: 2 1 0 3 2 5 4 1 0 3
Fate of the Favourite: P 1 7 F 0 7 5 1 5 0
4 of last 5 winners won last time out
8/9 winners finished in the first 2 last time out
7 year olds have won 6 of the 9 renewals
6/10 won by horses running in first handicap chase
Tom Taaffe has the best record of Irish trainers with a win and a third
Nicky Henderson trained winner in 2013 and the the runner up 3 times
JP McManus owned horses have finished second on 3 occasions ( and third in 2014)
Only one horse getting in under a penalty has placed
Headgear: No winners from 35 qualifers however
First Time Headgear: 5 horses placed wearing first time headgear since 2008
Seven year olds finishing in first two last time out gives us
<style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--></style>
92-111 LEAP DEARG (IRE) 7 139 11-09 Robert Tyner IRE 4112 GORSKY ISLAND 7 138 11-08 Tom George 2321 HORIZONTAL SPEED (IRE) 7 137 11-07 Philip Hobbs S5131 GENEROUS RANSOM (IRE) 7 136 11-06 Nick Gifford 16F21 MONKEY KINGDOM 7 135 11-05 Rebecca Curtis 6251 OSCAR FORTUNE (IRE) 7 135 11-04 Jonjo O'Neill 23242 CHAMPAGNE JAMES (IRE) 7 134 11-04 Ted Walsh IRE 412232 WILTON MILAN (IRE) 7 132 11-02 Paul Nicholls 308F72 FLAMING DAWN (IRE) 7 131 11-01 Edward O'Grady IRE
<colgroup><col style="width: 49px"><col width="175"><col width="13"><col width="27"><col width="38"><col width="130"></colgroup><tbody>
</tbody>
Flaming Dawn is owned by JP and would be of interest if getting in.
Ian McClean
Novices Handicap Chase
It's a relatively recent addition to the Festival menu and even at that it has changed title more frequently than Chelmsford City (or was that Great Leighs, or?).
A 0-140 handicap with a guaranteed maximum field and a weight-range that's as tight as a conditions race, it's an unlikely source for a selection. However, I was taken enough with Generous Ransom's victory during trials' day over course and distance to believe then he was tailor-made for this event.
In a very strongly run event, Nick Gifford's chestnut travelled easily before picking off the leaders at will and winning with any amount in hand. His idling finish means he was raised just 8lbs.
The fourth that day won a much stronger race at Ascot next time and is now rated 152 as a result. Generous Ransom will obviously need luck in running, but Daryl Jacob is having a very confident year and off just 136 I'll be extremely surprised if there's a better handicapped horse in the race.
Selection: Generous Ransom
Has anyone got any news re Killala Quay for this, I thought he ran on quiet nicely last year and 20/1seems pretty fair to me