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Ballymore Novice Hurdle 2019

I’d be of the view Henderson has best novices this year but record in this race is not great ?

From gault stats last year

N. Henderson One winner and one placed from 31 runners. Lots of short prices. 2012 Simonsig 2/1 fav, definitely stopped the rot. Nothing placed since. Last year Burbank 4th, Consul De Thaix fatally injured. 2016 OO Seven 8th. 2015 Vyta Du Roc 4th @15/2, He used to have a similarly appalling record in the Coral Cup before Spirit River 2010 and Whisper 2014.
 
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How many of those were good enough to win though? Think it’s a pointless stat myself
 
Old Vic said:
:confused::confused::confused: trainer form in races not relevant ?
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In this case, considering the race itself and the trainer in question.
I’d say ignore
 
Trainers and owners creatures of habit - they buy and train horses that repeat patterns - just my opinion
 
Not at all, if they have 1 good enough they’ll win it as he did with simonsig. None of the others were anywhere near good enough simple as! He’s 1 of the best trainers in nh racing I’d never be put off backing 1 of his in any race regardless of previous records.
 
Old Vic said:
Trainers and owners creatures of habit - they buy and train horses that repeat patterns - just my opinion
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But it’s Henderson
IMO it’s probably just an anomaly
There’s only Mullins with a strong record in the race really
Although it is possible given what you’ve said that he places his better horses in the 2 miler and his long term staying chased types in the 3 miler.
But I’ll go with anomaly
 
Kautostar said:
What horses should he have won it with??
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I don’t think stats work like that KS but wouldn’t have thought it was his style to run horses in championship races to make up the numbers. He is a brilliant trainer of good horses but he does have an underwhelming record in the race.. it may be an anomaly and stats do get smashed every year but something I like personally to keep in mind. It took him a long time to win the gold cup but he sorted that.

Up to last year

W Mullins has won four from last ten and also 5 placed in the last 12. Won with Yorkhill in 2016. Ran three unplaced 16/1 shots last year. Did run 4 of the 11 runners in 2016. Nichols Canyon 3rd as 7/2 fav in 2015. Wrong type of ride admitted by both trainer and jockey. 2014 Faugheen won and Rathvinden 3rd, 2013 Pont Alexandre all the rage at 6/4, only 3rd (possibly also a strange ride in race ran 22 seconds above standard?). 2012 Felix Yonger 2nd at 16s, the outsider of his three runners, 2011 So Young 3rd. All Willie's winners won last time out and were his most fancied. Getabird, Duc De Genievres
 
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It’s a pointless stat if you don’t have the horses you don’t win the graded races at Cheltenham. When he had 1 he won it. It’s almost as pointless as the grey horses don’t win x race crap.
 
Kautostar said:
It’s a pointless stat if you don’t have the horses you don’t win the graded races at Cheltenham. When he had 1 he won it. It’s almost as pointless as the grey horses don’t win x race crap.
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We will have to agree to disagree
 
Al Ferof said:
Hello chaps, hope you are all well.

Just dropping in to note how impressed I was with Champ today- he looks as talented as any novice in the UK that’s been out so far. Personally think he’d settle much better off a true pace and I’d actually have an eye on the Supreme if I owned him!

Won today on sheer class I felt- always wanted to go faster and travelled so strongly. Would like to see him have a 2m run in prep for the festival.
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Totally agree with the Supreme angle AF.
 
What price does I can't explain open up for tomorrow. 10/11?
Hacks up here.

Personally think hendos best 2 are himself and birchdale. Slight preference for the latter
 
Scooby91 said:
What price does I can't explain open up for tomorrow. 10/11?
Hacks up here.

Personally think hendos best 2 are himself and birchdale. Slight preference for the latter
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Birchdale looks a powerful sort and definitely going to be a force when sent chasing next season. It will be interesting how hard they go with him this season given his age and fact he has skipped a bumper campaign. He’ll be near the front of the RSA betting this time next year I reckon.
 
Scooby91 said:
What price does I can't explain open up for tomorrow. 10/11?
Hacks up here.

Personally think hendos best 2 are himself and birchdale. Slight preference for the latter
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I've just added I Can't Explain for this race.
 
JackieMoon33 said:
Birchdale looks a powerful sort and definitely going to be a force when sent chasing next season. It will be interesting how hard they go with him this season given his age and fact he has skipped a bumper campaign. He’ll be near the front of the RSA betting this time next year I reckon.
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He's a serious horse imo. Can't wait to see him out again.
 
Will probably add Birchdale at some point but Champ already fav for connections. Bit early to worry about that but cam wait until he is entered again
 
Kevloaf said:
I've just added I Can't Explain for this race.
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Did same yesterday
25-1 ok
goes clear 2nd favourite if he wins well tomorrow.
 
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