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Queen Mother Champion Chase 2021

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  • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

    Think this is one where you may be best backing him to win tomorrow.
    And also backing him NRNB 12-1 PP or BFSB.
    assuming you have access to those bookies (I'm guessing you've not got many accounts ATM)

    For example 1 unit at 5/2 = 3.5 units rolling on.
    So put on the 3.5 units @ 12-1 before tomorrow's race = 45.5 unit return.

    Worst case scenario is he don't win tomorrow and runs in the champion chase as a no hoper.
    And you've blown 4.5pts on him.

    Doubt Ruth would do that myself, and doubt she'd run there anyway, cos she's a tit.

    So best case scenario is you get paid on the first bet if he wins tomorrow, and have to wait till Ruth doesn't declare him in March, cos the skies not blue enough or something like that.

    edit - and the 33-1 is a shitty price.
    I am banned from PP! You are completely correct, as is Insta. Lazy punting from me, between zoom meetings and just taking it without actually doing the maths.

    I hope Politilogue wins now and my bet goes up in flames

    Thanks for the feedback - should have posted pre-bet shouldn't I!

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    • Originally posted by charlie View Post

      I am banned from PP! You are completely correct, as is Insta. Lazy punting from me, between zoom meetings and just taking it without actually doing the maths.

      I hope Politilogue wins now and my bet goes up in flames

      Thanks for the feedback - should have posted pre-bet shouldn't I!
      Claim it as a loss leader,Charlie to keep your account

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      • Ummm...... anyone on the winner?

        I like First Flow (backed him quite a lot of times) - didn't think think of him today

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        • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
          Ummm...... anyone on the winner?

          I like First Flow (backed him quite a lot of times) - didn't think think of him today
          Nope, told my mate 10 minutes before the off that if he was ever going to win a Grade 1 then it'd be today.

          Chacun losing no sleep

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          • Defi surely goes the Ryanair after that? Probably still not good enough though.
            Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.

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            • Jeez, single figures First Flow for the QMCC


              No chance Waiting Patiently or Defi Du Seuil run here either based on that I'd have thought!

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              • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                Ummm...... anyone on the winner?

                I like First Flow (backed him quite a lot of times) - didn't think think of him today
                Am I allowed to say yes if I didn't mention it before? Haha. Likely a place chance at best tbh, but he did well today. Would've preferred to see Defi bounce back though.

                Have Sky really done 8/1 on First Flow? They aren't even NRNB.

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                • Originally posted by isitmarchyet View Post

                  Am I allowed to say yes if I didn't mention it before? Haha. Likely a place chance at best tbh, but he did well today. Would've preferred to see Defi bounce back though.

                  Have Sky really done 8/1 on First Flow? They aren't even NRNB.
                  Haha ...... no

                  I wouldn't back him at that, if he wins it's a terrible renewal.

                  First Flow and Nube Negra. Jeez. I hate it when my favourite division is poor! Chacun Pour Soi better be a star or this is worse than the Ryanair

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                  • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                    Jeez, single figures First Flow for the QMCC


                    No chance Waiting Patiently or Defi Du Seuil run here either based on that I'd have thought!
                    Just worth mentioning he's actually 14/1 and general 12/1.... just Sky have gone stupidly short at 8/1.

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                    • I know after timing is easy, but age was eventually going to catch up with Politologue. Being 10, and as admirable as he has been it is probably not as big a shock as first would be viewed, IMO.

                      Ultimately though First Flow has beat a 10 year old, a horse that is tripless at the top table and a handicapper in 4th.

                      There needs to be a series of injuries in Ireland for them not to be having the 1-2, possibly even the 1-2-3, for me. Wonder what price that is?

                      I appreciate Altior could come back from that first run out, and I do think he was beat by a horse that preferred the flatter track of Kempton than Altior does.

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                      • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
                        I know after timing is easy, but age was eventually going to catch up with Politologue. Being 10, and as admirable as he has been it is probably not as big a shock as first would be viewed, IMO.

                        Ultimately though First Flow has beat a 10 year old, a horse that is tripless at the top table and a handicapper in 4th.

                        There needs to be a series of injuries in Ireland for them not to be having the 1-2, possibly even the 1-2-3, for me. Wonder what price that is?

                        I appreciate Altior could come back from that first run out, and I do think he was beat by a horse that preferred the flatter track of Kempton than Altior does.
                        So Chacun, Notebook and Put The Kettle On?

                        What else do they have?

                        Not sure I'd want the 1-2-3? They wouldn't give you juicy odds compared to the actual tricast on the day!

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                        • Despite winning well today I won't be backing First Flow at the current prices however if it was heavy come March he'd have a chance. Looks like Chacun has no serious challengers if he gets there safe and sound he wins imo.

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                          • I won't back First Flow or Nube Negra for this. Neither will go close unless the race badly cuts up.
                            Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.

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                            • Originally posted by Spectre View Post
                              I won't back First Flow or Nube Negra for this. Neither will go close unless the race badly cuts up.
                              Make sure you keep me in check when I inevitably decide I want to make a book

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                              • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                                So Chacun, Notebook and Put The Kettle On?

                                What else do they have?

                                Not sure I'd want the 1-2-3? They wouldn't give you juicy odds compared to the actual tricast on the day!
                                I'll wait until the day. TBF, you are probably right and I'd probably just play the forecasts

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