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Scottish Grand National Stats
Sun, Apr 7th, 2013

The Scottish Grand National is run at Ayr racecourse in late April and has shown some strong trends over the last decade.

The Aintree Grand National winner Auroras Encore is a possible runner and could seek to emulate Red Rum who won both races in 1974. Auroras Encore finished second in the 2012 Scottish National.

Between 2003 and 2012 the Scottish Grand National winners were :

 Year  Horse  Age   WT  Trainer  Jockey  Price
 2012  Merigo     11  10-02  A Parker  T Murphy  15/2
 2011  Beshabar       9  10-04  T Vaughan  R Johnson  15/2
 2010  Merigo       9  10-00  A Parker  T Murphy  18/1
 2009  Hello Bud     11  10-09  N Twiston-Davies  P Brennan  12/1
 2008  Iris De Balme       8  9-07  S Curran  C Huxley  66/1
 2007  Hot Weld       8  9-09  F Murphy  PJ McDonald  14/1
 2006  Run For Paddy     10  10-02  C Llewellyn  C Llewellyn   33/1
 2005  Joes Edge       8  9-11  F Murphy  K Mercer  20/1
 2004  Grey Abbey     10  11-12  H Johnson  G Lee  12/1
 2003  Ryalux     10  10-05  A Crook  R McGrath  15/2

Age: Hello Bud and Merigo have won as a 11 year old but 8 out of the last 10 have been aged 8-10 ( from roughly 2/3rds of the field)

Starting Price: No favourite has won since 2000. There have been three 15/2 winners in the past decade with remaining 8 winners priced in band from 12/1 to 66/1.

Weight: 8 of the last ten carried 10-06 or less ( from roughly 2/3rds of field). Bottom Weights/Horses out of the handicap have won 4 of the last 10. Only one horse ( Grey Abbey 2004) has carried over 11 stone to victory in the last decade.

Ratings: 8 of the last 10 winners were officially rated at 143 or less.

Form : The last ten winners have all had a run during the previous two months and finished in the first six. Four of the last ten winners were having their first run at the course. Of remaining six, four had previous winning course form.

Trainers: Local trainer Andrew Parker has laid out Merigo to finish 1st, 2nd and 1st in this in the last three years. Paul Nicholls has not won this race during the last decade ( from 19 attempts).

Stats Pick: Last year we tipped Quentin Collonges and the winner Merigo.

 

Scottish Grand National Odds

 

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