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Lexus Chase Trends 2014
Sun, Dec 28th, 2014

The Lexus Chase run at Leopardstown on the 28th of December is one of the more valuable staying chases run in Ireland.

The roll of honour includes three Cheltenham Gold Cup winners in the last decade. Synchronised (2011), Denman (2007) and Best Mate (2003) were the horses doubling up. All three were trained in GB and the overall record of British raiders is noteworthy - Bobs Worth confirmed that trend in 2013 making it 7 of the last 8 winners coming from outside Ireland. Paul Nicholls trained horses should be particularly respected.

Lexus Chase Stats 2002-2011

The race also throws up a strong trend for horses aged between 6 and 8 accounting for 9 of the last 10 winners (from less than 57% of the total runners).

Preference is also for horses who have:

already won over at least 3 miles (10/10)had a recent run ( 10/10 had a LTO of less than 50 days)finished in the first 3 on their last completed start ( 10/10) and had previously won a graded chase (9/10)

The market is a reasonable guide with 4 favourites winning in the last decade and no winner priced at bigger than 8/1 in that time.

Lexus Chase Winners 2002-2011

YEAR

HORSE

AGE

JOCKEY

TRAINER

WT

OR

SP

FAV

2011

Synchronised

8

Tony McCoy

J O'Neill

11-10

155

8-1

3

2010

Pandorama

7

Paul Carberry

N Meade

11-10

148

7-2

1

2009

What a Friend

6

Sam Thomas

P F Nicholls

11-10

11-2

PU

2008

Exotic Dancer

8

Tony McCoy

J O'Neill

11-10

4-1

F

2007

Denman

7

Ruby Walsh

Paul Nicholls

11-10

4-9

1

2006

The Listener

7

Daryl Jacob

Robert Alner

11-10

7-1

2

2005

Beef or Salmon

9

Paul Carberry

M Hourigan

11-12

170

9-10

1

2004

Beef or Salmon

8

Paul Carberry

M Hourigan

11-12

171

9-4

2

2003

Best Mate

8

Jim Culloty

H Knight

11-12

8-11

1

2002

Beef or Salmon

6

T J Murphy

M Hourigan

11-9

5-1

7

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