Originally posted by Lobos
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Royal Ascot 2019
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Back to printable on Day 4 thanks principally to Daahyeh, and also Advertise. 3 winning days out of 4, and a ‘what if’ day on the other one, so I can’t complain and will leave the meeting well in profit.
The last day I have these running for me.
Race 1) Dramatic Sands (w/o Lope DF) 1 point @ 11/1
Race 2) Momkin 1 point @ 12/1
Race 4) Dreams Of Dreams 1 point @ 20/1
Race 5) Summerghand 1 point @ 33/1
Race 5) Watchable 1 point @ 50/1
Race 6) Corelli 1 point @ 11/2
Mostly long shots, and got two David O’Meara darts at the Woky.
On multiples I have:
Yankee
Dramatic Sands (w/o Lope DF) 11/1
Momkin (w/o Space Blues) 11/2
Summerghand 22/1
Japan (Arc De Triomphe) 14/1
Looking to build a war chest onto Japan for Longchamp.
In the aftermath of his easy win today I did manage to back Japan for the Arc at 25/1 and 22/1 before bookmakers reduced him to 14/1 best. I had faith he was AOB’s Best 12F horse after the Beresford last autumn, and now I am with him for the Arc and assume he will take in the Grand Prix Du Paris to take in the Arc course, then win for an Arc prep before the race itself.
Also got a Trixie on
Momkin 11/1
Mirage Dancer 11/2
Corelli 5/1
Good luck everyone."Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostHave gone through Wokingham runners and come up with Gifted Master. Down to a handicap mark which he has never failed to win at. CD winner. Well drawn. Will appreciate drying ground. First time cheek pieces and goes from the front so will give you a run for your money. Nice price too.
2 from 3 in handicaps ... that alone is interesting at the price.
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It's been a slog but todays bets for me
Pinatubo 4
space blues 4/urban icon 12
not decided in third which means that i shouldn't have a bet, but i will for sure.
city light 10,
hey jonesy 25 ew, baron bolt 40ew, summerghand 33ew, southern horse 20
pallasator 10, max dynamite 6.
And if ryan moore sits last on max dynamite and doesn't win.
I'll wipe that smile off his face next time i see him, by being really sarcastic towards him.
treble on 3 favs today lope, blue and cape.
also had antepost yankee on max dynamite, invincible army, hey jonesy and space blues.
good luck all
be glad to get through this with same bank, around 15-20% in front on stakes vs returns this week.
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I was with Blue Point in KS but can't have him in Diamond. He is not as good over 6 in this class and is trying to do virtually the impossible and win two Group 1's in the space of 5 days. He is a ridiculous price. I fear punters are going to get fingers burnt big time. If I was a bookie I'd take him on all day long.
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United Front in Chesham is a crazy price at 66/1. Trained by AOB, ran two good races over inadequate trips, 4th last time when 4/7 fav behind winner Royal Lytham who ran a big race in Coventry when a close 7th behind Arizona. Clearly UF must have been showing plenty at home to go off so short that day. He's up in trip today which will suit and he might just run into a place.
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As mentioned on the 2018 thread here's Hugh Taylor's Royal Ascot figures for 2019 at advised prices by my calculations:
Day 1. Outlay 5 points; Return 41.6 points
Day 2. Outlay 3 points; Return 0 points
Day 3. Outlay 6 points; Return 0 points
Day 4. Outlay 4 points; Return 14.5 points
Day 5. Outlay 6 points; Return 0 points
Total. Outlay 24 points; Return 56.1 points
Profit: 32.1 points
ROI 1.34 points
2018
Profit: 39 points
ROI: 1.56
I know blindly following a tipster isn't for everyone but I'll happily continue to do this with HT during Royal Ascot, couple of other benefits are:
a) Prices hold for longer than normal giving you a much better chance of getting advertised prices (PP held for 30 mins on day 1 and 365 for an hour on another day)
b) As prices invariably contract you can look to lay part of your stake off at a shorter price effectively super boosting the advised price
c) As you are only backing HT for a short period across multi bookies you are unlikely to get your account restricted as would be the case if you follow HT on a daily basis indefinitely
Note to self for next year remember 365s next race free bet offer if having a winner at 4/1 or greater
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