Originally posted by doctorwu
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National Hunt Chase (4 miler) 2018
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Originally posted by Can't Catch Me View PostYes heard them mention the Irish National for MN and the exchanges suggest that he wont be running at the Festival... just think its an odd one to miss the Festival with a horse of his quality. Will definitely backing him for Fairyhouse if he doesn't come here.
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Originally posted by doctorwu View PostScooby,
Surely that Tizzard talk of no jockey was his way of putting it out there that they need to call him........no?
Like yourself, I'm hoping he comes here, too.
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Originally posted by Roadtorespect View Postmall dini has to be going for this. been given the same mark of 11-10 as it was in last years kim muir so can see it swerving that race. was gaining on them last year up the hill in that race as well so 4 miles should do the trick
I'd say off the same weight, finishing 5th only beaten 3L they'd be in line to give that another crack knowing they don't have a lot to find?
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostHAve their been any comments or movement in the market on that?
I'd say off the same weight, finishing 5th only beaten 3L they'd be in line to give that another crack knowing they don't have a lot to find?
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Originally posted by Can't Catch Me View PostI can't believe the price of Dounikos. Madness to my eyes and agree there isn't anything to give you confidence that this trip is what he needs.
"want to run Dounikos in the 4 miler but the owners wanted to run in the RSA. Still to be decided"
and
"Jamie Codd booked to ride Jury Duty but might save him for the Irish national if Dounikos shows up here"
Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostIt's the persistence of Elliott to get him here for me that I'm finding appealing. Everything everyone is saying looks true, so Elliott must be really confident he will get the trip which must be worth consideration?
Originally posted by Can't Catch Me View PostObviously GE has forgotten more than I know, so should go with his view. But I personally thought Monbeg Notorious would be the Gigg first string. By Milan out of a Presenting mare, he screams stamina to me. I know Dounikos beat him but that was MN's seasonal debut whereas Dounikos was race fit. MN was 2/1 that day and Dounikos 28/1 which suggests they thought MN a vastly superior animal at that time.
They've clearly both progressed as the season has gone on, but Id fancy MN strongly to reverse the form over 4m at Chelts myself. His win in the Thystes was really impressive.
Originally posted by Scooby91 View PostPretty sure monbeg notorious goes for the Irish national alongside mossback
To be fair they haven't said dounikos deffinately goes here yet.
It is a little bit like when Mullins wanted Don Poli in the 4 miler, believing he'd win that... and got made to put him in the RSA and obviously he did win that.... I'd LOVE that to be the case with DOunikos, as I've got 40/1 for the RSA and NOTHING for this race.
I am just overwhelmed by Elliott's bullishness. To even suggest the ride Jamie Codd is booked for, would be re-routed because of Dounikos also speaks volumes. Jury Dity is 3rd fav in this market generally and that has Presenting Percy in it. Clearly has a decent chance.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostAfter the quotes from Elliott tonight at the preview
"want to run Dounikos in the 4 miler but the owners wanted to run in the RSA. Still to be decided"
and
"Jamie Codd booked to ride Jury Duty but might save him for the Irish national if Dounikos shows up here"
I haven't backed Dounikos YET... but It's the persistence of Elliott to get him here for me that I'm finding appealing. is lighting up with a million light bulbs
That just can't be the case anymore can it? I can't see Elliott beliving Monbeg Notorious has a better chance of winning this race than Dounikos
I think it is on record that Monbeg and Mossback NEED cut in the ground to be at their best, so while you're right and it hasn't been confirmed Dounikos comes here... it isn't because of any other runners.
It is a little bit like when Mullins wanted Don Poli in the 4 miler, believing he'd win that... and got made to put him in the RSA and obviously he did win that.... I'd LOVE that to be the case with DOunikos, as I've got 40/1 for the RSA and NOTHING for this race.
I am just overwhelmed by Elliott's bullishness. To even suggest the ride Jamie Codd is booked for, would be re-routed because of Dounikos also speaks volumes. Jury Dity is 3rd fav in this market generally and that has Presenting Percy in it. Clearly has a decent chance.
There's no doubt dounikos and al boum photo should go rsa and I believe both will.
Should be monalee 5/2
Alboum photo 4/1
Dounikos 9/2
10/1 bar
But I believe they have the beating of monalee in the rsa. And he's the only one to beat.
If monalee switched jlt
They should be 5/2 and 100/30 respectively. And thats generous imo.
I'm on both at huge prices and followed them both all the way down ew nrnb. I'm certain the market is all wrong.Last edited by Scooby91; 2 March 2018, 07:29 AM.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
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Originally posted by Scooby91 View PostThere's no doubt dounikos and al boum photo should go rsa and I believe both will.
Should be monalee 5/2
Alboum photo 4/1
Dounikos 9/2
10/1 bar
But I believe they have the beating of monalee in the rsa. And he's the only one to beat.
If monalee switched jlt
They should be 5/2 and 100/30 respectively. And thats generous imo.
I'm on both at huge prices and followed them both all the way down ew nrnb. I'm certain the market is all wrong.
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