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  1. #731
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bayoffreedom View Post
    The more I look at this race, the more it seems wide open (apart from Buveur D'air). I like Verdana Blue at 50/1 e/w; she ran a nice race on unsuitable ground in the Betfair and will be fully tuned for this and, in receipt of the mares allowance, has a real chance of surprising a few people. When you look at the horses ahead of her in the betting it is not too difficult to rule out a bunch of them; here goes:

    Faugheen - beaten by Supasundae in the latter's warm up race for the Stayers. Look like a shadow of his former self on the evidence of his last two runs
    My Tent Or Yours - the form of his win over Melon (when getting all of the allowances)is not looking so good after the latter's run at Leopardstown
    Yorkhill - ran without any sparkle whatsoever at Leopardstown and, at present, impossible to fancy; even if he does turn up here
    Melon - very disappointing at Leopardstown and now has a lot to prove even at the more realistic 16/1 odds
    Wicklow Brave - well beaten in this race last year after returning from Australia. His flat form last year was some way below his best and another trek to Australia will be difficult to overcome
    Apple's Jade - if she turns up must have a great chance. But, based on all the comments, she will not be coming here. (Probably should though)
    Min - going for the Queen Mother surely
    Chtibello - Won the Scottish Hurdle two years off 135 but then beaten of 141 by Gwafa (rec 4lbs) - that's not good enough
    The New One - doesn't run
    Mick Jazz - basically a handicapper who did well to win at Christmas. Pulled up on only run at Cheltenham when joint favourite
    Call Me Lord - everybody says he need to go right-handed but his wins in France were both left-handed so wouldn't be so quick to discount him. He's basically a good handicapper but there would be worse e/w bets even though he may well need softer ground than he is likely to get
    Defi Du Seuil - looks a shadow of his 4 year-old self. Cannot fancy.

    There you go - can't fail to be placed!!
    I like that bet BOF, but I think the 40/1 ew NRNB w/o BD with BF is probably the better way to play it as brings in the win element and gives you 4 places to aim at.

  2. #732
    Senior Member Bayoffreedom's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brital View Post
    I like that bet BOF, but I think the 40/1 ew NRNB w/o BD with BF is probably the better way to play it as brings in the win element and gives you 4 places to aim at.
    Totally agree. Unfortunately, here in the US, I can only place win and e/w ante post bets and nothing more 'exotic' (including ny life changing multiples) I can't access any of the UK bookmaker sites so will have to wait until I'm over before engaging. The betting w/o market looks the right play.

  3. #733
    Senior Member Istabraq's Avatar
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    I’m sure someone would be willing to place bets for you BOF, I’d be happy to but I don’t have the range of accs remaining some would have...

  4. #734
    Hope there’s not too many of you sitting on DDS slips

  5. #735
    The New one and defi the most high profile ones taken out of the champion hurdle today

  6. #736
    Senior Member
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    818
    Quote Originally Posted by Garrison Savannah View Post
    Hope there’s not too many of you sitting on DDS slips
    I had more than enough G.S ,, But not very surprised as D.D.S has shown little this year . Hopefully my multitude of B.d'air ones
    will ease the pain !.

  7. #737
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    Quote Originally Posted by Garrison Savannah View Post
    Hope there’s not too many of you sitting on DDS slips
    I don't know much about racing, but I do know backing last year's juveniles in the Champion is a fool's errand

  8. #738
    Senior Member Istabraq's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by robith View Post
    I don't know much about racing, but I do know backing last year's juveniles in the Champion is a fool's errand
    Yep, and not a new trend that either robith yet every year the triumph winner is talked up as next years champion hurdle horse.
    Celestial Halo went close and Katchit won a desperate renewal but that's it, they have a desperate record.
    Completely different races so completely different skillsets needed....

  9. #739
    Senior Member Bayoffreedom's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Istabraq View Post
    I’m sure someone would be willing to place bets for you BOF, I’d be happy to but I don’t have the range of accs remaining some would have...
    I really appreciate the offer Ista but the chances are that my bets are probably less 'life changing' and more 'reputation damaging' so, for the sake of whatever betting self esteem I still possess, I will respectively decline and keep my pain to myself!

  10. #740
    Quote Originally Posted by Bayoffreedom View Post
    I really appreciate the offer Ista but the chances are that my bets are probably less 'life changing' and more 'reputation damaging' so, for the sake of whatever betting self esteem I still possess, I will respectively decline and keep my pain to myself!
    I used a VPN app to access my betting accounts when I was abroad this year BoF. If you have some British online betting accounts it is worth using one of those as they worked well for me.

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