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Weekend Racing
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Quick trends analysis on the Greatwood.
7 of the last 8 ran at the previous Cheltenham Festival (4 Supreme, 2 Triumph, 1 County) the exception was of course Dell Arca who was having his first start in the UK.
Horses to run at the festival - Mohaayed, Charli Parcs, Western Ryder, Brelade, Nube Negra.
Negatives:
Mohaayed - none of the 8 had won a handicap prior to the start of the season he obviously won the County last year. 7 of 8 had 8 runs or less over hurdles the exception Olofi was 5th and 2nd in this in the years previous.
Charli Parce - 6 out of 8 were 2nd season hurdlers.
Western Ryder - Only 1 6yo winner in the last 12 years.
Brelade - 6 out of 8 were 2nd season hurdlers.
Nube Negra - No winner ran in Fred Winter
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I backed Garo de Juilley for this in the week 66-1.
Not a fancy horse and don't meet any trends, but I think it may be an average year this year, aside from Verdana Blue who will probably go close if she takes her chance.
In a slowly run race last time, was the only horse to finish in top 6 that was held up in rear, made really stylish ground around field approaching home turn then shot away when asked, upped just 4lb for that and just think it was overpriced.
see 40s still available with Ladbrokes.
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For Good Measure, Dostal Phil and A Hare Breath in all combinations for me tomorrow.
FGM was a real eye catcher lto and hopefully that has blown away to cobwebs ahead of tomorrow's race. The Hobbs stable are going well and he must have some seriously well handicapped horses this season.
AHB always runs well at this time of year having won or been placed at this meeting on three occasions.
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Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View PostFor Good Measure, Dostal Phil and A Hare Breath in all combinations for me tomorrow.
FGM was a real eye catcher lto and hopefully that has blown away to cobwebs ahead of tomorrow's race. The Hobbs stable are going well and he must have some seriously well handicapped horses this season.
AHB always runs well at this time of year having won or been placed at this meeting on three occasions.
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Originally posted by ryanh97 View PostAny chance Ista has an update for Western Ryder in the Greatwood?
They've put a fair amount of schooling into him and he's been ready to run for a little while, always a tough race though I don't think this is a vintage renewal, he goes there with every chance and they are expecting a decent run.
He's always a forgotten horse, people like to crab his form but he has finished 5th/6th in a festival bumper and Supreme and if you watch that Supreme again he got stopped in his tracks and would have finished 3rd but for that, and if he's been a couple of lengths behind Sumerville Boy and Kalashnikov he would get more respect, his run at Aintree was decent too.
A dozen climbing the hill always has its risks but I think if he finished outside the palces they will be disappointed...
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Originally posted by quevega View PostI backed Garo de Juilley for this in the week 66-1.
Not a fancy horse and don't meet any trends, but I think it may be an average year this year, aside from Verdana Blue who will probably go close if she takes her chance.
In a slowly run race last time, was the only horse to finish in top 6 that was held up in rear, made really stylish ground around field approaching home turn then shot away when asked, upped just 4lb for that and just think it was overpriced.
see 40s still available with Ladbrokes.
Sticking to the weak race viewpoint, gone with
Not that Fuisse 50s ew and Equus amadeus 50s ew.
Both have reasonable form and could be well handicapped, based on their last runs.
Skelton horse got 10lb claimer riding and only beat by seddon last time giving it 10lb.
equus beat red hot chilli last time out who won handicap today.
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Originally posted by Istabraq View PostGoing very well ryan.
They've put a fair amount of schooling into him and he's been ready to run for a little while, always a tough race though I don't think this is a vintage renewal, he goes there with every chance and they are expecting a decent run.
He's always a forgotten horse, people like to crab his form but he has finished 5th/6th in a festival bumper and Supreme and if you watch that Supreme again he got stopped in his tracks and would have finished 3rd but for that, and if he's been a couple of lengths behind Sumerville Boy and Kalashnikov he would get more respect, his run at Aintree was decent too.
A dozen climbing the hill always has its risks but I think if he finished outside the palces they will be disappointed...
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