Should be a fantastic battle. I'm in a lovely position (for once) where by I have both horses to win at any race at the festival so I'm happy just to sit back and watch. I guess the perfect outcome would be for Invitation Only to just have a little bit more pace than Death Duty but I get the feeling Elliott thinks DD has plenty of speed himself and is keen to see if he could potentially cut it in the Neptune.
It's these sort of big clashes early in the season where bookmakers tend to overreact on a result straight after, only for common sense (and shrewdies getting the prices) for the context of the race to be considered.
Not quite the same and a lot more high profile but the King George last year - Cue Card won and straight after the race both Vautour and Don Cossack's Gold Cup prices were lengthened quite significantly. Bookmakers looked at the result at face value and didn't take into account
- It was Vautours first ever try at the trip, on a right handed course at Christmas time
- Don Cossack despite never travelling in the race suddenly got into contention at the end and was in with a great chance before falling.
I'm hoping something similar may happen again this weekend so fingers at the ready!
It's these sort of big clashes early in the season where bookmakers tend to overreact on a result straight after, only for common sense (and shrewdies getting the prices) for the context of the race to be considered.
Not quite the same and a lot more high profile but the King George last year - Cue Card won and straight after the race both Vautour and Don Cossack's Gold Cup prices were lengthened quite significantly. Bookmakers looked at the result at face value and didn't take into account
- It was Vautours first ever try at the trip, on a right handed course at Christmas time
- Don Cossack despite never travelling in the race suddenly got into contention at the end and was in with a great chance before falling.
I'm hoping something similar may happen again this weekend so fingers at the ready!
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