Originally posted by Quevega
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Mares Hurdle 2021
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I think Dame De Compangie will be back in the Coral Cup given how little she went up.
I touched on Burning Victory after watching the Triumph back a week or so ago and feel the same as I did then, the 20/1 is just about right.
Burning Victory has put in a pretty impressive performance in this race. 6f to go she’s last by what looks like the best part of 20 lengths. She’s made a move around the turn and saunters past Adonis winner Solo. At the 2f pole she’s just gotten level with Aspire Tower but by the time we get to 1f out and the final flight she taken off and landed before he gets his legs up and she’s moved into ‘the lead’ after reeling in the front running Allmankind. She is running away from both quite powerfully at the line and it’s a very impressive performance that for obvious reasons may well go under the radar. This was only her 2nd run for Willie and she’s unbeaten and a festival winner. I’m confident she will get further and the 20/1 on offer for the Mares Hurdle may well be double the price she is when lining up. However, as a juvenile it’s dangerous to get carried away as the whole crop may not have been up to much (with the obvious exception). I hoped she’d perhaps have been completely over looked but 20/1 is about right. Definitely not a bet for me at this stage but certainly made it onto the shortlist for horses to consider in that sphere.
Now she could do that, but does that happen more than 1 in every 20 times? I don't think so.
Shortlist - yep... but I reckon she'll be a fair each way price still in January/February so no need to back her for this now.Last edited by Kevloaf; 26 May 2020, 07:26 PM.
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostVery good shout. I was thinking of backing BA TWAR anyway as thought she could potentially go handicap route ?? You've convinced me to deffo add her to my ever growing AP lockdown list !
Just depends how she goes/progresses.
And whether the triumph works out or not.
We'd normally have a few more clues by now.
She's deffo unexposed though and her Triumph win (coming from so far back, and pretty much the only one to do so) has been massively
overshadowed by the tripping up of Goshen. With his magnetic shoes.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostI think Dame De Compangie will be back in the Coral Cup given how little she went up.
I touched on Burning Ambition after watching the Triumph back a week or so ago and feel the same as I did then, the 20/1 is just about right.
Just to add, the thing that puts me off is I always like there to be a chance the horse I back goes off favourite... and I just can't imagine one of the 'star' mares doesn't see it as an easy chance for another win OR Burning Ambition stamping her authority on the division so she's there by merit.
Now she could do that, but does that happen more than 1 in every 20 times? I don't think so.
Shortlist - yep... but I reckon she'll be a fair each way price still in January/February so no need to back her for this now.
Was going to start a Mares hurdle thread the other day but couldn't work out how to put the Oddschecker page up.
Could you add it into the first post Kev with your magic Pen ?????
Yep I agree.
20-1 is a value price I reckon (just). But I won't be backing her yet.
As I think it'll be available (or similar) at other times in the season or nearer the race itself.
Unless she comes out bang in form like you said. And especially if others start looking elsewhere.
If that's the case Then you/I'd have to take the lower price on the chin if still interested.
She's no longer ambitious BTW she's victorious.
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Originally posted by Quevega View PostThere's every chance she ends up in a handicap to be fair.
Just depends how she goes/progresses.
And whether the triumph works out or not.
We'd normally have a few more clues by now.
She's deffo unexposed though and her Triumph win (coming from so far back, and pretty much the only one to do so) has been massively
overshadowed by the tripping up of Goshen. With his magnetic shoes.
Her horrible brown and yellow colours won't help her cause either. What on earth were they thinking. I think they're my least favourite silks.
#pinkandgreenforthewin
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostYeah spot on.
Her horrible brown and yellow colours won't help her cause either. What on earth were they thinking. I think they're my least favourite silks.
#pinkandgreenforthewin
Although they are the same colours as my favourite Chew.
Banana Skids.
If that's the reason for the colours then that's Ok by me.
Had some Wham Bar Ice cream the other day.
Highly recommend it.
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Originally posted by Quevega View PostThere's every chance she ends up in a handicap to be fair.
Just depends how she goes/progresses.
And whether the triumph works out or not.
We'd normally have a few more clues by now.
She's deffo unexposed though and her Triumph win (coming from so far back, and pretty much the only one to do so) has been massively
overshadowed by the tripping up of Goshen. With his magnetic shoes.
I'm happy with my EW bet on Concertista for this race next year so happy to hear people mentioning that both Benie and Honeysuckle may choose other options!
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Originally posted by Bonjers View PostLaurina also now with Nicholls.
He'd have fought harder to keep her / not let go / try extra hard if he thought she'd snaffle this prize away from him.
She wasn't exactly high on anybodies list as most likely winners I'm sure, but as good as Nicholls is, it can't be a positive.
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Fairly big news for this race, Honeysuckle's plans are to remain over hurdles.
Wasn't expecting that personally.
Will it affect Benie Des Dieux's target?
Will they have a rematch?
Is Honeysuckle certain to run here? (if well)
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