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MOM's racing preview - Aintree Festival 2019 - Day 2

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  • MOM's racing preview - Aintree Festival 2019 - Day 2

    Of the opening seven races of the Aintree Festival extravaganza, I managed to find six second place finishes but not a single winner. Whilst a couple of them were placers at double-figure odds, a winner or two would’ve gone down nicely. Still.. we march on!

    1:45 - Merseyrail Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)
    STERNRUBIN (25/1) each way is a very fair opening bet with Skybet opening their second day betting frenzy with six places on offer. He’s an experienced but consistent type for these handicaps and ran well last time for a long way at Cheltenham before fading for sixth. That race (County Hurdle) was a better one than this and he should run a bold race here again. Carnadier and BRIO CONTI (7/1) were fifth and fourth in the Coral Cup last time at Cheltenhma with the latter travelling strongly throughout. If that race hasn’t left its mark, a competitive run can be expected here. Esprit Du large has plenty of scope for improvement after just three runs and should go well in handicap company.

    2:20 - Betway Top Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1)
    Supreme Novices fifth and sixth Felix Desjy and Aramon go again here with the latter expected to go closer back on a tighter, flatter track. ITCHY FEET (7/2) was third in the race and this similar ground gives him the edge. Rouge Vif may be the second string for the yard but rates as a danger to the selection whilst Southfield Stone broke the Kempton track record last time when causing a shock in the Dovecote. Precious Cargo has won both starts this season and looked progressive when winning easily at Kelso last time.

    2:50 - Betway Mildmay Novices' Chase (Grade 1)
    TOPOFTHEGAME (NAP at 4/5) vs Lostintranslation looks a high quality head to head with the RSA Chase winner getting the confident nod. He looks to be a classy type and showed a decent turn of foot for a three mile chaser when winning at Cheltenham. The step up in trip should suit Lostintranslation but even over two miles four furlongs in the JLT behind Defi De Seuill, he looked very one paced. He looks an out and out stayer whereas the selection looks to be a horse with star quality. Chris’ Dream has run well on all three starts this season whilst Top Ville Ben is talented but jumps worryingly and does show a major weakness there. In a race of this nature, his jumping surely won’t hold up. Mr Whipped showed talent over hurdles last season but will need to improve to beat the front two in the market.

    3:25 – JLT Chase (Registered As The Melling Chase) (Grade 1)
    This ultra-competitive grade 1 had the potential last week of seeing the top two rated chasers in Cyrname and Altior take each other on before both sidestepped the contest. Instead, some good horses will go against each other with last year’s winner Politologue expected to go well. He gave Altior a fright at Cheltenham before the champion proved too good. He beat Min last year after a thrilling battle and both are closely matched on their best form. WAITING PATIENTLY (2/1) has always had big things expected of him with his trainer arguably hindering his process with her strange race-planning for the star horse of the North. That being said, he gets a real chance here to win another grade 1. He gets his ground and the flat track suits perfectly so he gets the tentative nod to win the 2019 Melling Chase.

    4:05 - Randox Health Topham Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (National Course)
    The money here has been for one horse - Call it Magic. He was fourth over these obstacles in the Becher in December and this appears to have been the plan since. Has he been plotted? The money suggests so. Flying Angel has run well here before and has dropped down the weights. JANIKA (7/1) is a horse I’ve backed on all three of his starts this year. He’s up another 6lbs for yet another defeat but has been running well each time and looks set to be a graded horse next season. Nicky Henderson knows how to train a winner of this and Janika may finally get his head in front like he deserves. Adrien Du Pont often travels strongly before finding little and I don’t think the long Aintree run in on the National Course will suit. He does have a touch of class though. My second bet in this is CADMIUMV (20/1) who’s gone well in better races than handicaps this season and may be well treated off 11st 2lb. Double Shuffle and San Benedeto are classy types but they could be in the grip of the handicapper today.

    4:40 - Doom Bar Sefton Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1)
    Dallas Des Pictons was backed by me for this last week when I expected CHAMP (11/4) not to run. Instead the Martin Pipe runner-up has to take on Grade 1 winner and Ballymore second Champ and I expect the Nicky Henderson inmate to have a touch too much class. If staying the trip, on this tight track with no Cheltenham hill to beat him, he could quicken away from Gordon Elliott’s challenger. Emitom carries a big reputation and could be anything but this is his first major test. As you’d hope for a grade 1 contest, this is a very hot renewal of the Sefton.

    5:15 - Weatherbys Racing Bank Standard Open NH Flat Race (Grade 2)
    McFabulous won well last time and is a talent but is closely mathed with stablemate Master Debonair who himself was too keen when beaten in the Champion Bumper. Dewcup makes the trip from Ireland and has Ruby Walsh on board. SANTA ROSSA (7/2) takes on the boys and won well last time to remain unbeaten. With her allowance, she sets a decen standard and could be hard to beat. After just two runs, she has plenty of scope for improvement and looked green enough last time.

    Bets:
    1:45 – Brio Conti 7/1 (each way) & Sternrubin 25/1 (each way)
    2:20 – Itchy Feet 7/2
    2:50 – Topofthegame (NAP) 4/5
    3:25 – Waiting Patiently 15/8
    4:05 – Janika 7/1 (each way) & Cadmium (20/1)
    4:40 – Champ 11/4
    5:15 – Santa Rossa 7/2

  • #2
    Good day yesterday MoM - well done

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