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  1. #41
    7lb Claimer
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    Feb 2019
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    Hello, how about Chris Jones owned horses? Zabana and Space Cadet off the bat. I'm sure a few and selected runners over the years as more of a Graded race hunter. Thanks.

  2. #42
    Quote Originally Posted by culloty View Post
    Hello, how about Chris Jones owned horses? Zabana and Space Cadet off the bat. I'm sure a few and selected runners over the years as more of a Graded race hunter. Thanks.
    Shame they've ruined Ordinary World's rating with the performance behind Min, would have been a nice horse to have in the Grand Annual.

  3. #43
    7lb Claimer
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    I thought the same about Ordinary World for last years Grand Annual. Davy possible jockey also.

  4. #44
    Quote Originally Posted by culloty View Post
    I thought the same about Ordinary World for last years Grand Annual. Davy possible jockey also.
    Can totally understand wanting a running in the QMCC and potentially picking up place money at best, but I'd be looking for a winner myself and they could have gone to work on getting his mark down.

  5. #45
    7lb Claimer
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    Not the owners style i guess which makes any horse running in a hcap all the more interesting. Maybe nothing in it but thought I'd throw it out there.

  6. #46
    Champ Kevloaf's Avatar
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    Aug 2016
    Location
    Nantwich, Cheshire
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    10,783
    Quote Originally Posted by Hurricane fly View Post
    Slightly misread, could just be one for Giggi

    Interesting all the same...

  7. #47
    Top Amateur
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
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    Cheltenham
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    Willie Mullins Handicap Performance 2008 – 2018

    Runners / Winners / Losing Fav / Placed 1-3

    Ultima
    0 / 0 / 0 / 0

    Close Brothers
    4 / 0 / 0 / 1

    Cross Country (Handicap from 2008 – 2015)
    10 / 0 / 1 / 1

    Coral Cup
    26 / 1 / 3 / 1
    2018 - Bleu Berry 20/1

    Fred Winter
    10 / 0 / 0 / 0

    Pertemps
    3 / 0 / 0 / 1

    Brown Advisory
    4 / 0 / 0 / 0

    Kim Muir
    6 / 0 / 0 / 0

    Martin Pipe
    18 / 3 / 2 / 1
    2015 - Killultagh Vic 7/1
    2014 - Don Poli 12/1
    2011 - Sir Des Champs 9/2f

    County Hurdle
    27 / 4 / 1 / 3
    2017 - Arctic Fire 20/1
    2015 - Wicklow Brave 25/1
    2011 - Final Approach 10/1
    2010 - Thousand Stars 20/1

    Grand Annual
    4 / 0 / 1 / 0

    Summary

    Total Handicap Runners: 112
    Winners: 8 (7%)
    Placed: 8 (7.6%)


    A £10 level stake across all his handicap runners from 2008-2018 would leave you up +£145

    Season / Cheltenham Winners / Handicap Entries / Total NH Runners (Ireland only)

    2018 – 1 – 17 - 797
    2017 – 1 – 10 - 571
    2016 – 0 – 14 - 557
    2015 – 2 – 18 - 554
    2014 – 1 – 13 - 665
    2013 – 0 – 15 - 595
    2012 – 0 – 6 - 498
    2011 – 2 – 7 - 467
    2010 – 1 – 10 - 545
    2009 – 0 – 1 - 514
    2008 – 0 – 0 - 562

    Races

    Never sent a horse to the Ultima. 22 (20%) of his horses have run in the Close Brothers, Pertemps, Brown Advisory, Kim Muir and Grand Annual. He has never won those 6 races, or the Fred Winter and Cross Country.

    He has sent 42 horses to 8/11 handicaps, all of which he has never won.

    71 (63%) of all Willies runners go to the Coral Cup, Martin Pipe and County Hurdle. 100% of all his handicap winners have come from these races.

    A £10 level stake across all his handicap runners in the Coral Cup, Martin Pipe and County Hurdle from 2008-2018 would leave you up +£555

    P Townend is his most successful handicap jockey having won twice and been third twice.

    Average priced winner is 14/1. He has 1 winning favourite, 8 losing favourites.

    Conclusion

    The 2 things that surprised me were the number of handicappers he has sent to the festival (lower than I thought) and how clearly he targets specific races.

    I thought 83% of Paul Nicholls winners coming from 4 races (Fred Winter, Martin Pipe, County Hurdle, Grand Annual) was a stand out stat, but 100% of Willie Mullins handicap winners over the last decade have come from the Coral Cup, Martin Pipe and County Hurdle.

    With an average SP of 14/1 you would be in the gravy backing his horses off level stakes in just these 3 races. I would be weary with the Coral Cup but his performance in the Martin Pipe & County Hurdle are exceptional.

  8. #48
    So unless running in novice or championship races avoid Mullins chasers...

  9. #49
    Nice one Charlie. On percentage call the County and the Martin Pipe are clear standouts for him for placed horses or better, so I will be taking a keen interest in them 2 races this festival for him. Maybe a few cross doubles on his runners too, especially at the prices he seems to hit a winner at too.

  10. #50
    Charlie - thank you - hopeful we can all make this pay.

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