Ultima Handicap Chase 2019

[Outlaw]

To go back to the post I first highlighted, where you couldn't understand why people liked this horse as he doesn't fit the trends..... these are the trends from Gaulstats...

Summary

Race distance - 3 miles and about one furlong.

Will be aged between 7 and 9 yrs.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Will have run before at the Festival or will be 7 or 8 yrs and improving i.e. with a rising handicap rating.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Winner’s handicap rating over 140.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Will have recorded their best Racing Post Rating over at least 3 miles.
Tick for Minella Rocco

This rating will be at least 143. Will have already won at least a Class 3 chase. If a novice, will have won a hurdle worth at least £10k to the winner.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Has won over 3 miles or at least placed over 3 miles in two of last three runs.
Fail for Minella Rocco

Will have run between 3 and 12 times over fences in UK and/or Ireland.
Fail for Minella Rocco


Will have run at least twice this season.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Will have been 1^st or 2^nd sometime this season. 1st or 2nd in either of last two chase runs or at least 3rd last time.
Fail for Minella Rocco

Winners over 11st becoming a lot more frequent.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Any price. One of the top weights to be placed.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Wasn't unplaced in this years Betbright Chase. If wins this after running in this season's Newbury Hennessy back it in the Grand National. Has run in the last 45 days.
Tick for Minella Rocco

P Nicholls N Henderson poor enough records. W Mullins yet to have a runner.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Watch for D Pipe, Tony Martin and Jonjo trained.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Wears some type of headgear.
Tick for Minella Rocco

Irish trained don't win but get placed.
Tick for Minella Rocco

No F, R, B or U as last form entry. Not a claiming jockey. Half a furlong longer in distance from 2014
Tick for Minella Rocco





I almost wish I was a trends backer based on that! Jeez!
If he doesn't win... I'll blame the trends boys

You are forgetting last 6 winners had all ran at trials day in jan , another tick

[westcountry1]

big tall lass who's riding dint seem too fussed other day.

Where'd you hear this titbit westcountry1 ?

I like it

Hope the big tall lass you are referring to isn't my significant other!

[westcountry1]

I am very close to someone in the yard...she hasn't let me down yet! Well not in the way of the well being of the inmates lets just say that...

[Kevloaf]

I am very close to someone in the yard...she hasn't let me down yet! Well not in the way of the well being of the inmates lets just say that...

Haha. Much obliged

[mayo]

Crucial Role fits the recent trends of unexposed novices in this race. Horse is a great jumper, won't mind the ground and will probably be well in here compared to its current handicap mark. I think it would have won at Haydock had it not bled (re-watch race)

Strong stayer and uncomplicated. Backed it earlier for this race and the RSA (NRNB) but connections favouring here and so topping up at 16/1

Welcome FC - like the username

[Quevega]

I am very close to someone in the yard...she hasn't let me down yet! Well not in the way of the well being of the inmates lets just say that...

I think that's good news.
Tell the tall lass "same again" should do it.

[Folski]

Rocco now best price 10s.

[Frenchmans Creek]

Thanks for the video Mayo, you have made my day. !!!!

PC at his best, kidded the horse all the way round.

[FaugheenTheMachine]

Anyone know if any (or all) of Chef Des Obeaux, The Worlds End or Talkischeap will be coming here?

[squiggsy68]

Anyone know if any (or all) of Chef Des Obeaux, The Worlds End or Talkischeap will be coming here?

Don't know about the other two but in the Weekender this week King said Talkischeap is being freshened up and going to Ayr for a Novice Hcap chase on Scottish National Day.

[mayo]

Thanks for the video Mayo, you have made my day. !!!!

PC at his best, kidded the horse all the way round.

Best ride ever in that race ( McCoy ultras look away)

[Istabraq]

I am very close to someone in the yard...she hasn't let me down yet! Well not in the way of the well being of the inmates lets just say that...

This should not be ignored....

[doctorwu]

Happy to do that yeah.

Loser £20 to Marie Curie?

https://www.justgiving.com/fundraising/gaultstats3

Thats irony

Lets do that. Shall we say: Winner 16pts, 2nd 9pts, 3rd 5pts.

[jonthehammer]

I thought Minella Rocco may have been in here to keep the weights down for JP's other horses Jerrysback.

Really like Coo Star though and he gets back form I fully expect at the very least a place.

[Kevloaf]

Thats irony

Lets do that. Shall we say: Winner 16pts, 2nd 9pts, 3rd 5pts.

Needs to be the same cash amount, your 1 pt might only be £5?