Exchange (Betfair) Traded Volumes - Percentages (Market Share)

[ComplyOrDie]

Not sure if it is something that interests many but it is something I keep an eye on and had decided the other day to work out percentages (market share) for each race on the exchanges (Betfair only), as to where the money has gone. Have re-calculated this morning for day 1 of the festival only. Only races with at least £1k traded have been included. Only horses with at least 4% market share included.

Supreme (£8,134 matched):

Annamix 45.48%
Commander Of Fleet 15.40%
Pym 4.78%
Didtheyleaveuoutto 5.11%
Tornado Flyer 4.84%

Arkle (£3,772):

Kalashnikov 31.28%
Mengli Khan 18.43%
Samcro 12.83%
Draconien 6.81%
Paloma Blue 6.55%
Melon 5.25%
Claimantakinforgan 4.27%

Champion Hurdle (£33,191):

Samcro 44.49%
Buveur D'air 28.85%
Summerville Boy 7.31%
Melon 5.91%
Laurina 5.53%
We Have A Dream 4.38%

Mares Hurdle (£1,043):

Apples Jade 48.03%
Laurina 36.43%
Benie Des Dieux 8.63%
Limini 4.60%

I'm hoping to get the other 3 days up by the end of next week, and then re-visit again on the 1st of every month to see levels of movement, also reference for following years etc... Whether it will have any significance as to being able to find winners/losers or races for horses any earlier or not will be something only time will tell.

I know some of us reference the exchanges, I know I certainly do, but up until recently have not tracked previous years movements etc... So will be interested to see how things pan out. Hope you don't mind me adding them to this thread though.

[thistlecracker]

Great idea, I will be keen a good interest in this to see any trends

[OldPersian]

Great Thread CoD - surprised to see more down on Samcro than BVD for the Champion Hurdle. I’ve always tried to see BVD beat and backed Melon this year but I’ve sided with BVD in my anti post multis for next March.

[ComplyOrDie]

Day 2.

Ballymore (£2,817 matched):

Commander Of Fleet 55.77%
Tornado Flyer 11.29%
Blackbow 4.97%

Champion Chase (£20,590):

Altior 40.82%
Footpad 40.02%
Douvan 9.31%

RSA (£5,300):

Santini 44.26%
Next Destination 15.96%
Topofthegame 5.64%
Black Op 5.22%
Kilbricken Storm 4.79%

[ComplyOrDie]

Day 3.

JLT (£1,492 matched):

Samcro 35.72%
On The Blind Side 14.74%
Kalashnikov 10.05%
Black Op 9.18%
Vision Des Flos 6.97%
Vinndication 5.90%

Ryanair (£3,186):

Monalee 24.60%
Un De Sceaux 23.79%
Douvan 8.79%
Killultagh Vic 8.28%
Balko Des Flos 5.24%
Min 4.42%

Stayers' (£8,089):

Penhill 43.47%
Faugheen 21.44%
Supasundae 10.90%
Identity Thief 5.77%
Sam Spinner 4.18%

[ComplyOrDie]

Day 4.

Gold Cup (£41,594 matched):

Might Bite 31.73%
Presenting Percy 17.08%
Native River 10.22%

[ComplyOrDie]

Not sure if it is something that interests many but it is something I keep an eye on and had decided the other day to work out percentages (market share) for each race on the exchanges (Betfair only), as to where the money has gone. Have re-calculated this morning for day 1 of the festival only. Only races with at least £1k traded have been included. Only horses with at least 4% market share included.

Supreme (£8,134 matched):

Annamix 45.48%
Commander Of Fleet 15.40%
Pym 4.78%
Didtheyleaveuoutto 5.11%
Tornado Flyer 4.84%

Arkle (£3,772):

Kalashnikov 31.28%
Mengli Khan 18.43%
Samcro 12.83%
Draconien 6.81%
Paloma Blue 6.55%
Melon 5.25%
Claimantakinforgan 4.27%

Champion Hurdle (£33,191):

Samcro 44.49%
Buveur D'air 28.85%
Summerville Boy 7.31%
Melon 5.91%
Laurina 5.53%
We Have A Dream 4.38%

Mares Hurdle (£1,043):

Apples Jade 48.03%
Laurina 36.43%
Benie Des Dieux 8.63%
Limini 4.60%

I'm hoping to get the other 3 days up by the end of next week, and then re-visit again on the 1st of every month to see levels of movement, also reference for following years etc... Whether it will have any significance as to being able to find winners/losers or races for horses any earlier or not will be something only time will tell.

I know some of us reference the exchanges, I know I certainly do, but up until recently have not tracked previous years movements etc... So will be interested to see how things pan out. Hope you don't mind me adding them to this thread though.

Just to follow on, now that we are the end of the month:

Supreme (£19,158):

Annamix 39.40%
Commander Of Fleet 11.79%
Didtheyleaveuoutto 6.70%
Felix Desjy 5.11%

Arkle (£24,018):

Lalor 30.83%
Mengli Khan 20.49%
Kalashnikov 19.79%
Paloma Blue 5.64%
Draconien 5.64%

Champion Hurdle (£95,727):

Samcro 38.83%
Buveur D'air 34.59%
Laurina 8.06%
Summerville Boy 4.43%

Mares Hurdle (£3,701):

Apples Jade 34.46%
Laurina 34.22%
Benie Des Dieux 22.09%

National Hunt Chase (£1,136):

Blow By Blow 54.13%
Bacardys 8.89%
Ballyward 7.92%
Kilbricken Storm 7.13%
OK Corral 5.54%

[doctorwu]

Great thread COD

[Brital]

Nice work CoD.

There’s only one horse in the NHC if the exchange market is to be believed.

[Scooby91]

Nice work CoD.

There’s only one horse in the NHC if the exchange market is to be believed.

They'res only £1136 in total so that's only less than £300 That's been backed to win on blow by blow

[ComplyOrDie]

They'res only £1136 in total so that's only less than £300 That's been backed to win on blow by blow

Yeah, it's worth keeping in mind, as FM (I think, from memory) pointed out, that the total matched includes both parties, so the backer and the layer, so, for example, if you back something with £10 and you get it matched it will show total matched as £20 etc...

[ComplyOrDie]

Day 2.

Ballymore (£2,817 matched):

Commander Of Fleet 55.77%
Tornado Flyer 11.29%
Blackbow 4.97%

Champion Chase (£20,590):

Altior 40.82%
Footpad 40.02%
Douvan 9.31%

RSA (£5,300):

Santini 44.26%
Next Destination 15.96%
Topofthegame 5.64%
Black Op 5.22%
Kilbricken Storm 4.79%

Ballymore (£11,126):

Commander Of Fleet 38.01%
Champ 12.12%
Tornado Flyer 6.23%
Danny Kirwan 4.59%
Blackbow 4.51%

Champion Chase (£42,948):

Footpad 40.80%
Altior 39.14%
Sceau Royal 4.44%

RSA (£17,051):

Santini 36.13%
Next Destination 9.56%
Delta Work 9.11%
Black Op 6.57%
Kilbricken Storm 5.80%
Topofthegame 4.12%

Cross Country (£2,128):

Tiger Roll 84.39%
Josies Orders 12.50%

Champion Bumper (£7,791):

Malone Road 50.29%
Envoi Allen 26.58%
Mt. Leinster 9.26%

[ComplyOrDie]

Day 3.

JLT (£1,492 matched):

Samcro 35.72%
On The Blind Side 14.74%
Kalashnikov 10.05%
Black Op 9.18%
Vision Des Flos 6.97%
Vinndication 5.90%

Ryanair (£3,186):

Monalee 24.60%
Un De Sceaux 23.79%
Douvan 8.79%
Killultagh Vic 8.28%
Balko Des Flos 5.24%
Min 4.42%

Stayers' (£8,089):

Penhill 43.47%
Faugheen 21.44%
Supasundae 10.90%
Identity Thief 5.77%
Sam Spinner 4.18%

JLT (£6,006):

Samcro 23.56%
Black Op 17.83%
On The Blind Side 9.69%
Lostintranslation 5.97%
Vinndication 5.66%
Getabird 4.74%
La Bague Au Roi 4.56%
Kalashnikov 4.01%

Ryanair (£11,403):

Un De Sceaux 14.24%
Min 13.65%
Monalee 10.57%
Footpad 8.68%
Politologue 6.35%
Shattered Love 5.29%
Balko Des Flos 5.18%
Charbel 4.32%
Waiting Patiently 4.29%

Stayers' (£20,963):

Penhill 26.19%
Supasundae 14.37%
Faugheen 13.81%
Sam Spinner 8.16%
Samcro 6.12%
Apples Jade 4.27%

Mares' Novice Hurdle (£3,517):

Epatante 37.98%
Relegate 26.07%
Sancta Simona 12.05%
My Sister Sarah 4.60%

[ComplyOrDie]

Day 4.

Gold Cup (£41,594 matched):

Might Bite 31.73%
Presenting Percy 17.08%
Native River 10.22%

Been a bit slack on this, but day 4 updated below:

Triumph (£9,008):

Never Adapt 29.54% (Inj.)
Adjali 21.18%
Coeur Sublime 12.41%
Farid 11.68%
Quel Destin 7.4%
Lethal Steps 4.79%

Albert Bartlett (£1,947):

Carefully Selected 19.20%
Blackbow 16.95%
Rockpoint 15.10%
Tornado Flyer 12.73%
Stay Humble 7.08%
Dorrells Pierji 6.83%
Commander Of Fleet 5.75%

Gold Cup (£96,100):

Might Bite 30.21%
Presenting Percy 17.02%
Native River 11.06%

[ComplyOrDie]

Just to follow on, now that we are the end of the month:

Supreme (£19,158):

Annamix 39.40%
Commander Of Fleet 11.79%
Didtheyleaveuoutto 6.70%
Felix Desjy 5.11%

Arkle (£24,018):

Lalor 30.83%
Mengli Khan 20.49%
Kalashnikov 19.79%
Paloma Blue 5.64%
Draconien 5.64%

Champion Hurdle (£95,727):

Samcro 38.83%
Buveur D'air 34.59%
Laurina 8.06%
Summerville Boy 4.43%

Mares Hurdle (£3,701):

Apples Jade 34.46%
Laurina 34.22%
Benie Des Dieux 22.09%

National Hunt Chase (£1,136):

Blow By Blow 54.13%
Bacardys 8.89%
Ballyward 7.92%
Kilbricken Storm 7.13%
OK Corral 5.54%

And on another month.

Supreme (£67,353):

Annamix 17.65%
Angel's Breath 11.84%
Al Dancer 6.81%
Aramon 5.34%
Elixir De Nutz 4.86%
Commander Of Fleet 4.25%

Arkle (£61,951):

Lalor 23.49%
Kalashnikov 17.16%
Mnegli Khan 14.15%
Dynamite Dollars 6.45%
Le Richebourg 6.22%
Getabird 4.66%

Champion Hurdle (£214,833):

Buveur D'air 42.06%
Samcro 21.76%
Laurina 11.53%
Melon 5.11%

Mares Hurdle (£9,755):

Apples Jade 45.64%
Benie Des Dieux 22.95%
Laurina 22.24%

NH Chase (£7,876):

OK Corral 50.22%
Blow By Blow 15.09%
Rocky's Treasure 4.63%