Just flicking back through subjects brought up last year... I found this post (below in italic), highlighting non-handicap winners from the 2017 festival.
The ones in Bold were the ones that I felt were a tad over-priced.
Non-handicap winners 2017 (Best Prices available)
Labaik (Injured)
Altior @ 6/4 for Champion Chase
Buveur D'air @ 4/1 for Champion Hurdle
Apples Jade @ 3/1 for Mares Hurdle
Tiger Roll ... Grand National Bound??
Willoughby Court @ 16/1 for JLT
Might Bite @ 10/1 for Gold Cup
Special Tiara @ 25/1 for Champion Chase
Cause of Causes @ 7/1 for X-Country
Fayonagh @ 7/2
Yorkhill @ 8/1 for Gold Cup, 8/1 for Ryanair, 12/1 Champion Hurdle
Un De Sceaux @ 13/2 for Ryanair
Nichols Canyon @ 7/1 for Stayers
Let's Dance @ 11/1 for Mares Hurdle
Defi Du Seuil @ 8/1 for Champion Hurdle
Penhill @ 18/1 for Stayers, 20/1 for RSA
Sizing John @ 6/1 for Gold Cup
Pacha Du Polder @ 12/1 for Foxhunter
This tells me two things...
1) I didn't do a very good job of picking out horses that were over-priced etc... BUT
2) Horses such as Tiger Roll, Penhill and Pacha Du Polder were all available at juicy prices for races that they ended up winning!
Backing all 18 horses blind for their most-likely target, would have yielded a healthy profit!
I will do a similar thing for 2018 later today/tomorrow, but it may also be worth revisiting/updating 2017 winners with 2019 targets...
The ones in Bold were the ones that I felt were a tad over-priced.
Non-handicap winners 2017 (Best Prices available)
Labaik (Injured)
Altior @ 6/4 for Champion Chase
Buveur D'air @ 4/1 for Champion Hurdle
Apples Jade @ 3/1 for Mares Hurdle
Tiger Roll ... Grand National Bound??
Willoughby Court @ 16/1 for JLT
Might Bite @ 10/1 for Gold Cup
Special Tiara @ 25/1 for Champion Chase
Cause of Causes @ 7/1 for X-Country
Fayonagh @ 7/2
Yorkhill @ 8/1 for Gold Cup, 8/1 for Ryanair, 12/1 Champion Hurdle
Un De Sceaux @ 13/2 for Ryanair
Nichols Canyon @ 7/1 for Stayers
Let's Dance @ 11/1 for Mares Hurdle
Defi Du Seuil @ 8/1 for Champion Hurdle
Penhill @ 18/1 for Stayers, 20/1 for RSA
Sizing John @ 6/1 for Gold Cup
Pacha Du Polder @ 12/1 for Foxhunter
This tells me two things...
1) I didn't do a very good job of picking out horses that were over-priced etc... BUT
2) Horses such as Tiger Roll, Penhill and Pacha Du Polder were all available at juicy prices for races that they ended up winning!
Backing all 18 horses blind for their most-likely target, would have yielded a healthy profit!
I will do a similar thing for 2018 later today/tomorrow, but it may also be worth revisiting/updating 2017 winners with 2019 targets...
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