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  1. #11
    Senior Member Kevloaf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SeanRock View Post
    Superb write up NR. I'd be inclined to side with Summerville Boy at this stage i feel he'd have won the supreme by at least 5 lengths had he not blundered two of the last few hurdles. Tom George is also on record saying he'd be more suited to good ground as he has a good action and just needs a good even pace set to be seen at his best which he should get in a CH.

    Plenty of schooling over the small obstacles needed over the summer however.
    I hadn't seen any quotes to that effect - he's only raced once with good in the going and that was on debut for the yard and you can't blame the defeat on that if you take the form literally because he's ended the season about 34 lbs higher according to RPRs.

    How do you feel about Tom George and how accurate/unbiased he is? I can't think of enough examples to have a strong opinion either way but I am intreagued at this.

    Summerville Boys two main negatives would be (Needs Cut in the Ground) and (Can't hurdle very well) ... the latter is easily dealt with and I imagine is being done over the summer - his technique is something I'll be looking at FTO this year.... and therefore isn't a major concern.

    The former, if the trainersz comments CAN be believed, may not be a concern, making his current odds well worth investing in.

    Not going to do anything yet and unfortunately not a good enouigh judge myself of a horses action to watch back the replays and tell hopw ground dependant he is/isn't!

  2. #12
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    NR a very enjoyable read of your thoughts of the Champion Hurdle.

    Buveur has been responsible for delivering many favours to me over the past few years.

    But I am also in the Summerville Boy fan club. I think he has the potential to build on his achievements to date, and the 16/1 represents a nice each way bet.

  3. #13
    Great write up, much appreciated.

    I'm in the same camp as most here, BVD has been there and done it before and the 7/2 at Hills is very fair.
    I'm on several times already, singles and doubles, trebles, likely to win or go very close.

    Melon should go well and improvement to come, likely to stay hurdling I think.

    Summerville Boy needs to brush up him jumping but his Supreme win was in the same time as BVD win last March so the 16s is proper value, I'm on single and a few doubles, trebles.

    These are the three to concentrate on right now.

    Laurina I think will go Mares, it's the Mullins way to win races they can win - which is fair enough and I
    I've been backing her in doubles with footie bets.

    Samcro is off chasing, no doubt (and backed him several times for the Arkle).

  4. #14
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    i think BVD was under cooked at the fes but what melon did on ground he wouldn't have liked was massively impressive. Think it'll be between these two again.

  5. #15
    Senior Member Kevloaf's Avatar
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    I just realised it was a year ago to the day I backed Buveur D'air for the Champion Hurdle at 4/1 - 12 months on he's available at 7/2

    I am not really tempted though this time. It must be the vulnerability he showed last season in the CH, despite getting the job done. When backing him last year I didn't think anything could get near him... now I know that at least one of them can... and even though I'd back him to beat Melon in a match every time, he isn't one I want to start building up a large single on.

  6. #16
    Quote Originally Posted by Kevloaf View Post
    I just realised it was a year ago to the day I backed Buveur D'air for the Champion Hurdle at 4/1 - 12 months on he's available at 7/2

    I am not really tempted though this time. It must be the vulnerability he showed last season in the CH, despite getting the job done. When backing him last year I didn't think anything could get near him... now I know that at least one of them can... and even though I'd back him to beat Melon in a match every time, he isn't one I want to start building up a large single on.
    I absolute agree with that Kev.

    That vulnerability (despite him winning) in last years renewal makes me have a strong feeling something will improve past him this year. His prep of beating everything on the bridle easily in small fields surely couldn’t have helped him with the likely war of a CH to come though.

  7. #17
    I don't think NJH will be giving Buveur D'air his final prep in the contenders hurdle at Sandown next season. It'll be much more likely that he turns up at the Dublin racing festival imo.

    He looked undercooked in the Champion Hurdle and I doubt they'll be making the same mistake again. He's a solid favourite and should be hitting his peak this season.

  8. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
    I don't think NJH will be giving Buveur D'air his final prep in the contenders hurdle at Sandown next season. It'll be much more likely that he turns up at the Dublin racing festival imo.

    He looked undercooked in the Champion Hurdle and I doubt they'll be making the same mistake again. He's a solid favourite and should be hitting his peak this season.
    Totally agree with you there Faugheen , May not just be Buveur D'air either . I can see the Dublin Festival being a stepping
    stone to the Festival for a few more in the future.

  9. #19
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    Enjoyed the read very much .keep up the good work

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