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Thread: Sky Bets

  1. #21
    Week 3 Free Bet has been placed. Altior, Laurina and Samcro to win any race at the festival at 25/1.

    So far:
    Week 1 - Canadian: Next Destination (RSA) 12/1, Altior (CC) 6/4, Samcro (JLT) 4/1, Monalee (Ryanair) 14/1, Might Bite (GC) 6/1
    Week 2 - Gold Present (Grand National) 22/1 e/w
    Week 3 - Altior, Laurina and Samcro to win any race at the 2019 Festival - 25/1

  2. #22
    Champ Kevloaf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ryanh97 View Post
    I look forward to the write up of the new staking plan kev
    Was too busy

    Will be next weekend.

  3. #23
    Top Amateur jono's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Middle_Of_March View Post
    Week 3 Free Bet has been placed. Altior, Laurina and Samcro to win any race at the festival at 25/1.
    That actually seems a pretty fair price to me MoM, even if it's not a free bet. I would have expected a shorter price by quite a bit.

    For me there are 16 possible outcomes for the 3 horses targets (technically more but i'm happy to discount Laurina going RSA and Altior going anywhere bar the Champion Chase)

    Altior
    Champion Chase 6/4

    Samcro
    Champion Hurdle 7/1
    Arkle 7/1
    JLT 4/1
    RSA 10/1

    Laurina
    Champion Hurdle 10/1
    Arkle 10/1
    JLT 20/1
    Mares Hurdle 3/1

    The early prices suggest, and the shortest combinations would be Altior CC, Samcro going JLT and Laurina Mares which comes in at 49/1.
    So double the odds of the special. And plenty of other likely combinations, say Laurina CH and Samcro Arkle would come in much bigger (219/1).

    But I'm happy to take the reduced price and bar injuries be able to sit back and not worry too much on the targets through the winter (both will be up in the air throughout). Obviously there is a slight risk that Samcro and Laurina could line up against eachother but that's very unlikely outcome for me.

    Have had the max allowed bet on this.

  4. #24
    Quote Originally Posted by jono View Post
    That actually seems a pretty fair price to me MoM, even if it's not a free bet. I would have expected a shorter price by quite a bit.

    For me there are 16 possible outcomes for the 3 horses targets (technically more but i'm happy to discount Laurina going RSA and Altior going anywhere bar the Champion Chase)

    Altior
    Champion Chase 6/4

    Samcro
    Champion Hurdle 7/1
    Arkle 7/1
    JLT 4/1
    RSA 10/1

    Laurina
    Champion Hurdle 10/1
    Arkle 10/1
    JLT 20/1
    Mares Hurdle 3/1

    The early prices suggest, and the shortest combinations would be Altior CC, Samcro going JLT and Laurina Mares which comes in at 49/1.
    So double the odds of the special. And plenty of other likely combinations, say Laurina CH and Samcro Arkle would come in much bigger (219/1).

    But I'm happy to take the reduced price and bar injuries be able to sit back and not worry too much on the targets through the winter (both will be up in the air throughout). Obviously there is a slight risk that Samcro and Laurina could line up against eachother but that's very unlikely outcome for me.

    Have had the max allowed bet on this.
    I don’t tend to get involved on the request a bets but I was having a look through today for the Cheltenham 2019 ones. Glad I did as I’ll be using my free bets and some cash on this for as long as it stays above 16/1.

    25s is huge in my opinion. I would’ve expecting skybet to offer between 8/1 and 12/1. The ‘any race’ bit is the crucial bit as it avoids the confusion of who runs where.

  5. #25
    Champ Kevloaf's Avatar
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    Any Race - Samcro, Laurina, Altior 25/1

    I think the any race part is the appeal as you've mentioned.

    With the free bets you could actually start using them on the actual combinations but it is a bit lugubrious!

    Also priced at 25/1 in the same section is Douvan to win the stayers hurdle. Stupid price. I wouldn't back that at 250/1

  6. #26
    Quote Originally Posted by Kevloaf View Post
    Any Race - Samcro, Laurina, Altior 25/1

    I think the any race part is the appeal as you've mentioned.

    With the free bets you could actually start using them on the actual combinations but it is a bit lugubrious!

    Also priced at 25/1 in the same section is Douvan to win the stayers hurdle. Stupid price. I wouldn't back that at 250/1
    Yep it’s the any race part that appeals.

    I feel if they all turn up fit in separate races, that trebles would be five times shorter. I think 25s is huge tbh Kev.

    The Douvan Stayers odds made me question what do I know about the sport. I couldn’t envisage in any way whatsoever Douvan being a 3m hurdler next season. And yet someone’s requested that price. He could go Champion Chase, Ryanair, Gold Cup or Champion Hurdle. But surely he won’t go to the Stayers? I

  7. #27
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    Just jumped on this as well

  8. #28
    Yes, I have treated myself to a small interest too.
    I quite liked the 7/1 Tiger Roll to defend his cross country crown, can’t imagine they’ll take him anywhere else and the only dangers that he doesn’t turn up are injury and winning the National and immediate retirement !
    Last edited by Istabraq; 04-03-2018 at 07:52 AM.

  9. #29
    Couldn’t resist a small nibble at the Percy, Footpad, Penhill and Samcro any race acca at 200/1.
    They may choose to avoid an Altior clash with Footpad and tackle the JLT and the others have more than shown their crudentials.
    Speculative but 200/1 I’m happy taking a flyer...

  10. #30
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    This week’s free fiver has to go on the 25/1 Samcro, Laurina, Altior treble, but I’m hoping the 200/1 Accra mentioned above by Istabraq is still available next week, as that’s where that free bet will be going.

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