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Thread: Sky Bets

  1. #201
    Senior Member Kevloaf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by cpfcpatriot View Post
    It’s a free bet. I can it and build it up onto one horse and watch it break it’s leg. Or I can stick repeated money on the likes of Min and Melon and watch them finish 2nd in the hopes that they are a Douvan.

    Or hope one RAB wins. Last year, I had 2 antepost RABs win at 66/1 and 80/1, so I’m happy to keep going this way.
    Yeah that's fair enough, I'm not knocking it ... I hope some more land for you... it is bigger value to "do it yourself" though ... the 6 fold each way would pay loads more in the win and the place and none of the sky RABs work out better value than doing it yourself. Even factoring in the staking required to cover 'any race'

  2. #202
    Senior Member Kevloaf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Istabraq View Post
    Sky go 10/1 Santini (RSA) and 7/1 Penhill (Stayers) which looks industry best.
    I’ve been pressing this ew double with cash and free bets for a couple of weeks, while these prices exist I’m happy to keep pressing...
    It's nice when two you really like are both best priced I wonder how many bets I don't place or miss out on would land for the sake of a few points. Equally it could be a blessing in disguise

  3. #203
    Senior Member Istabraq's Avatar
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    Not sure if anyone else has spotted this but Sky are offering 6/1 that Laurina goes unbeaten in 18/19 season (must run min 3 times), a price that struck me as huge value.
    Now looking likely to head for the Mares it’s unlikely she’ll be given a real test before Cheltenham, the danger comes at Pumchestown when she might be pitted against the boys and there’s likely to be a chance to lay her to guarantee a profit.
    This is a bet I like....

  4. #204
    Senior Member Kevloaf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Istabraq View Post
    Not sure if anyone else has spotted this but Sky are offering 6/1 that Laurina goes unbeaten in 18/19 season (must run min 3 times), a price that struck me as huge value.
    Now looking likely to head for the Mares it’s unlikely she’ll be given a real test before Cheltenham, the danger comes at Pumchestown when she might be pitted against the boys and there’s likely to be a chance to lay her to guarantee a profit.
    This is a bet I like....
    Why does it look likely she'll go to the mares? Owner has said they hope she's a CH horse... and she only needs to be better than Melon to convince Ruby?

  5. #205
    Senior Member Istabraq's Avatar
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    There’s a penalty kick G1 for her in the Mares.
    They might talk up a champion hurdle bid but first season out of novice company Mares looks the obvious choice to me, if she’s as good as they think she’ll still be a champion hurdle horse in 2020....

    14/1 champ hurdle and 3/1 Mares are best prices available, looks like bookies thinking same lines
    Last edited by Istabraq; 09-20-2018 at 09:45 PM.

  6. #206
    Senior Member Kevloaf's Avatar
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    Benie Des Dieux is also a penalty kick in the Mares
    Melon vs Laurina?

    I think you'd be mad to get excited about a 6/1 bet to go unbeaten when you can get 3/1 for the one race you're sure she'd go for?

    A fall at 1/14 and the money is gone?

    I wouldn't lay it obviously but doesn't seem worthwhile



    ....and she's not 14/1 versus 3/1 because of where she'll go.... she's that price because of opposition.... if she was a certainty for the Mares then she'd be no bigger than 6/4
    Last edited by Kevloaf; 09-20-2018 at 09:52 PM.

  7. #207
    Senior Member Kevloaf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Istabraq View Post
    Not sure if anyone else has spotted this but Sky are offering 6/1 that Laurina goes unbeaten in 18/19 season (must run min 3 times), a price that struck me as huge value.
    Now looking likely to head for the Mares it’s unlikely she’ll be given a real test before Cheltenham, the danger comes at Pumchestown when she might be pitted against the boys and there’s likely to be a chance to lay her to guarantee a profit.
    This is a bet I like....
    Last season she had 4 runs, won at 1/4, 13/8, 4/7 and 2/11 - 1 paid 6.07 - so slightly better than 5/1.

    They might pitch her in to the Irish Champion Hurdle and use that to decide her Cheltenham target...

  8. #208
    Senior Member Istabraq's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kevloaf View Post
    Last season she had 4 runs, won at 1/4, 13/8, 4/7 and 2/11 - 1 paid 6.07 - so slightly better than 5/1
    Agree, but clearly that’s not a bet you can have.

    Always good to hear opposing views, time will provide the answers...

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