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View Full Version : Anyone got tips for Ladies Day ?



weerory
04-06-2015, 10:44 AM
Going racing on Friday and could do with a few horses to back.

I havent got a clue so all help appreciated.

mayo
04-06-2015, 05:47 PM
There are threads for most races already WR

Melling http://www.fatjockey.com/forum/showthread.php?5335-2015-Melling-Chase

Topham http://www.fatjockey.com/forum/showthread.php?4955-2015-Topham-Chase

Sefton http://www.fatjockey.com/forum/showthread.php?5447-2015-Sefton-Novices-Hurdle

Top Novices http://www.fatjockey.com/forum/showthread.php?5446-2015-Aintree-Top-Novices-Hurdle-2m-110y

Faugheen_Machine
04-06-2015, 06:21 PM
I really like Rajdhani Express - still 14/1 with Ladbrokes.

Sefton
04-06-2015, 06:36 PM
I really like Rajdhani Express - still 14/1 with Ladbrokes.


Me too for that.

Champagne Fever in Melling is a good bet.

Yeehaa
04-06-2015, 07:35 PM
Wear sun factor - forecast is good.

Old Vic
04-09-2015, 05:36 PM
<tbody>
Aintree Ladies Day
10 April 2015



Top Novices Hurdle Stats (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Top-Novices-Hurdle-2015-191)


Mildmay (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Aintree-Ladies-Day-Mildmay-Novices-Chase-Trends-16) Novices Chase Stats (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Aintree-Ladies-Day-Mildmay-Novices-Chase-Trends-16)


Melling (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Melling-Chase-Stats-2015-3) Chase Stats (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Melling-Chase-Stats-2015-3)


Topham (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Topham-Chase-Stats-2015-12) Chase (National Fences) stats (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Topham-Chase-Stats-2015-12)


Sefton (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Aintree-Ladies-Day-Sefton-Novices-Hurdle-Stats-187) Novices Hurdle Stats (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Aintree-Ladies-Day-Sefton-Novices-Hurdle-Stats-187)


2m 4f Handicap Hurdle Stats (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Aintree-2m-4f-Handicap-Hurdle-Trends-196)


Mares Bumper Stats (http://www.fatjockey.com/festivals/racing_festivals.php?Aintree-Ladies-Day-Mares-Bumper-Trends-197)

</tbody>

Old Vic
04-09-2015, 05:53 PM
Race 1 - Aintree Coral Cup - 2m 4f Handicap Hurdle



<colgroup><col span="2"><col><col><col><col><col><col></colgroup><tbody>


HORSE
AGE
WGT
TRAINER RTF%
JOCKEY
OR


1
1-11U0
Vulcanite30
8
11-12
Charlie Longsdon50
Paul Carberry
149


2
123-11
Enchanted Garden191F
7
11-8
Malcolm Jefferson50
Brian Hughes
145


3
61521
Theinval27
5
11-7
Nicky Henderson78
Jeremiah McGrath3
144


4
0-2520
Lyvius30 b
7
11-7
Nicky Henderson78
David Bass
144


5
25523F
Dell´ Arca30 b
6
11-7
David Pipe69
Tom Scudamore
144


6
1-1441
Nexius23
6
11-7
Keith Dalgleish33
Paul Townend
144


7
U-8346
Olofi76 tp
9
11-3
Tom George38
Paddy Brennan
140


8
0-3010
Baradari30
5
11-2
Venetia Williams25
Aidan Coleman
139


9
51100
Sleepy Haven28 t
5
11-1
Jennie Candlish50
Henry Brooke
138


10
4-31U0
Vasco Du Ronceray30 h
6
11-1
Nicky Henderson78
Daryl Jacob
138


11
F20/P6
Pearl Swan28 tb1
7
11-1
Paul Nicholls73
Sam Twiston-Davies
138


12
PF-420
Party Rock28
8
11-0
Jennie Candlish50
Conor Ring5
137


13
073290
Mijhaar30
7
11-0
John Ferguson
Noel Fehily
137


14
1-6258
Daneking30 h
6
11-0
W P Mullins61
R Walsh
137


15
11R422
Rock On Rocky27 p
7
10-12
Matt Sheppard100
Charlie Poste
135


16
91256
Some Buckle34 t
6
10-12
Tom George38
Denis O'Regan
135


17
B/738-
Lexi´s Boy440
7
10-10
Donald McCain50
Wayne Hutchinson
133


18
24243
The Saint James30 ht
4
10-8
Jonjo O´Neill57
A P McCoy
138


19
70-111
Knight´s Parade19 t
5
10-8
Gordon Elliott24
Davy Condon
131


20
21P114
Mile House167
7
10-7
Robert Stephens
Tom O'Brien
130


21
46-10
Snake Eyes82
7
10-5
Nicky Henderson78
Peter Carberry
128


22
110-05
Stonebrook34
7
10-4
Donald McCain50
Will Kennedy
127

</tbody>

Old Vic
04-09-2015, 05:56 PM
Starting at bottom of weights and working up Knights Parade looks a possible - Elliott on fire today.

AP and Jonjo ?

Old Vic
04-09-2015, 06:01 PM
Mildmay

O. HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR TS RPR
8 U1F12 Saphir Du Rheu29 6 11-4 Paul Nicholls73 Sam Twiston-Davies 163 100 168
6 131214 Irish Saint29 t 6 11-4 Paul Nicholls73 Nick Scholfield 153 143 170
2 21P411 Carole´s Destrier24 7 11-4 Neil Mulholland86 A P McCoy 152 151 167
1 111211 Ainsi Fideles28 tb 5 11-4 David Pipe69 Tom Scudamore 151 122 161
5 7-3231 Irish Cavalier31 p 6 11-4 Rebecca Curtis20 Paul Townend 146 148 158
4 21/143 Close Touch54 7 11-4 Nicky Henderson78 David Bass 145 83 163
3 621UP1 Carraig Mor24 7 11-4 Alan King41 Noel Fehily 144 119 156
7 031413 Rawnaq29 8 11-4 Matthew J Smith A E Lynch 144 107 156
9 431212 Wakanda48 6 11-4 Sue Smith33 Sean Quinlan 139 129 157

Old Vic
04-09-2015, 06:10 PM
Bumper

HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR TS RPR
1 3-31 Archive61 t 5 11-4 Eoin Griffin David Mullins5 117 88 128
2 11 Armchair Theatre22 5 11-4 Evan Williams50 Conor Ring5 121 87 128
3 111 Barters Hill62 5 11-4 Ben Pauling33 David Bass 126 105 133
4 2-120 Bellshill30 5 11-4 W P Mullins61 Mr P W Mullins 120 111 133
5 72 Chitu115 t 5 11-4 S R B Crawford67 Mr S Crawford 109 107 113
6 24-10 Davy Doubt30 6 11-4 Warren Greatrex29 Gavin Sheehan 117 85 128
7 2123 Double W´s48 5 11-4 Malcolm Jefferson50 Brian Hughes 112 104 120
8 2-4 Duncomplaining48 6 11-4 William Kinsey33 Peter Buchanan 105 59 114
9 1 Jurby38 5 11-4 Malcolm Jefferson50 Dougie Costello 112 99 120
10 4141- Justanother Muddle381 6 11-4 Sheena West75 Mattie Batchelor 117 98 127
11 412 Kerisper22 6 11-4 Nigel Twiston-Davies56 Ryan Hatch5 104 79 118
12 1 Persian Delight52 t 5 11-4 Paul Nicholls73 Sam Twiston-Davies 124 73 133
13 21 Potters Corner192 5 11-4 Paul Morgan Jack Doyle 115 73 117
14 86-31 Rushvale105 h1 6 11-4 Ben Case50 Daryl Jacob 118 19 126
15 21 Wabanaki54 5 11-4 Evan Williams50 Paul Moloney 110 39 121
16 11 Western Rules120 5 11-4 Nicky Richards38 Brian Harding 118 77 122
17 1 Brain Power48 4 10-12 Nicky Henderson78 Peter Carberry 113 62 116
18 112 Buveur D´Air62 4 10-12 Nicky Henderson78 Noel Fehily 124 100 128
19 322 Sakhee´s City54 4 10-12 Philip Kirby25 Adam Nicol3 111 61 112
20 1175 Virnon58 4 10-12 Alan Swinbank67 Richard Johnson 116 100 12

MrMcGoldrick
04-09-2015, 07:35 PM
The good ground means the higher weights come into their own, generally speaking they are top weight because they are theoretically the best horse in the race and quite a lot prove it when they aren't going hock deep in the mud, so don't rule horses out based purely on weight in the handicaps, especially up to 3 miles, many still have improvement in them

Old Vic
04-09-2015, 07:49 PM
The good ground means the higher weights come into their own, generally speaking they are top weight because they are theoretically the best horse in the race and quite a lot prove it when they aren't going hock deep in the mud, so don't rule horses out based purely on weight in the handicaps, especially up to 3 miles, many still have improvement in them

I get that in general but in todays races

Handicap Chase 17 runners - Winner 14 ( 33/1) 2nd 9 3rd 17 (16/1)
Handicap Hurdle 22 runners- Winner 7 2nd 6 3rd 21 (25/1) 4th 19 (14/1)

still value in big prices in low weights near bottom of handicap.

mayo
04-09-2015, 08:16 PM
tomorrows lottery ticket

Snake Eyes @ 11/1
Cardinal Walter @ 7/1
Close Touch @ 14/1
Simply Ned @ 18/1
Hunt Ball @ 20/1
Alpha Des Obeaux @ 14/1

mayo
04-09-2015, 08:22 PM
Really wanted to back Minella Rocco but 3/1 juts a bit too skinny

Thomas Shelby
04-09-2015, 08:26 PM
Irish Cavalier and Al Ferof.

loveracing
04-09-2015, 09:10 PM
1.30 Dell Arca 16/1 - Fell early in the Coral Cup, so will be no bounce factor. Should go well as long as he's over the fall.
2.50 Ainsi Fideles 9/1 - Skipped Cheltenham because he doesn't like the track.
3.25 Al Ferof 6/1 - Goes well fresh and the flying Nichols factor.

mayo
04-09-2015, 10:07 PM
Croco Bay and Up to something tipped at big prices by Kealy.

Old Vic
04-10-2015, 07:27 AM
15:25 Aintree Each Way - Balder Succes
16:05 Aintree Each Way - Turban
16:40 Aintree Each Way - Thomas Brown
17:15 Aintree Each Way - Kerisper

ew L15 pays about £100K

Faugheen_Machine
04-10-2015, 07:46 AM
I've had the scattergun out today.

Dell Arca ew 16/1
Qewy 11/2
Irish Cavalier ew 11/1
Champagne Fever 7/2
Rajdhani Express 14/1 ew and 12/1 ew
Theatre Guide 25/1 ew
Our Kaempfer 33/1 ew

I've also done a few each way multiples, covering The Saint James, Qewy, Saphir Du Rheu, Champ Fever and Minnella Rock.

Hoof
04-10-2015, 09:00 AM
seagull

20-1 Standing Ovation to raise the roof

LAST year I suggested backing Standing Ovation to win the Crabbie’s Topham Chase and he was last and well behind when hampered and brought down at the Canal Turn. I’ve watched that race over and over and have come to the conclusion it was just an off-day for the horse and that he might be able to make amends 12 months on (4.05).

On his day Standing Ovation has a touch of class and he ran really well at the Cheltenham Festival last month when finding 3m2f too far. This 2m5½f trip is perfect for him and if the blinkers sharpen
up David Pipe’s gelding just a bit, he is likely to prove the best-handicapped horse in the race.

Pipe’s team have a shorter-priced runner in the line-up in Monetaire, but anyone who saw him crash through half the fences at Cheltenham on his debut for the stable in November wouldn’t have him down as an Aintree type.

To be fair he jumped a lot better at the festival last time but his hold-up style of racing is going to make life extremely difficult for his jockey Tom Scudamore.
With the Paul Nicholls team in such tremendous form I also have to suggest backing Ruben Cotter at 12-1.

Nicholls-trained runners have a brilliant record over these big fences – as witnessed by the tremendous effort by Pacha Du Polder in the Fox Hunters’ yesterday, and Ruben Cotter has been earmarked for this race for some time.

He returned from a long layoff to run out an easy winner at Kempton last month despite the way he drifted in the market strongly suggesting he would need the race.
This contest has been his target and it’s anyone’s guess how good he might be now the champion trainer has got him back in rude health.

Talking of horses who could be anything – how good has Minella Rocco looked on his two starts? He has barely come off the bridle, but this is a totally different test on much faster ground over a longer trip.

He might easily still be too good in the Doom Bar Sefton Novices’ Hurdle (4.40), but the form horse is undoubtedly Vyta Du Roc. However, a few of Nicky Henderson’s, most notably Hargam, still appear to be feeling their hard races at Cheltenham and Vyta Du Roc is a shortish price if you take that into account.

At 18-1 the value lies with Alpha Des Obeaux, who chased home Douvan last time. Although he was easily put in his place by the smart winner, the race was over 2m on soft ground.
Three miles on a decent surface is exactly what Alpha Des Obeaux wants and his trainer Mouse Morris bounced right back to form when sending out a couple of long-priced runners to make the frame in the Irish National on Monday.

The feature race of the day is the Melling Chase and, bar Uxizandre, all the top 2m/2m4f chasers seem to be running. Champagne Fever has been a bit disappointing over fences given his CV in bumpers and over hurdles, but he is still a high-class chaser on his day and I can see him proving hard to beat.

Having said that, he takes on Don Cossack, a potentially rejuvenated Al Ferof and a former Champion Chase winner in Sire De Grugy. Any of them could win and I wouldn’t rule out Balder Succes either.

Taking on Paul Nicholls is a dangerous game and with a clear round his Saphir Du Rheu will probably win the Betfred Mildmay Novices’ Chase (2.50). The problem is he has come down twice on three attempts over fences and I would rather back Irish Cavalier, who was really impressive at Cheltenham.

The step up to 3m1f is going to bring about more improvement from Rebecca Curtis’s gelding and I can easily see him handling the step up into top company.

Advice

Irish Cavalier
2.50 Aintree
1pt win at 11-1 with bet365 (10-1 generally)

Ruben Cotter
4.05 Aintree
1pt win at 12-1 with Betway (11-1 generally)

Standing Ovation
4.05 Aintree
1pt win at 20-1 generally

Alpha Des Obeaux
4.40 Cheltenham
1pt win at 18-1 with bet365 (16-1 generally)

Hoof
04-10-2015, 09:19 AM
Ruben Cotter @ 10/1 Each Way 1/4 1-2-3-4 Pending

Thomas Brown @ 18/1 Each Way 1/5 1-2-3

and double

also did Balder S without fever

loveracing
04-10-2015, 09:29 AM
I guess I better back Thomas Brown with you guys. :)

Faugheen_Machine
04-10-2015, 09:34 AM
Also added Up To Something at 50's ew and The Saint James at 5's ew.

Old Vic
04-10-2015, 09:35 AM
I guess I better back Thomas Brown with you guys. :)

Fry blamed ground - I added quotes on Sefton thread.

Old Vic
04-10-2015, 09:42 AM
Also added Up To Something at 50's ew and The Saint James at 5's ew.

Up To Something was on my radar but forgot to look again...

He got a mention in the value betting column

At a much bigger price I was tempted by the 50/1 available on Up To Something, who was going well just behind the leaders when taking an innocuous fall in Poole Master’s Grand Sefton.

He could be very well handicapped off 132 now – he was rated 140 not long ago – and Charlie Longsdon applies a first-time hood and the services of Denis O’Regan in a bid to revive his fortunes.

However, it’s an awful long time since he finished a race off with any sort of competence and on this occasion I’ll resist the dangling carrot. Instead of splitting stakes on two selections I would rather have an each-way bet on Standing Ovation, who really does look to have a good chance at the price.

mayo
04-10-2015, 01:54 PM
Better from Hendo there.

Faugheen_Machine
04-10-2015, 02:08 PM
Not sure how AP managed to find trouble there, costing him the win in the process. :sorrow:

Old Vic
04-10-2015, 02:24 PM
Not sure how AP managed to find trouble there, costing him the win in the process. :sorrow:

Might be a few more comments like this one ...

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>There wasn&#39;t free space on the good luck AP message wall in Aintree today but &#39;Charlie&#39; managed to get his message on <a href="http://t.co/0cswl4Nio4">pic.twitter.com/0cswl4Nio4</a></p>&mdash; Barry Orr (@BetfairBarry) <a href="https://twitter.com/BetfairBarry/status/586221477726396416">April 9, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

loveracing
04-10-2015, 02:27 PM
Better from Hendo there.

Blue Fasion for the Stayers Hurdle tomorrow?

Old Vic
04-10-2015, 02:27 PM
Winner was impressive there

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>WATCH - CYRUS DARIUS wins the E-Lites Top Novices' Hurdle <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Aintree?src=hash">#Aintree</a> <a href="https://t.co/ax0XYdkcCH">https://t.co/ax0XYdkcCH</a></p>&mdash; Channel 4 Racing (@Channel4Racing) <a href="https://twitter.com/Channel4Racing/status/586519823343038464">April 10, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>


Winning trainer Malcolm Jefferson: "You get a horse like this who comes along every now and again. He could be a very nice two-mile chaser."


2016 Arkle ?

Old Vic
04-10-2015, 03:00 PM
This just about sums that up

James Norris ‏@jpnorris 50s51 seconds ago

Lovely. Quite unlucky to bump into Coneygree on chase debut. Without Gold Cup winners in the field Saphir Du Rheu is pretty useful.

Old Vic
04-10-2015, 03:04 PM
Time to back Nicholls blind :confused:

mayo
04-10-2015, 03:17 PM
Time to back Nicholls blind :confused:

time to back Rocky Creek.

mayo
04-10-2015, 03:19 PM
I cant bring myself to back Al ferof but the way PFN is going anything is possible.

Old Vic
04-10-2015, 04:51 PM
Well played with Our Kaempher FM.

Faugheen_Machine
04-10-2015, 04:55 PM
Cheer OV, I've had a good hour!

What does everyone think of tomorrow's card? I'm slightly underwhelmed.

mayo
04-10-2015, 04:58 PM
Cheer OV, I've had a good hour!

What does everyone think of tomorrow's card? I'm slightly underwhelmed.

All about one race.

Not the same since they moved the Aintree Hurdle.

UDS would have given it a bit of star quality but easy to see why they ducked it.

WD BTW - I am on some run of near misses.

Old Vic
04-10-2015, 05:05 PM
There are times I think I am not that bothered by the Grand National. Just a handicap etc etc.

Great spectacle and all but there are other days racing I enjoy more.